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Peter Foster @pmdfoster
, 16 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
The #Brexit crunch is coming, so after the summer break I've written a piece looking at the 10 questions we should be looking at....but are too busy shouting at each other to consider. Here are my ten... /1

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/… questions
How much clout does a nation of 65 million people have in global trade?
Will the British government ask for the ability to extend the transition period?
Do we really want a trade deal with the United States?
Should the UK remain in a customs union with the EU?
Does a ‘customs border’ in the Irish Sea really risk the break up of the UK?
What’s the real appetite among the British public to go ‘buccaneering’?
What economic price is worth paying to end free movement?
How politically unsustainable is vassalage really?
Is it time to throw our lot in with EU defence?
Will a second referendum fix anything?
How politically unsustainable is vassalage really?
Does a ‘customs border’ in the Irish Sea really risk the break up of the UK?
That's my ten. Longer thoughts on each in the piece here.

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…

What did I miss?

ENDS
APOLS...dud link. It's here

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
Was just checking if you were all concentrating :) And the 10th question is...

Does a ‘customs border’ in the Irish Sea really risk the break up of the UK?

Tks @jdportes @Sime0nStylites for eagle-eyedness
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Right. Some quick takeaways on the 'reassurance to the DUP' document that's just been published by UKG here 1/Thread

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
1. If the backstop kicks in, UKG will ensure GB doesn't diverge to minimise regulatory 'gap' over Irish Sea.

This fits what @DLidington said before Xmas /2
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
@DLidington It's not a magic bullet, but officials say it will "chisel right down" the number of additional checks needed, until such time as the backstop is replaced. /2
Read 12 tweets
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The DUP still playing hardball...despite efforts by UK Govt to do more to assuage fears raised by backstop.

But will be interesting barometer of where we are, to see how hard DUP reaction is to new paper to be published later this AM. /1
What is this? Well, per @SkyNews @DLidington will set out a series of measures that is intended to address fears raised by the Withdrawal Agreement that Northern Ireland is going to be treated very differently. See below. /2
@SkyNews @DLidington What's the problem here? Well go back to December 2017 and the Joint Report on Brexit, which was agreed after a DUP walkout forced May to retreat.

The DUP won an extra Para (50) which promised "unfettered" trade between NI and GB internal markets "in all circumstances" /3
Read 7 tweets
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So seems point 1 is an extension/elucidation of what @DLidington told #r4today on Dec 14.

FWIW am told by Brussels sources this is now focus of UK 'ask' on reassurances/ clarifications. To set clear aspiration date for trade deal to avoid backstop /1

@DLidington Which as @DavidHenigUK quickly pointed out is, to put it mildly, ambitious. /2

@DLidington @DavidHenigUK This is not least because even if you think a 'quick and dirty' deal is doable on some aspects (you hear some discussion of this) the UK would STILL need to know what it wanted.

And as the Political Declaration makes painfully clear, it doesn't know. Or cannot agree rather. /3
Read 20 tweets

Related threads

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1/12 I studied law which included UK constitutional and EU law. I had a fair understanding of the implications of #Brexit. 2 years on and becoming a volunteer legal writer for @infacts I have learned SO much more thanks to #Brexit
2/12 It’s been a lot of fun going back to the laws and refreshing my memory as well as building on that.
3/12 It is very important to note that the subject of the UK and EU is very complex and it’s reaches are vast. There were areas that we all were not aware of (#Brexiters and #Remainers) until #brexit became a reality.
Read 13 tweets
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001/ [article content in this tweet series 001-180 reproduced with permission from Martin Howe QC of Lawyers for Britain @lawyers4britain]
#quote "Leaving the EU on WTO terms: pulling down the barriers to world trade
Introduction: why prices will FALL after Brexit, not rise" /002
002/ #quote "Over the past couple of weeks, the media have been full of lurid scare stories about what will happen if the UK leaves the EU on WTO terms, because negotiations with the EU do not result in a withdrawal agreement." /003
#tariffs #NoDeal #Brexit #WTO #ProjectFear #shortages #food #medicines
003/ #quote "One of the most ridiculous and UNJUSTIFIED of these absurd scare stories is that it will lead to higher prices, and even shortages, of foods and medicines." /004
Read 180 tweets
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So @uklabour Front Bencher @barrygardiner in this tweet (to fellow Labour MP @BenPBradshaw) seems to think there aren't really any leave voters who are pushing to reconsider #Brexit with a #PeoplesVote

Why don't we examine why that's completely false.

A #remainernow Thread

/1
So Barry could start here, remainernow.com/remainer_now_s…

This is the stories page of remainernow.com which (so far) has four excellent longer videos of leave voters who are now passionate about a #PeoplesVote and want to #StopBrexit

/2
Alternatively @BarryGardiner could go here remainernow.com/rn_in_the_news

Here is the #remainernow in the news section, where we upload stories regretful leavers get on print media. This is just what we have uploaded since launching last month but some great articles. #PeoplesVote

/3
Read 13 tweets
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This @politicoeurope piece and infographic by @kbolongaro about the #Brexit and the ham and cheese sandwich has been widely retweeted.

Do read the whole piece - don't just rely on the infographic.

politico.eu/article/brexit…

1/15
But let's just say for a minute that, spurred on by national sandwich sentiment post a No Deal Brexit, the UK did want to make itself more self-sustaining in its food production, what could it do?

2/15
First some stats: Defra has useful stats on UK food import dependency here: gov.uk/government/sta…

The first Excel table shows how import dependency for food has been growing (the UK now imports 40% of its food), and the second Excel download lists value by food type.

3/15
Read 17 tweets
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Arron Banks, the businessman who bankrolled Nigel Farage’s LeaveEU campaign, had multiple meetings with high-ranking Russian officials in the run-up to the #Brexit referendum, contradicting his denials @carolecadwalla @peterjukes theguardian.com/politics/2018/…
"The documents raise urgent and troubling questions about Arron Banks' relationship with the Russian government"
#CambridgeAnalytica whistleblower @chrisinsilico confirms: "I have personally seen these emails/documents and informed both British and American intelligence about them months ago"
Read 14 tweets
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#Brexit
1) Thread - All Brexits are bad and what we voted for
It's often said by brexiters that "it's not all about economics"
However, the *actual* Leave campaign was almost wholly about economic arguments

With the leak of this 2-8% report those arguments are now trashed
2) We seem to have forgotten this however economics played a huge part in the Vote Leave campaign, making up over 2/3rds of the primary arguements. The clear message was we would at the least be no worse off and at best much better off. 4 of the 6 below state this clearly
3) & the fact is voters believed we would be no worse off. People prioritized immigration certainly, but against a backdrop of there being no consequences from Brexit - few are prepared to actually pay for ending FoM
Read 36 tweets

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