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David Rothschild
@DavMicRot
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
President Trump is remarkably bad at negotiating.
President Trump's negotiating tactic of lying about what he has & will deliver, making deal, taking the money, declaring bankruptcy: only works if you keep negotiating w/ new people. In politics you need to negotiate with same people over and over, so this tactic does not work.
Also, President Trump is (1) least informed person in any political negotiation (2) does not really care about the outcome (3) has zero patience (4) continuously boxes himself in with public statements (5) personally corrupt, so easily manipulated.
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David Rothschild
@DavMicRot
President Trump is compromised to Russia. Russia knows a lot of secrets about both his business and political dealings which, if revealed by Russia, would/should cost Trump (and his family) politically, financially, and possibly criminally. blog.predictwise.com/2019/01/trump-… Highlights ...
(1) Business: Trump Org. has admitted that they were working w/ Russian government to build a Trump Tower in Russia up until the election. (2) Political: Trump Campaign Chair provided internal polling to Russia & met w/ Russian agents about trafficking docs stolen from Democrats.
Quite frankly I think everyone is playing it way too cool about the US President being obviously compromised to Russia (and probably to Saudi Arabia as well) blog.predictwise.com/2019/01/trump-…
Read 4 tweets
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David Rothschild
@DavMicRot
Prediction (my subjective prob 20%): President Trump fundraises $100's of millions and then drops out w/in two months of the Republican Convention declaring he has already won. Rationale: Democrats/Justice will turn down heat on investigations if he drops and he will control $$$
Americans hate looking back: seems reasonable to assume investigations will be way less thorough & punishments way less punitive if President Trump steps down. By staying in until near the end, Trump will control tons of money and fate of Republicans, so they will protect him.
Democrats/Justice should signal that they will investigate Trump (camp, trans, inaug, admin, org, found) thoroughly regardless of Donald Trump's job. And, Republicans/Democrats should all prepare for possibility of campaign without Trump. Again, subjective prop: 20%.
Read 3 tweets
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David Rothschild
@DavMicRot
Mainstream media is the problem. 3 lessons from this weekend: (1) If MSM sees details of a policy, it will tear it apart. But, if it does not see anything, it will take its supporter's word for what it does, even if it's impossible & otherwise absurd in the context of supporter.
MSM spent weekend focused on the most extreme aspects of Green New Deal or some side debate over talking points on a website. Seeing details should signal seriousness of the effort, but MSM gets bogged down in the negative interpretation or salaciousness of details.
Conversely, Republicans spent 8 years claiming to have a magical healthcare plan to replace ObamaCare. It would cut costs, raise coverage, and there would be a unicorn in every driveway. MSM was gullible Americans were shocked in 2017 when Republicans had no replacement to OCare.
Read 7 tweets

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Trump Hotels' website still lists Trump SoHo New York among its properties in the Our Hotels menu. Select its name though to access its page and there's a message about it being renamed

bit.ly/2EPCSy1
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bit.ly/2CpL7z2
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