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1. If PM says this afternoon she will be back with a motion that can be changed by MPs and voted on on Feb 26th then Remain forces who want article 50 extension won’t act this week
2. Their plan then would be to bring back the bill to extend immediately on Feb on 27th with a vote on 28th - they reckon they have 10 ministers including Cabinet who would vote with them this time
3. The revised version of Cooper bill would give govt til March 13th to get a revised deal and get it through - in meantime lab and tories in that group try to build consensus to move to a softer Brexit more like Labour’s position
4. Lots of IFs in that plan - biggest is whether ministers really have the bottle to quit to prevent leaving with no deal - evidence so far not persuasive but.....
5. New notional timetable means the Cooper bill to extend would be going through Commons at same time as May involved in last ditch negotiations
