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ß @sebziegler1986
, 5 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Not sure if that is a good strategy either, for most European countries it is going to be a simple choice given that they are in EU and relying in every possible way on good collaboration. To single Germany out doesn't really work, also given the strong ties with France.
It is more likely that USA is going to force EU more on integration in defence and security. What is often forgotten is, that GER has the capacity to easily challenge e.g. UK but not yet the will to spend so much money. This could change soon.
welt.de/politik/deutsc…
It's also striking that a lot of commenters ignore German overproportional contributions to development assistance & foreign aid which aims to stabilise regions politically and economically - it prevents conflicts (if it is well done).
bmz.de/de/ministerium…
Whether you are a "superpower" is more reliant on your economic capabilities than plain hard power of military capacities. I had a exchange few days ago on that issue, and it seems to me that some people ignore economic & political capacities.
Whether you are a pole of power depends on several factors, therefore I don't see that China and USA will be the only poles on the world stage. EU could end up as another pole due to it's diplomatic, geopolitical and especially economic capacities of its core members (FRA & GER).
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More from @sebziegler1986 see all

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@pmdfoster I think you are quite unfair in your evaluation. First of all, would she still be in charge of she would have been honest and not endulged this 'nonsense'. /1
@pmdfoster Lots of commenters seems to ignore that this nonsense is sincerely believed by large parts of ERG and right wing Tories, Conservative grassroots & voters as well as Leavers & yellow press. Little hint: it would have been dismissed and she'd have faced rebellion much earlier. /2
@pmdfoster There was no way that she'd have gotten that far without endulging this nonsense, it's as easy and as depressing as that. The key stakeholders simply don't believe in power imbalance between EU & UK, potential negative consequences of Leaving or magnitude of divisions in UK. /3
Read 10 tweets
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A good thread by @pmdfoster and @paulrey99 but I believe both miss an important point. It's not just about "they don't want to make it work". It's possibly also that making it work would not be legitimate.
To explain that: The border question is about identity and ideology, something what Brexiters should know all to well.
Fact is, The solutions discussed, even if they work on a technical level at one point in the future, mean more visibility of a border. Not just in form of cameras but also in peoples' minds. The border will be perceived as more apparent. And this opens a can of worms.
Read 15 tweets
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Interesting comments about Lilico's display of ignorance. But let's be clear, if there is a border there won't be a deal and if there is unrest you will find that all those investors might be super careful to put their money in UK. Unrest & violence is also difficult to contain.
So I do wonder whether those slipper heroes are still so ignorant if violence spreads in there backyard. And what happens if EU decides to put pressure on UK's potential FTA partners to not engage but otherwise face problems with future dealing with EU.
I'm also fairly certain that a recession and social unrest in UK is not particularly attractive for trade negotiations or investors, apart from the fact that UK's resources will be bound by just managing those issues.
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The various crises in the last years have forced EU countries together, as they have to make joint choices on things that do matter to them: socio-economic models, immigration, defense. European countries discover how different they are, how difficult it is to bridge differences.
Old EU was largely happening behind people's back, governments deciding about seemingly arcane economic issues. And geopolitically it was embedded in an US-led order. Both conditions gone, EU becoming deeply political, with power clearly back in intra-EU relations.
No surprise that differences become more visible, and that disagreements on the rise between various EU countries.
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