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Alberto Nardelli @AlbertoNardelli
, 8 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
These Diplomatic Notes Reveal What EU Governments Really Think About The Brexit Deal buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
Some EU27 governments have raised questions this week about prolonging the transition, EU-UK customs arrangements, and most contentious of all, fish and access to UK waters.
On fish, one official asked why UK was getting access to the internal market in the backstop, but EU27 were not getting access to UK waters in return? Fish does seem like the one issue where some govts still need some convincing that a UK commitment to negotiate will suffice
In this sense, July 2020 as the date to take stock of the status of talks is important as it’s when fishing quotas would start to be discussed among member states
Despite these wrinkles, the vibe among EU27 ambos this morning was positive, and nobody wants to rock the boat (too much). Still, there are questions, and some very specific concerns. A sign UK-EU negotiators have compromised (and UK should probably be careful asking for more)
Interestingly (for me at least), it was explained that both sides can request a transition extension. This is a joint decision either way. However, without a trade deal, or an extended transition, the backstop automatically kicks in
EU27 ambassadors will me meet again Sunday to go over the withdrawal text, while a beefed up version of the political declaration is due early next week.

Team Tusk has strongly indicated that the Nov. 25 EUCO should not be a drafting session, but simply to endorse the deal
Full story: buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
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More from @AlbertoNardelli see all

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Brexit. Things are getting worse.

1. The withdrawal agreement is needed regardless of the shape of the future relationship. The withdrawal agreement on the table, including the backstop, will not be renegotiated. EU27 cannot be clearer on this point – and this is the key point.
2. Throughout these negotiations, so many problems have been created by N10’s inability & unwillingness to set realistic expectations, explain tradeoffs and communicate clearly. As the PM runs out of road, the confusion over the withdrawal agreement is the latest example
3. The political declaration allows for a full spectrum of future options, but it is not clear what kind of relationship the UK wants. This will require a proper debate on tradeoffs (and years of negotiation). However, whatever that option: you need the withdrawal agreement
Read 7 tweets
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About last night:

1) May went to the meeting seeking legally-binded assurances with half-baked proposals to placate hard Brexiteers & DUP

These have been rejected repeatedly for obvious reasons. Backstop is an insurance policy not “a trap.” Not EU27 problem many MPs ignore this
2) May was asked by several leaders, and, I am told, most emphatically by Chancellor Merkel: 'what is it that you want?'

The prime minister was unable to provide an answer to this question with any precision.
That is where May is at in a nutshell: Nearly two years after triggering article 50, the UK does not have an answer to the question, "what do you want?"

There are also concerns that the UK – across the political spectrum – has no idea what kind of future relationship it wants.
Read 7 tweets
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EUCO draft Brexit conclusions: I understand that paragraph 5 (EU stands ready to examine whether any further assurances can be provided..) has gone.
Par. 1, which wasn't in square brackets, is of course unchanged: "The Union stands by this agreement and intends to proceed with its ratification. It is not open for renegotiation."
Par 2 unchanged: EU reiterates wish for 'as close as possible partnership.." 'stands ready to embark on prep immediately after signature of WA to ensure negotiations can start asap after withdrawal'. Understand 27 discussed starting prep work on future deal as soon as UK ratifies
Read 12 tweets

Related threads

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#Brexit #thread
1/ If you don’t follow Brexit every day, here’s some advice. Let go of any illusions that this drama is about trade protocols, residency rights or the status of the Irish border. Brexit is the story of a proud former imperial power undergoing a mid-life crisis
2/ The rest of the world is left listening to Britain’s therapy session as they drone on about their ex-spouse, unable to see, admit or address their own flaws.
3/ The promise of Brexit was that it would make Britain feel big again. “Britain is special,” the Brexiteers assured British voters, who cast their ballots accordingly. But Brexit has proven that for the first time in modern history, Britain is small.
Read 22 tweets
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Economic consequences of Brexit: some thoughts... #efta #brexit
1/ those who oppose brexit point to the economic risks of a Hard Brexit. We share those concerns and will do everything we can to avoid a Hard Brexit. However, some people say that *any* type of Brexit will be economically damaging.
2/ not surprising with articles such as these in the media that explicitly say that: buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
Read 19 tweets
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Scoop from @albertonardelli: This Is What The EU Really Thinks About Theresa May’s New Brexit Plan buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
@AlbertoNardelli .@BuzzFeedNews has seen details of the initial Brussels assessment of May's proposals. It informs EU capitals that the UK plan crosses red lines already agreed by the remaining 27 member states buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
@AlbertoNardelli @BuzzFeedNews One senior European source told @BuzzFeedNews the question for the EU was not whether to reject the UK proposals, but when
Read 3 tweets
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1) Megathread - Yes, the #Brexit vote is illegitimate, and it's not elitist to say so

Simply put, a vote that is based on misconceptions and illusions but which *cannot* be reversed is an affront to democracy therefore the very concept of the referendum is illegitimate
2) So why was the #Brexit vote illegitimate? Well, broadly speaking:
1) The Brexit we "voted for" ends FoM, the ECJ & payments to EU
2) This will be severely damaging to the economy & jobs
3) If the public was asked today the same question but were told the above,Remain would win
3) Leave simply would not win if the costs of the #Brexit they promised were revealed honestly in a second referendum. The only way they could win is if these costs were obscured again

buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
Read 13 tweets
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THREAD (1) When the likes of Hannan feel the need to 'brush off' something so critical to the right-wing/neo-con #Brexit wet dream, we find digging a little deeper to be useful. After all, ground breaking 'shadow trade deals' with right-wing US think tanks is no small fish.
(2) In fact, given the growing negativity surrounding the #Brexit negotiations, compounded by the Govts' own damning economic analysis, one would have thought Hannan and Fox et al, would be shouting from the roof tops about their bespoke 'shadow US-UK trade deal.' Wouldn't you?
(3) The problem for our intrepid trade deal making duo, as almost always, is to be found in the detail; just what are, and who is, behind these neo-con US think tanks? Perhaps Daniel would enlighten us?
Read 21 tweets
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#Brexit
1) Thread - All Brexits are bad and what we voted for
It's often said by brexiters that "it's not all about economics"
However, the *actual* Leave campaign was almost wholly about economic arguments

With the leak of this 2-8% report those arguments are now trashed
2) We seem to have forgotten this however economics played a huge part in the Vote Leave campaign, making up over 2/3rds of the primary arguements. The clear message was we would at the least be no worse off and at best much better off. 4 of the 6 below state this clearly
3) & the fact is voters believed we would be no worse off. People prioritized immigration certainly, but against a backdrop of there being no consequences from Brexit - few are prepared to actually pay for ending FoM
Read 36 tweets

Trending hashtags

#brexit #Brexit #NHS #EUCO #Ireland #BrexitRussia #EU #Lab18 #Doctor #Leave #Galileo #TrumpRussia #ProjectFear #EURATOM #CambridgeAnalytica #PeoplesVote #LabourConference2018 #Remain #immigrants #WTO #BrexitDeal #RevokeA50 #ProtectingWhatMatters #Tory #efta

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