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Stephen McIntyre @ClimateAudit
, 17 tweets, 7 min read Read on Twitter
The Mueller indictment listed eight marches promoted by Internet Research Agency, but didnt report attendance, which was zero or negligible for all events during election campaign. Thread on evidence on attendance.
/ first two events: March for Trump, Jun 25, 2016 (NYC); Down with Hillary, Jul 23, 2016 (NYC). NY Post nypost.com/2018/02/16/rus… … reported that "unclear ..if [rallies] held at all". Could not locate "written or photo evidence".
3/ next event was "Support Hillary, Save American Muslims" scheduled for July 9, 2016 at White House. It was promoted by United Muslims of America (FB). I looked for any contemporary evidence, photos of supposed march and, as with NY marches, couldn't find any.
4/ Russian accounts promoted Florida Goes Trump rallies on Aug 20, 2016 in multiple Florida cities. Bellingcat did good survey of contemporary evidence for these rallies in Sept 2017, showing that they were paltry bellingcat.com/news/americas/…
5/ Bellingcat located contemporary video showing that there were eight Trump supporters at Pensacola "rally"
6/ Bellingcat located another contemporary video showing that there were also eight supporters (plus child, dog and camera operator) at Fort Myers "rally"
7/ Bellingcat located a picture of a larger rally in Spring Hill, this one consisting of 15 Trump supporters
8/ while I disagree with Bellingcat on many things (and Eliot Higgins accordingly blocks me on twitter), their following conclusion seems unarguable": that the turnouts were "quite small, and there was little impact felt outside of a very small circle of social media posts".
9/ next, the supposed Miners For Trump rally on Oct 2, 2016 in Philly, Erie, Pittsburgh, Scranton, Harrisburg, Allentown. An article in Philadelphia Inquirer entitled "The crazy fake Russian 'Miners for Trump' rally in Philly" archive.is/Nq5pK says that none took place
10/ after election, they promoted "Trump is not my President" march in New York on Nov 12, 2016, which attracted 10,000. (Question: was this march promoted by others besides Russians or just Russians?)
pbs.org/newshour/polit…

11/ last one mentioned was "Charlotte against Trump" march on Nov 19, 2016. This attracted about 100 people charlotteobserver.com/news/local/art…
12/ sitting in Canada, seems to me that US should not feel overwhelmed by the paltry Florida rallies and non-existent other rallies, even if organized by Russia. Seems a lot less intrusive than US' own intrusion into Canadian and many other countries. Little to show for Mueller
13/ now a quick look at Mueller charges relating to fake or semi-fake marches. For New York in June July, FB ads, an email with press release and a seemingly aborted order for a megaphone.
14/ allegations about unattended NYC marches in June -July repeated in paragraph 54
15a/ multiple allegations about paltry Florida rallies: paragraph 55
15b/ then multiple lengthy paragraphs 71-80 about "overt acts" carried out in pursuit of these paltry Florida rallies (see Mueller indictment, only 71-72 shown here)
16/ from comments at @MoonofA: pre-Mueller (Nov 16-Feb 17) articles on east European click-bait sites. More pro-Trump stories simply because they got more clicks

nytimes.com/2016/11/25/wor…

washingtonpost.com/news/the-inter…

wired.com/2017/02/veles-…

theguardian.com/technology/201…
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DOJ charged @NVeselnitskaya with making a "false and misleading declaration implying" that she had not participated in drafting Russian response to US inquiry. Before looking at details, the US DOJ made false statements in indictment, including canard that Magnitsky was lawyer.
2/ @LucyKomisar, who has diligently researched Browder frauds (and others) have shown that Magnitsky was accountant for Browder firms, convicted for his role in Browder tax frauds in Russia. He was NOT heroic "lawyer" exposing fraud.
100r.org/2017/10/magnit…
3/ although Magnitsky was NOT a lawyer, Browder has stated over and over that he was - a point not arguable, but conceded by Browder in his deposition in Prevezon case (in SDNY)
100r.org/media/2017/10/…
Read 7 tweets
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@2xwide_dreaming @dr_davidsmith @wakeywakey16 @Larry_Beech @taleof2servers In that post, I mentioned an "Easter egg". I explained the Easter egg in a follow-up post climateaudit.org/2018/03/24/att…. There was an apparent infrastructure link between the Lurk banking gang and the spearphishing campaign attributed to APT28 (Fancy Bear) by SecureWorks.
@2xwide_dreaming @dr_davidsmith @wakeywakey16 @Larry_Beech @taleof2servers registrant of googlesetting[.com] domain used in the 2015 spearphishing campaign analysed by SecureWorks (June 26, 2016) is andre_roy@mail.com, also registrant for numerous domains in Oct 2014 PWC inventory pwc.blogs.com/files/tactical… of APT28 domains. Connecting spearphish to APT28.
@2xwide_dreaming @dr_davidsmith @wakeywakey16 @Larry_Beech @taleof2servers 2/ registrant of accoounts-google[.com, other domain used in 2015 spearphishing campaign, is "Gennadiy Borisov" with email yingw90@yahoo.com, used in scores of crimeware domains associated with Lurk's Angler exploit kit.
Read 22 tweets
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1/ the number of "coincidences" in Russiagate never cease to amaze. In this thread, I'll discuss a surprising link between analysis of the 2015-2016 spearphishing campaign(which caught Podesta and others) and Ukrainian InformNapalm operatives. Precise meaning unclear
@Stranahan
2/ on June 16, 2016, the day after Crowdstrike's reveal article, SecureWorks secureworks.com/research/threa… reported tht they had been using bitly links to monitor a spearphishing campaign, which, between mid-March and mid-May had targeted both hillaryclinton.com and gmail accounts
3/ in a second article secureworks.com/research/threa… on June 26, 2016, SecureWorks described the techniques of the spearphishing campaign, providing several intriguing examples.
Read 13 tweets

Related threads

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New report on Russian disinformation, prepared for the Senate shows the operation’s scale & sweep washingtonpost.com/technology/201… A report prepared for the Senate that provides the most sweeping analysis yet of Russia’s disinformation campaign around the 2016 election found the operation
used every major social media platform to deliver words, images and videos tailored to voters’ interests to help elect President Trump — & worked even harder to support him while in office.

The report, a draft of which was obtained by The Washington Post, is the first to study
the millions of posts provided by major technology firms to the Senate Intelligence Committee, led by Sen. Richard Burr (R-N.C.), its chairman, and Sen. Mark Warner (Va.), its ranking Democrat. The bipartisan panel hasn’t said whether it endorses the findings. It plans to release
Read 40 tweets
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Dark money, Dark ads -- 2016 hail mary edition

In the final days of the 2016 election, dark money PACs were pumping millions into ad campaigns focused on suppressing votes from key D voting blocks: Women, African-American & Millenial.

[THREAD]
Regardless what MSM says, 2016 wasn't about the forgotten man. GOP knows they win not by gaining R votes but in SUPPRESSION of D turnout. Even a rainy day can work in their favor. So what does the post-Citizens United rain dance look like?



1/
You've seen the Defeat Crooked Hillary campaign, run by Cambridge Analytica & funded by Robert Mercer's Make America No. 1 PAC. These dark posts are just the tip of the iceberg.



2/
Read 66 tweets
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Last night we took a look at the Twitter dataset from suspended Kremlin troll accounts archived & posted by #NBC & look at the frequency of tweets discussing specific US states & display by swing states in 2016 election #Mueller Internet Research Agency nbcnews.com/tech/social-me…
As you can see there was a pretty clear grouping of purple states. This was an initial quick and dirty analysis and it doesn't take into account that bigger states would of course likely have a higher # of random tweets about them.
So in this next graph we normalized the # of tweets mentioning each state to the states electoral number thus normalizing the tweet frequency to the weight or importance of the state in the 2016 elections. Again a good grouping of purple states. #mueller Internet Research Agency
Read 8 tweets
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💣BOOM💣

Robert Mueller has indicted 13 #Russian🇷🇺nationals & 3 Russian entities for INTERFERING in the 2016 presidential election‼️ 1/

#TrumpRussia
#Conspiracy

cnn.com/2018/02/16/pol…
🔥All were charged with conspiracy to defraud the United States, three were charged with #conspiracy to commit wire fraud and bank fraud, and five defendants with aggravated identity theft. 2/
The #indictment focuses on the #Russian🇷🇺troll farm — Internet Research Agency — which to interfere w/the US political system *in 2014*.🤨 3/
Read 7 tweets
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The indictment against 13 Russians names the Internet Research Agency with aka MEDIASINTEZ/GLAVSET/MIXINFO/AZIMUT/NOVINFO, Concord Management and Consulting/Concord Catering/Yevgeniy Prigozhin (aka Putin's chef)/Mikhail Bystrov/Mikhail Burchik/Aleksandra Krylova (continued)
Anna Bogacheva, Sergey Polozov, Maria Bovda, Robert Bovda, Dzheykhun Aslanov (aka Jayhoon Aslanov), Vadim Podkopaev, Gleb Vasilchenko, Irina Kaverzina, Vladimir Venkov are the defendents. (continued)
The indictment charges that the IRA "engaged in operations to interfere with elections and political process" and US law bars agents of foreign entity engaging in political activities within the United States without first registering with the AG. (continued)
Read 37 tweets
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Already indicted on multiple charges and facing the likelihood of superseding indictments, Rick Gates appears to be cooperating with special counsel Mueller in the #TrumpRussia investigation amp.cnn.com/cnn/2018/01/23…
Rick Gates worked for Tom Barrack, of the US-Russia nuclear scheme (upthread) literally until the day he was indicted
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
1 year ago today, Mike Flynn met privately in his West Wing office with FBI investigators interested in his communications with Kislyak, without a lawyer or the knowledge of Trump or WH officials.

Trump did not learn about the interview until 2 days later
nbcnews.com/politics/donal…
Read 61 tweets

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