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Tim Hogan @TimInHonolulu
, 4 tweets, 5 min read Read on Twitter
1. Syria: Twitter flooded w/ Turkish ISIS/AQ propaganda seeking panic in Manbij & border areas of #Rojava. Presume no more US-French Turkish joint patrols in #Manbij area because @Trump allowed AQ Jihadists to approach Manbij. Sgt Dunbar was killed there IMO by Turkey in March. Master Sgt. Johnathan J. Dunbar, of Austin
2. US forces continue to occupy #Manbij but @POTUS' agreement to surrender to AQ & ISIS has put them at great risk. Because @Trump has business relations with 9/11 connected Saudi's (@KSAmofaEN) US forces should be on alert for more @realDonaldTrump @WHNSC US force redeployments.
3. IMO until @POTUS formally obtains US Congressional approval for his surrender to Al-Qaeda #2001AUMF is the only lawful order that the US @CENTCOM should follow in dealing with Turkish Al-Qaeda force threatening our @USSOCOM in Manbij.
4. Whether current rules of engagement authorize US Special Ops forces to eliminate Turkish pro-Al Qaeda command if attacked is unclear. IMO it would be an act of US self defense. @DefenseIntel @NSA @CIA & @FBIWFO have Constitutional & moral duty to expose Turkey's AQ affiliation
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More from @TimInHonolulu see all

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1. Why does @msnbc @TheRevAl have non experts like @michelleinbklyn opining about a President's power? What other area of expertise is subject of unqualified folks giving opinions? How about non MD guest discuss brain surgery or how to stick a screwdriver in your fuse box?
2. Here's Yale Law School prof on @realDonaldTrump lacking power to declare a national emergency to build a wall. If you don't read the @nytimes should you actually be on NYC news set? No, Trump Cannot Declare an ‘Emergency’ to Build His Wall nyti.ms/2RzudZw @maddow
3. Every time you put these false arguments on as fact you are engaged in propaganda for someone who very likely is a Kremlin agent. Do you jobs. Report facts and use only experts to give opinions. Michelle is great. I enjoy her. But she is not a Constitutional law professor.
Read 3 tweets
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1. Want to stop #MAGA #BuildTheWall?

@SpeakerPelosi should make funding limited to only funding costs of eminent domain actions on US border. Suits take years & will turn NM, CA, Texas & Arizona against @HouseGOP @SenateGOP @SenSchumer @GOPLeader @senatemajldr.
2. Then put in a claw back trigger. The money will just sit there until we impeach & remove @realDonaldTrump (soon) or at the outside he is out on Jan 20, 2021 for sure because he lost Texas and seat held by @JohnCornyn (who blocks me) due to eminent domain issue.
3. This plan blocks any political bump @realDonaldTrump hopes to get from his steel wall issue and puts the money in what is essentially an escrow pending the end of the Trump Tyranny. @TheDemocrats
Read 3 tweets
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1. From September 2018: Where is bin Laden's partner in crime, Ayman al-Zawahiri? @CNN cnn.it/2QcrpxX
2. There are more Al-Qaeda now than ever before. Estimate in Syria alone is as many as 20,000. From March 2018. “The resurgence of Al-Qaeda” goo.gl/BjJmxR, via @LowyInstitute
3.Turkey is allied with Al-Qaeda. That's a fact. If we are at war with Al-Qaeda by virtue of 2001AUMF aren't we at war with Turkey too? What's the plan for dealing with the 20,000 Syrian Al-Qaeda that US economy is supporting by continuing trade with Turkey?
Read 9 tweets

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#Syria: following unexpected move, Trump ordered withdrawal of US personnel & troops (~2,000) from #Syria. Pullout should be completed within 100 days. reuters.com/article/us-usa…
#Pt. Apparently Trump took decision to withdraw US troops from #Syria after phone call with Erdogan, de facto greenlighting in short term a Turkish-led Offensive vs #SDF & #YPG.
Following US decision to withdraw troops from #Syria:
- Regime reinforcements heading to Manbij & #DeirEzzor (deal w/ SDF-YPG likely)
- Maghaweer Thawra seeks evac of ppl from Rukban Camp (Al-Tanf) to N. Aleppo
- Turkey says it is working with US & also Russia + Iran.
Read 4 tweets
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PRESSER: #Russia's FM #Lavrov & #Jordan/ian FM Safadi:
1. Say they're satisfiedd w/ "close & useful interaction" over #Syria both in trilateral format (w/ #US in Amman) & via Astana where Jordan is observer.
Lavrov says #Rus appreciates JRD mediation b/n #SAA&opposition militants
2. #Lavrov, #Safadi discussed "some concrete measures of how to address issue of #Syria/n refugees in #Jordan."
Both reinforced need to comply w/ trilateral agreements over SW de-escalation zone,including,Lavrov stressed,"part on fight w/ #ISIS, #HTS that control 40% of the area"
3.#Lavrov said the SW zone "remains a priority" since as terrorists get driven out,conditions will be created for return of refugees,incl those based now in #Jordan.
#Moscow insists broad international coop needed to restore #Syria's infrastructure,create jobs...
Read 14 tweets
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Asking the Syrians gov not to retake Syrian territory and advertising for a "terrible civilian toll" is a deja vu. A ridiculous anti-Syria report by @crisisgroup.
De-confliction never included #ISIS and #AQ.

Keeping the Calm in Southern Syria crisisgroup.org/middle-east-no…
Watch all the "sensitive" analysts now turning in direction of southern #Syria (never #Yemen of course): whenever the Syrian Army wants to recover the control of territories under #ISIS #AQ or their Jihadists allies, the same old story starts picking up.

Prepare yourself for south #Syria ops: "Chemical attacks", "last doctor", "Last Hospital", "hundred thousands under siege and without food for medicine".

Read 3 tweets
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We started a new year (I hope the last) of the Syrian civil war. But 2017 has been the most important year & the result of inflection point of the war in 2016 with many political & military developments : (1)
The first military operation of #SAA was Wadi Bara (23/12/2016 - 29/1/2017) which finished with the evacuation of rebels from Wadi Barada & the North montainous area in the border with Lebanon. At the same time other forces advanced in E.Ghouta reaching some parts of Hazrama (2)
#SDF started the second phase of #WrathOfEuphrates operation on December securing the West flank of #Raqqa plains (3)
Read 47 tweets

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