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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
NEW: updated draft conclusions: 'EUCO agrees to an extension to 22 May, provided WA is approved by the HoC next week. If the WA is not approved by the HoC next week, EUCO agrees to an extension until 12 April, expects UK to indicate a way forward for the consideration of EUCO'
The wording in the conclusions is very clever. I am told it was driven by France & Germany.
A senior EU official tells me that on the basis of what has been decided, "in agreement with PM May":

- either WA approved by UK MPs next week, then orderly Brexit on 22 May

or

- 12 April disorderly Brexit, or request for another extension
Full story of today's rather lively Brexit #EUCO buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
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More from @AlbertoNardelli see all

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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
NEW: The European Union Thinks The UK Is Left With Two Choices After The Last 24 Hours Of Brexit Chaos buzzfeed.com/albertonardell…
The EU is sceptical of PM May’s chances of getting the Brexit deal through parliament. EU27 ambassadors were told today that the UK faces two choices: no-deal or a long extension.
Both choices come with a political and economic cost for the 27. A long extension would see the UK take part in the bloc’s decision making processes, while no-deal could see some member states & sectors require financial assistance.
Read 7 tweets
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
It’s been clear for two years that 1) UK redlines were irreconcilable with UK aspirations - from “frictionless trade” outside the single market & customs union to “easiest trade deal in history”: all bollocks 2) everyone would eventually run out of road, and have to face reality
May ploughed ahead, every day a new slogan. Some ministers put their heads in the sand hoping it would somehow go away, others quit to promise even greater fantasies, and much of the UK media misreported and cheered along as if it were a game
The result is that Britain is now faced with a shitshow of epic proportions.
Read 3 tweets
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Alberto Nardelli
@AlbertoNardelli
NEW: #EUCO Brexit draft conclusions state: ‘The European Council commits to agreeing to an extension until *22 May 2019*, provided the WA is approved by the HoC next week. Given that The UK does not intend to hold elections to the EP, no extension is possible beyond that date'
The conclusions will also 'approve the instrument relating to the WA and the joint statement supplementing the PD agreed between the European Commission and the UK in Strasbourg on 11 March 2019'
The leaders will also "take note" of Theresa May's letter.
Read 8 tweets

Related threads

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Timothy Garton Ash
@fromTGA
#euco #article50 extension decision was tough but rational. UK now has <3 weeks (until April 12, emergency summit pencilled in for April 10) finally to make up its mind. Parliament must now take control. Options, in diminishing order of *desirability* imho...thread follows./1
1. vote for Kyle-Wilson amendment, accepting her deal subject to 2nd 'confirmatory'referendum, then ask EU for longer extension, agreeing to hold European elections in UK...
2. revoke article 50 and start all over again.../2
3. Cross-party indicative vote majority for Norway Plus finally accepted by government (w/wout PM May), EU agrees to change Political Declaration, unchanged WA & Brexit by May 22
4. ditto, but only for plain vanilla customs union.../3
Read 6 tweets
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Tony Connelly
@tconnellyRTE
Worth noting: Page 2 of the EUCO draft conclusions warns there can be "no opening of the WA... Any unilateral commitment, statement or other act should be compatible with the letter and spirit of the WA."
I'm told this is a direct reference to Theresa May's letter to Tusk in which she signals her intention to "bring forward further domestic proposals that confirm my previous commitment to protect our internal market given the concerns expressed about the backstop."
In other words, the European Council draft warns May that any promises to the DUP must not undercut the backstop.
Read 3 tweets
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Bruno Waterfield
@BrunoBrussels
Extension.
There not a clear automatic majority, let alone unanimity, among EU27 for an extension.Different ideas conditions and length of extension
Extensions short or long will have lots of conditions and must come with a plan, EU will want MPs to decide on revoking Brexit, a second referendum or a soft exit
EU leaders, will according to most diplomats, extend until end of June as a relatively easy option.
The 23 May date is about pressure. One possibility is to set conditions, extend for 6 weeks with conditions that MPs must decide on revoke, referendum or soft Brexit to get a longer extension
Read 6 tweets
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Simon Usherwood
@Usherwood
#EUCO presser

We're going for the very short statements then. Actually, not much to be said
was Juncker suggesting some MS weren't unhappy about UK departure?
If I could face it, I'd start a list of "things we'll be bringing up in the future relationship negotiations" for the EU MS
Read 9 tweets
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Simon Usherwood
@Usherwood
Let's unpick Barnier's "6 to 8 weeks" timeline for a deal on the WA:

bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi…

1/
That's the first half of Nov, when we hear ever more mutterings about a special #EUCO

2/
Given the downgrading of the Oct #EUCO (now only one day) in light of non-progress, the new mtg wld be the most convenient first point to get the WA signed off

3/
Read 11 tweets
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Garvan Walshe
@garvanwalshe
#EUCO today. Sufficient Progress decision. How did we get here and where do we go? Thread.
1. UK miscalculated EU's unity, inflexibility, popularity among member states and overestimated UK's hand.
2. Unity: all agreed that importance of internal market to EU far outweighs importance of good deal with britain.
Read 7 tweets

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