, 5 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Some senior government figures believe that Theresa May has today pushed Britain closer to - rather than further from - no deal....

This is because:
1. The cliff edge is still there. Just around three months later. And it's MUCH harder for TM to get a second extension.
2. The pressure on MPs to vote for her brexit deal has just dropped dramatically, on all sides, because there's no cliff edge. You can vote down Meaningful Vote 2 - with little consequence cos two days later you vote for an extension

The delay also energise opponents of her deal
3. If Meaningful Vote 2 is voted down, what happens then? Does she

A. Keep her deal despite 2 defeats and ask for more from Brussels (!)

B. Change tack with indicative votes - which Hammond asked for in cabinet - or customs union?

In other words what does delay solve?
Some senior Tory MPs believe Coopes-Boles-Letwin still necessary to avoid no deal at end of June

ERG very relaxed, saying no deal will happen if the backstop is still in place at end of June
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