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Claire Berlinski @ClaireBerlinski
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
The new CW seems to be that Macron's failing is "manqu[ant] profondément l'essentiel: l'amour charnel pour la France profonde." Macron lacks a carnal love for "deep France," meaning, more or less, "rural France." lefigaro.fr/vox/politique/…
But if that's only 8% of the French population, it shouldn't matter. So the question "Exactly how much of France is urbanized" is pretty critical to anyone trying to make sense of this. Is this best described as a class conflict or a geographic conflict, or are they the same?
Is half of France "deep" or only 8%? It's certainly true that whatever the answer, they've been ignored--by me, at least. I should really know the answer to that question. My guess would have been about 20-30 percent.
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More from @ClaireBerlinski see all

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I agree completely with @NTenzer when he says that violence is consubstantial with this movement. It's not the word I would have chosen in English, but it's correct: the violence is now inherent; it can't be cordoned off or dismissed as "not truly representative."
Allowing them sack Paris once a week as a form of "legitimate democratic expression" is about as a good an idea as letting the Sturmabteilung and the Rotfrontkämpferbund have a regular go at each other and the police on the streets of Berlin.
The police should *never* be so undermanned that they're forced to retreat. They're there to enforce the law. No free nation can retreat from that and remain free.
Read 23 tweets
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A question for Americans. On a scale or 1-10, ten being the worst, how bad does our foreign policy situation seem to you right now?

What would you guess an "average citizen" would say?
Would you mind asking a few random people and telling me what they think? I don't have a sense of this from here.

I do see that they US media's so focused on domestic politics that I can't imagine this is on many people's minds. Would that be right?
If people have high-ranking scores, what preoccupies them particularly?

If they have low-ranking scores, do you have a sense of why?
Read 3 tweets
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And don't forget: They'll be dealing with the fallout of years of neglect of foreign policy, lack of grand strategy, a decimated diplomatic corps, Americans who have no idea what's about to hit them: The world didn't go away while we were staring at our navels.
They could face a massive -- really massive -- FP crisis his the moment they take power. As in: a nuclear device in a Western city. If they're not ready for it, we're in very big trouble.
But it will not be cheap to fix the impression that the United States (and its preferences) no longer matter, and may be safely ignored. So they're going to wind up having a very different experience then they're imagining now, I reckon.
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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1. My Predictions For 2019:
- #Macron will find it more & more difficult to hold onto power.
- #Merkel won't last until 2021 & her power will further decrease this year quarter by quarter.
- I expect that the #Brexit-Exit-date will be moved (most likely by 12 months).
2. My Predictions For 2019:
- The issues of mass-#migration (few real #refugees) will continue to haunt #Europe, especially #Germany & continue to put pressure on the GER #Groko-government (#CDU/#CSU & #SPD).
#Predictions2019 #Year2019
3. My Predictions For 2019:
- The trend of right parties gaining more power (2018: #Italy, #Austria, #Brazil) will continue: In #France #LePen (#FN) will benefit from #Macron losing power, in #Germany the #AfD will gain further support in Eastern Germany (tbc).
#Predictions2019
Read 10 tweets
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Un passage du discours de #Macron est un peu passé inaperçu lors de ses #voeux. Penser que c'est à cause de règles protectrices que les demandeurs d'emplois ne cherchent pas de boulot, c'est une vieille lune de la droite et du Medef ⤵ #Thread #Chomage
Avec ce décret qui est passé au JO, c'est la soupe à la grimace pour les chômeurs indemnisés. Les sanctions initialement annoncées sont alourdies. Exemple: 1 mois de radiation si vous ne vous rendez pas à un rendez-vous avec un conseiller au lieu de 15 jours annoncés #chomage
Pôle Emploi (dont les demandeurs d'emplois reconnaissent tous l'efficacité LOL) considère que vous ne cherchez pas assez un emploi? Votre allocation est supprimée tout comme vos droits à l'assurance chômage. A la base, les sanctions étaient censées être graduelles... #chomage
Read 11 tweets
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L’actualité en étant à @JLMelenchon et son énième instant d’incohérence, je profite de cet instant pour balancer les HUIT POINTS qui font qu’il ne faut PLUS JAMAIS me parler de la #FranceInsoumise comme force politique « crédible ». [Thread]
1/26
Entendons-nous bien, la politique est un jeu d’influence et de positionnement, qui utilise les mêmes outils que pour vendre plus de gels douche ou de parfums. Tous les partis politiques sont esclaves de ce système et ce n’est pas ça que je dénonce.
2/26
Non, la différence pour laquelle il ne faut PLUS me parler de la #FranceInsoumise ? Les leçons. Personne ne donne autant de leçons de morale que la France Insoumise pour faire EXACTEMENT l’inverse par la suite. @Jlmelenchon et ses amis ? Champions de l'utopie. Level Expert.
3/26
Read 28 tweets
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"L'écologie est incompatible avec le libéralisme."

Parce que c'est une vérité que l'écologie se porte bien mieux dans les régimes antilibéraux...
Le capitalisme permet de produire plus avec moins.

1940 : les agriculteurs USA produisaient 56M de tonnes métriques de maïs en utilisant 31M d’hectares.

2000 : ils en produisaient 5 fois plus (252M de tonnes métriques) tout en utilisant 6,5 % moins de surface cultivée.
Selon WWF, ce sont dans les pays les plus riches (i.e. là où le capitalisme s'est développé), que la biodiversité se porte le mieux.
Read 47 tweets
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"Le Monde" identifie sur une vidéo un proche conseiller de #Macron frappant violemment un manifestant le 1er mai à Paris. #AlexandreBenalla était équipé d’un casque à visière des forces de l’ordre, alors qu’il n’est pas policier. #MacronLaMatraque lemonde.fr/politique/arti…
↕️ La #vidéo montrant le proche conseiller de #Macron frapper un jeune manifestant à terre, place de la Contrescarpe, à Paris, le #1erMai. #AlexandreBenalla #GérardCollomb #MacronLaMatraque
↕️ Réaction d'@ericcoquerel après l'article du Monde révélant qu'un proche conseiller de Macron (qui a toujours son bureau à L’Élysée!) a frappé violemment un manifestant à terre à Paris, le #1erMai2018. #AlexandreBenalla #GérardCollomb #MacronLaMatraque
Read 559 tweets
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Recensement des coups bas de #Macron et de la majorité #LREM à l'Assemblée Nationale.
PARCE QUE C'EST LEUR PROJET.
A dérouler ⬇️
Enseignement supérieur ⬇️
APL ⬇️
Read 42 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Macron #vidéosurveillance #merci #LaCensureEnMarche #tousleschemins #VoitureBrulee #crampentdesdoigts #Manifestation11dec #AffaireBellanaMacron #Jupiter #BBC #santé #justice #Ridge #fashionVictim #TogetherWeAreStrong #Iran #Fashion #TTIP #ilapasditbonjour #milice #Foix #lycées #tuseraisquandmemebiencoupabledunpetitqqchose #valmy

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