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Adam Payne
@adampayne26
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Bercow Bombshell

He says that Theresa May cannot bring her deal back to the Commons for another meaningful this session unless its substance changes significantly

Bercow says HMG "cannot legitimately" bring back "the same or substantially the same" deal
Bercow gets the Bill Cash endorsement

The big Brexiteer says: "It must follow that what you have said makes an enormous amount of sense"
MV3 has passed away. RIP u will live on forever. Cant believe it. I wanna run to u. Really cant believe this. @
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Adam Payne
@adampayne26
Tory moderates are mulling which Brexiteer to back to replace Theresa May. Their choice, Amber Rudd, is not set to stand, so now they’re discussing who the “least bad” Leaver is. They fear that the Tories will be doomed if “so right-leaning” Raab gets it. businessinsider.com/theresa-may-co…
At a lunch of moderate Tory MPs this week, “everyone” agreed May must go. Attendee said: “I can't think of a single MP who wants her to stick around. It used to be the ERG but moderates are saying it... Even usually loyal junior ministers were saying it.” businessinsider.com/theresa-may-co…
Amber Rudd is regarded as a potential “king maker” in the Consevative leadership contest. Who she backs will likely receive the support of swathes of moderate Tories. Gove, Hunt have already been in touch with her, I’m told. businessinsider.com/theresa-may-co…
Read 3 tweets
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Adam Payne
@adampayne26
Hmm. Ken Clarke asks the PM to commit to holding indicative votes next week. She appears to say no - argues that the HoC has already had lots of votes on alternatives to her deal. Deputy PM David Lidington had given MPs a different impression.
PM pressed on indicative votes by Ed Miliband. Again she says the HoC has already had opportunities to vote for alternatives. She may have no choice but to facilitate them however - Stephen Kinnock told me this morning that MPs are planning to table a new version of Cooper-Benn.
Yvette Cooper: “I beg this prime minister to think again.” Her, Miliband and other Labour MPs look incandescent with the PM after her refusal to commit to indicative votes.
Read 3 tweets
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Adam Payne
@adampayne26
At Chatham House where Nick Boles, Lucy Powell, Stephen Kinnock & Robert Halfon are talking about “Common Market 2.0.” Probably the most important discussion about this Brexit model yet - backers believe it has a HoC majority, Corbyn warming to it, MPs could vote on it soon.
Kinnock says that he agrees with Farage, Dan Hannan and Owen Paterson, who have all in the last few years endorsed a Norway-style relationship with the EU. He adds that “pragmatic Eurosceptism” has been scrapped and replaced by a “isolationist” mission which abandons the 48%.
Interesting... Kinnock says that talks with Corbyn have gone very well and could soon lead to Labour backing a Common Market-style plan.

“We hope we will be able to secure the Labour whip for a backbench driven” piece of legislation.
Read 6 tweets

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Ian Dunt
@IanDunt
Right so I've been away. Can anyway explain to me exactly what the fuck is going on with the Spelman amendment?
Also: Switch on parliamentary debate. IDS talking shite. Baker gets up. Gibbers a bunch of shite. IDS chats shite back. Quickly feel all sense of hope of happiness drain from the body.
Majestic speech by Jess Phillips. "The reasons people voted Leave are plentiful and I'm not going to pretend that they all agree with me." Genuinely so refreshing to hear an MP refuse to project their own views on voters.
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Tom Wright
@thomaswright08
Some thoughts on Theresa May's latest Brexit defeat. There are now two more major votes this week-- one on whether parliament approves of no deal and the second on whether to request an extension. Of these two, the first is only indicative. If parliament rejects no deal...1/8
...it still happens automatically on March 29 unless something else changes. That something else is the extension. So, if parliament rejects no deal they also have to accept the extension to make it count. It is possible that they could reject no deal & reject an extension 2/8
..which would be an almighty clusterf***. The extension could be tight, esp if May votes against it, but it should pass. It came close before and there were quite a few Tory MPs who voted against on the promise that they would have another chance. So let's assume that...3/8
Read 8 tweets
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BBC News Graphics
@BBCNewsGraphics
Here’s our guide to what happens if Theresa May's Brexit deal is rejected tonight. The government will have just three parliamentary working days to come back with its next steps. bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…
1/ If MPs fails to agree on any further legislation on Brexit, the default position would be a no-deal Brexit. The current law says the UK will leave the EU on 29 March 2019 and Parliament would have to act to stop it. bbc.in/2PsiQ0n
2/ The government could try to bring the deal back for another vote but to do so might need a small change to some part of the deal with the EU. bbc.in/2PsiQ0n
Read 7 tweets
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James Randerson
@james_randerson
OK, I'm going to (probably foolishly) have a punt at gaming out what happens in Brexit in the next few weeks. I will certainly be wrong – there are just too many variables to be completely right – but I’d like to test my thinking /thread
I feel emboldened by mince pies and ahem, good cheer, so I’d welcome your thoughts on what seems off key here — and just to be clear, I’m not advocating this sequence of events, I’m just trying to work out what might happen
So Theresa May brings her Brexit deal for a vote the week of 14 January as she has promised (surely she wouldn’t attempt to delay again). She loses, prompting calls for her to resign, for a renegotiation and for a people’s vote.
Read 16 tweets
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The Ambassador's Brief
@ambassadorbrief
Weekly Geopolitical Brief

Three stories:

China kidnaps Canadians: After Canada arrested Huawei’s CFO for extradition to the US, China retaliated by arresting two Canadians & pressuring Canada to drop the case. Canada stood firm: Meng is now on C$10m bail and faces court Feb 6th
.@globeandmail argued that by “kidnapping two Canadians, the hard men of Beijing have shown their true faces.” As a result, Canada “is being forced to wise up about the nature of… China” and reset the relationship based on what China is, not what Canada wants it to be.
A bad week for Theresa May: She postponed a scheduled parliamentary vote on her Brexit deal as she lacked the votes, and faced a leadership challenge. She survived, but conceded that she won’t lead her party to its next general election, which she claims will be in 2022.
Read 19 tweets
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Seven Archangels
@realDepIorabIe
#Bring the Pain
#FridayFeeling #AmericaFirst #BuildtheWall #QAnon #RedNationRising #POTUS
Read 4 tweets

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