Profile picture
Eurosluggard🇬🇧🇪🇺 @eurosluggard
, 4 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
MINI-THREAD (1/3): After correctly predicting the appointment of Dominic Raab as the new Brexit Secretary this morning (and even getting retweeted by @davidallengreen, @pmdfoster @GuitarMoog )....
2/
 ...I have now completely blown my newfound image as some kind of political oracle by confidently predicting that Boris Johnson would most definitely *not* resign... #PoliticalPredictionsIHaveGotBadlyWrong
3/
 ...regular followers of my wildly inaccurate political predictions will not be at all surprised: Raab was a blip; Johnson a reversion to the mean. Normal service has been resumed, as the following thread shows.// #PoliticalPredictionsIHaveGotBadlyWrong
I’m going to go double-or-quits in an attempt to restore my reputation as a political pundit: Jeremy Hunt to replace Boris Johnson as Foreign Secretary.
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Eurosluggard🇬🇧🇪🇺
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Related hashtags

#PoliticalPredictionsIHaveGotBadlyWrong

More from @eurosluggard see all

Profile picture
Reminder to The Sun: during the EUref campaign, Jo Cox was murdered not at random by some random individual but by a man who shouted “keep Britain independent” as he stabbed her.
Very telling that The Sun suddenly wants to highlight the latent extremism of a fringe minority now that support for Brexit is unravelling but didn’t make a fuss about this tendency when they were getting their way. Excuse me if I see their concern now as cynical & opportunistic.
I guess my point is that The Sun shouldn’t so much be saying “Ooh we have to do Brexit otherwise there’ll be violence”: it should be saying (to a different set of ppl) “look guys, even if you don’t get your way, violence isn’t ok so cool it.”
Read 7 tweets
Profile picture
John Rentoul is impressed with the quality of Michael Gove's piece defending May's Brexit deal. He loves this: "Does it deliver 100% of what I wanted? No. But then we didn’t win 100% of the vote on 23 June 2016." This sounds plausible but is in fact a completely bogus argument.
You can only justifiably invoke your electoral mandate delivered at the ballot box if you campaigned honestly & unambiguously. If Leave had offered a clear, unitary, achievable prospectus then 52% would mean something.
But they didn't. Leave *deliberately* set out to reel in voters by playing to a wide range of different and mutually incompatible expectations. That's how they cobbled together 52%.
Read 7 tweets
Profile picture
Unpopular opinion: everybody outraged about Marr's behaviour towards Shami Chakrabarti but she fucked up & was naive. Use the "I voted Remain but I'm a democrat" line if you must* but "I'm a democrat, I don't know about you, Andrew" foolishly makes it about the interviewer. (1/3)
Ppl who follow me will confirm I'm no fan of Marr: he's past-it, often out of his depth, sloppy & complacent (wings it on complicated subject), & not a fearless interviewer (too inclined to pull punches with the govt). Just type "from:eurosluggard marr" in your search bar. (2/3)
* Reason you shouldn't say "I voted Remain but I'm a democrat": uses false definition of democracy (pushed by ppl who don't believe in democracy but pretend to when it suits them) according to which if you lose a vote you have to to change your views & join the winning side.//
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
La climatologue (ex cheffe du département climat de Georgia Tech) @curryja publie une analyse détaillée des projections de hausse de niveau des mers #Mini #Thread

curryja.files.wordpress.com/2018/11/specia…
Ce rapport lui a été commandé par des clients directement concernés, dont des assureurs. C'est un boulot sérieux produit pour le compte de gens très sérieux.
Les conclusions:
- Toutes les conclusions sont à regarder avec circonspection car la qualité des données de niveau des mers est moyenne.
Read 7 tweets
Profile picture
1) who are the stupid #Brexit people John?
A regular device from brexiters is to say that #PeoplesVote supporters think Leave voters were stupid

It's true that there were very many incredibly, boneshakingly dense Brexiters, but they were leading, not following

Some examples
2) Melanie Philips is a regular pro #Brexit columnist, arguing for a tough line on the EU.

This is her finding out *only last night* that we represent 10% of the EUs total exports compared to 45% of ours going to the EU

Her confused look is remarkable

3) David Davis, Brexit secretary and former EU minister, believed *even after the referendum* that we could strike illegal individual deals with Germany, France etc, something utterly forbidden under EU law

This was the basis of his Leave position
Read 17 tweets
Profile picture
BREAKING: New #Brexit Secretary appointed.
Also, there is a new minister at health.
And there is a rumour that this MP will also be brought into government.
Read 4 tweets
Profile picture
Thread: How are UK online news outlets covering #Brexit in 2018? An analysis, with data and charts!

Round 1: **DExEU vs Shadow DExEU**

Like the piece on referendum overspend, all conducted in a personal capacity. I mean, how else would I spend my weekends and evenings...

1/
This is intended to be the first of a selection of pieces of analysis quantifying different aspects of #Brexit coverage in UK news media, so I’ll be covering different angles in future threads.

See appendix for methodology. 2/
Firstly, looking at 2000 #Brexit news headlines from 9 news outlets since Jan 18, I’ve searched for each of the current and previous @Conservatives DExEU ministers and their @UKLabour shadow counterparts. 3/
Read 16 tweets
Profile picture
New Foreign Secretary @Jeremy_Hunt is in Paris to discuss Brexit & bilateral relations. Can he expect any favours? (mini thread)
1. The good news: France values UK relationship – ally in Middle East, Africa, UN and NATO & partner on intelligence, counter-terrorism. Discussions take place at bilateral level, so largely unaffected by Brexit.
2. The flip-side: France clear that Brexit negotiations are led by the EU. Its position hasn’t changed: UK cannot expect same benefits or preferential treatment. UK-EU trade will inevitably be weaker.
Read 9 tweets
Profile picture
1/ Thread on our new #Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab:
Raab was a member of a closed Facebook group that called for privatising healthcare and the return of workhouses for debtors
buzzfeed.com/alexspence/the…
#StopBrexit #FBPE
2/ Raab was one of a group of Tory MPs including Liz Truss & Priti Patel who described British workers as "among the worst idlers in the world" and called for the emulation of the work ethic (long unregulated hours) and low tax (for the rich) culture to be found in parts of Asia.
3/ Before the referendum Dominic Raab was one of the Tory MPs making it clear that there would be Tory calls for a 2nd referendum (a straight replay) in the event of a #Remain victory. He had the generosity to say that it shouldn't take place for at least 2 years.
Read 6 tweets

Trending hashtags

#exporters #economy #PeoplesVote #SPS #Leave #Brexit #Kochtopus #SCOTUS #trademark #Regulation #Capitalist #discrimination #WTO #customs #chains #profiles #EMA #alcohol #production #free #Tory #veterinary #EmbraceUnity #ProjectFear #SelectCommittee

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member and get exclusive features!

Premium member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year)

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!