Thanks to @steve_sedgwick & @cnbcKaren for having me on #CNBC #SquawkBox this AM.
What did we discuss? Well, #inflation of course!
I prepared some slides for the show which I'm happy to present in this thread.
1/n
#macro #Fed #Yellen #JeromePowell #bankofengland #QE
Are people in denial or is the #centralbank money flood just drowning all the signals?
2/n
#inflation
#Commodities, #freight, #carbon - and a whole lot besides - sure do cost a lot more, these days.
3/n
Money burning holes in pockets and supply-side constraints can only mean one thing...
4/n
#cars #autos #housing #RE #MBS
...higher prices.
I wonder who we blame for that?
5/n
#centralbanks #moneysupply #CPI #trade
"Expectations drive price setting & are under control, " said #Yellen.
Really? Not what #entrepreneurs are telling us!
#NFIB #ISM #PhillyFed
6/n
With #retail outstripping #manufacturing and with #inventories plunging, it would seem the pressure is still on.
7/n
#inflation
Even before the ol' Bridges-to-Nowhere, #Biden Boondoggle gets going on #infrastructure, "soft budget", cost-plus #DC's footprint is larger than ever and the lapdog #Fed looks set to keep it that way.
8/n
#MMT #fiscal #Budget2021
"Neither a borrower, nor a lender be - but especially NOT the latter"
#bonds are already bleeding their owners dry. Enjoy your retirement, O, Ye expropriated Middle Classes!
9/n
#realyields #fixedincome #UST #Bunds
And while the #equity part of your portfolio may be keeping you afloat for now, don't count on it always being that way if #inflation really does start to roar.
10/n
#stocks #SPX #PE #dividends #multiples
As and when #inflation starts to disrupt financial markets, drying up longer-term #credit and stretching people's budgets, that's when built-in weakness will matter. Leveraged 'investors' in operationally leveraged companies might become a problem.
11/n
#margindebt #EBITDA
Pity the poor, old, expanding-#mandate #centralbank Apparatchik: not only "#stimulus" to provide, #jobs to create & prices to guide, but also now to keep #Greta sweet and to please every Leftist professor, baying #NGO, and #WEF propagandist "stakeholder" in building Utopia!
12/n
The obligatory "blah, blah, blah" to finish.
Thanks for reading.
13/n
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