Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #aq

Most recents (24)

@ajboekestijn @g900ap Robert van der Noordaa..zelfbenoemde #trollenvanger en #factchecker bij @volkskrant #activisten kliek die..zie ik nu..geen factgecheckte #feiten van een wel deskundige ter zake verdraagt met zijn blijkbaar (te) grote ego en gevoelige tenen..

Je moet het maar kunnen..🤷‍♂️🤦‍♂️
@ajboekestijn @g900ap @volkskrant >Geen idee waar Robert de deskundigheid, kennis en inzicht vandaan haalt om dit zo stellig te beoordelen als dat de wel objectieve en verifieerbare feiten zijn oordeel alleen al ontkrachten. Hoezo #factchecker? Hij #trolt nu zijn #complottheorie zelf als een volleerd #wappie.>
@ajboekestijn @g900ap @volkskrant >Wie wie heeft #vergiftigd en waarom is nog helemaal niet glashelder noch in enig rechtszaak vastgesteld. Weer volstrekt #wappie reactie en duiding van #RobertvanderNoordaa. Als ook feitelijk onjuiste conclusie wat Rusland van plan was of is. Dat is #propaganda, #complottheorie.>
Read 48 tweets
1. In recent months, we’ve been tracking chatter about the World Cup in #Qatar across #IS, #AQ, and Shi'a militant group (#SMG) networks online.
2. Interest has been fairly limited in #AQ & #SMG ecosystems but #IS|ers have been calling for attacks, with momentum for these calls spiking in recent days.

Graphs show incidence of posts with “Qatar” (yellow), “World Cup” (blue), and “football” (red).

1: #SMG; 2: #AQ; 3: #IS
3. One #IS call-to-arms singles out teams / supporters of Coalition member states, above all #US and #France.

There have also been multiple assertions that attacks needn’t happen only in #Qatar, the logic being that an attack anywhere during the WC will be maximally disruptive.
Read 5 tweets
1. Time for a status update on #IS.

We’ve been collecting and analysing #IS comms and chatter continuously for the last few years.

This is what the short- (50-day) and long-term (200-day) rolling averages look like for #IS attacks as of 10 October 2022.
2. In #Syria, after a three-fold decline across 2020/21, #IS’s reported activities have been hovering at roughly the same level since last summer.

Note that there was a fleeting surge after the #Ghwayran prison-break, but nothing sustained.

See tweet #12 for caveat.
3. In #Iraq, #IS’s network is seemingly in a similar place.

These days, less than half as many attacks are being reported on average compared with this time in 2020 and 2021.

See tweet #12 for caveat.
Read 13 tweets
A thread about the tactical difference with local forces between #IS and #AQ.
The big difference between the Islamic State and Al-Qaeda in dealing with local armed groups that cooperate with them is that #IS demands a merger under its complete control. #AQ, on the other hand, is satisfied with military cooperation without any control over these groups.
Al-Qaeda hopes to gain long-term loyalty by cooperating with these armed groups, even though they know that these groups do not pursue jihadist goals. The same tactics were used by jihadists in the past decades in countries like #Algeria, #Egypt or #Libya.
Read 8 tweets
Helping #Somalia-"We get it by, with & through" partnerships, LtGen Michael Langley, nominated to lead @USAfricaCommand, tells SASC

"It's the best thing that will thwart the great power competition that's coming w/these false value propositions" from #Russia, #China
US working w/#Africa|n countries to help them establish maritime exclusion zones - "That's going to be the biggest deterrent, or assurance actions... that's going to deter #China from trying to take over the West Coast of the African continent" per LtGen Langley
"#AFRICOM needs more resources, not less" per SASC Ranking Member @JimInhofe, saying he's heard rumors support to @USAfricaCommand is going to be downgraded
Read 14 tweets
General McKenzie, commander of #CENTCOM told the U.S. Senate Armed Services Committee on March 15:
1. #ISKP poses a moderate to high threat to the Taliban& civilians. The group could establish an external attack capability against the U.S.& its allies in 12-18 months, or sooner.
2. #AQ will most likely continue to #maintain_a_low_profile under pressure from the #Taliban, which seeks international legitimacy. AQ likely still aspires to recruit& train, & if successful, restore an external attack capability against the U.S. & its allies in 12 to 24 months.
3. For the U.S., conducting CT operations in AFG from “over the horizon” remains difficult, but not impossible. Withdrawal of U.S. forces has exacerbated gaps in our intelligence. Reductions in consistent CT pressure potentially could enable VEO groups to pose increased #threats.
Read 4 tweets
Short Thread 🧵

1/ According to pro-#AQ channels, the new leader of the #IslamicState is Professor Zaid, also known as “Haji Zaid” (See photo).
His name is Bashar Khattab Ghazal al-Sumaida'i.


@ColinPClarke @ToreRHamming @NihadJariri @hxhassan @colebunzel @Minalami Image
2/ Also according to pro-#AQ channels, al-Sumaida'i was previously a member of Ansar al-Sunna and joined #ISIS in 2013, in the city of #Mosul, #Iraq
3/ After the organization took control of #Mosul, Abu Muslim al-Turkmani appointed him as the head of the Court of Justice and Claims over the city of Mosul.
Read 3 tweets
#Nigeria 🇳🇬: #AQ-allied #Ansaru released an #EidAlFitr video on November (it was probably scheduled to be released in 2022).

An interesting AK-103 (AK-103-2 from #Libya or AK-103 from #Mali), Zastava M05E1 & E3 rifles and a stockless Zastava M70B1 rifle can be seen.

1/ ImageImage
Zastava M05E1 rifles are usually smuggled/sourced from #Cameroon. It can be seen in the hands of various groups such as Boko Haram/#JaS and #ISWAP.

2/ ImageImage
On the other hand, it is possible to see the Zastava M05E3 rifles in various countries in region such as #BurkinaFaso —third photo shows an M05E3 rifle captured by #ISWAP/#ISGS from Police Forces in NE of Burkina Faso on Feb 29, 2020.

3/ ImageImageImage
Read 7 tweets
Excellent rapport ⁦@ICG_Sahel⁩ ⁦@CrisisGroup⁩, cependant 3remarques: Aanabi fut l’inspirateur de Droukdel donc il poursuivra; il est peu probable que #JNIM coupe avec #AQ; la pression #Barkhane est un facteur important qui pousse JNIM à la négo…
Les questions que j’ai pu soumettre à Abou Oubaïda Youssef al-Aanabi à la tête du conseil des notables d’AQMI à la quelle @CrisisGroup fait référence. L’actuel émir d’#AQMI, successeur de #Droukdel, avait répondu en 57m à 12questions
De votre serviteur au sujet du nouveau commandement #AQMI d’Abou Oubaïda Youssef al-Aanabi pour @NewlinesInst
Read 5 tweets
#CongressHearings: there was a third option between continous war and surrender to the #Taliban. Win that war, empower the people and reform the educational system.
There was no option to go in, defeat the Taliban in 2001, and leaving with no change in society. Like going to n WWII Nazi Germany, and leave without establishing a democratic republic.
In my view any #TalibanDeal is wrong, as would have been a #NaziDeal, or #FascistDeal. But the "deal" that was applied by the #Biden Adm on the ground, facilitated the rise of a #JihadiState. Reality on the ground.
Read 18 tweets
Pro-#AQ media channels on Telegram today published in Pdf, the second updated edition of Fayez Mohammed Ahmed al-Kandari's book, entitled: “Serious affliction and new birth, fourteen years in Guantánamo”.

1/ Short thread:

Who is al-Kandari? Image
Al-Kandari is a Kuwaiti jihadist, detained from 2002 to 2016 in the prison of Guantanamo Bay (central topic of the book, the author's dedication quoted: “I will not try to convince you, but I will try to put truth, grave affliction and new birth in your hands”).

Al-Kandari is a Jihad veteran, recruited militants for the Afghan-Soviet war, trained and worked in the Khaldan camp. He personally knew Osama bin Laden and was with him in Tora Bora. Member of #alQaeda and alleged leader of AQ and member of the #AQC.
Read 6 tweets
NEW: Just released @UN report warns of "heightened threats emerging" from #ISIS #alQaida affiliated groups worldwide

"This is especially true in parts of West and East #Africa" per the report, based on member state intelligence
In West/East #Africa, affiliates of #ISIS #alQaida "can boast gains in supporters and territory under threat, as well as growing capabilities in fundraising & weapons, for example, in the use of drones" per the @UN report
#ISIS in #Syria "has evolved into an entrenched insurgency, exploiting weaknesses in local security to find safe havens & targeting forces engaged in counter-ISIL operations" per the @UN report
Read 55 tweets
#Mali première longue production #JNIM #AQMI depuis un moment avec des images inédites des affrontements & bombardements des derniers mois au #Mali
On remarque l’usage d’un véhicule blindé de la MINUSMA lors des entraînements, peut être celui utilisé à #Boni en février dernier ImageImage
Présence du kamikaze au tricycle qui a visé un convoi #Barkhane à Issey Image
Read 11 tweets
HAPPENING NOW: Senate Intelligence Committee's Hearing on Worldwide Threats

"We look to our intelligence agencies to provide their best & most objective analytic judgments" per Chairman @MarkWarner " of bias, & not “shaded” in any way to fit a particular policy or agenda"
"We're going to need to discuss the situation in #Afghanistan" per @MarkWarner, in introductory remarks...…
"It's the one time a year where the American public & the members of Congress here in the Senate get an unvarnished presentation by an apolitical intelligence community of the real national security threats" per Vice Chair @marcorubio
Read 56 tweets
This is great by @jeromedrev & @patrickhaenni -- #HTS has come to represent something uniquely challenging.

After violently achieving domination (vs. #FSA, #AQ & #ISIS), it's now pursuing a policy of "gradual opening & mainstreamisation," giving concessions & seeking acceptance.
@jeromedrev @patrickhaenni The U.S, #Europe & #Turkey should press #HTS to address concerns & "define clear benchmarks which (if met) could enable HTS to shed its “terrorist” label," argue @dkhalifa & @NoahBonsey.

Doing so would symbolize a new diplomacy+military approach to CT.…
@jeromedrev @patrickhaenni @dkhalifa @NoahBonsey Following yesterday's public revelation of #HTS hosting @FrontlinePBS (& others) in #Idlib, my thread below details how the former #AlQaeda affiliate has adapted in recent yrs & created new realities & challenges/dilemmas we'll have to deal w. eventually:

Read 4 tweets
Months ago, the top @StateDept Counterterrorism official said #alQaida was "on the ropes, no doubt"

Now, @SecPompeo says #AQ poses "a grave threat" from its new "home base" in #Iran

A look at the long, complicated AQ-Iran relationship & what it means...…
NEW: US slapping #Iran, foundations controlled by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei w/new sanctions

Sanctions target Execution of Imam Khomeini’s Order (EIKO, Astan Quds Razavi (AQR) which allow regime "to exploit a system of ownership over a wide range of sectors of Iran’s economy"
"While purportedly charitable organizations (bonyads), EIKO and AQR control large swaths of the #Iran|ian economy, including assets expropriated from political dissidents & religious minorities" per @USTreasury
Read 5 tweets
#AlAndalous dans une vidéo de 20:26 #AQMI annonce, par la voix d’Abou al-Nouman al-Chinkiti, que le successeur d’Abou Mossaab Abdel Wadoud #Droukdel est Abou Oubaïda Youssef #AlAanabi
Dans cette vidéo que j’ai reçu deux photos inédites d’Abou Mosaab Abdel Wadoud #Droukdel de son vivant et mort
Abou al-Nouman affirme que les jihadistes libérés par Bamako l’ont été en échange de « deux otages » ce qui confirme le processus parallèle concernant les otages italiens
Read 8 tweets
De source propre #AQMI évoque
(1)« la campagne de la #France pour nuire au Prophète [...] les Français doivent savoir que la poursuite de cette campagne par leur Président ne fera qu’augmenter la détermination des musulmans de venger ceux qui s’attaquent au prophète [...] »
(2) #AQMI appelle « au boycott des produits français est le minimum pour un croyant » évoque nommément « le tchétchène tueur du prof mort en martyr comme tout musulman en capacité d’exécuter cette sentence qui ne revient pas exclusivement au gouverneur mais à tout musulman »
(3)Pas question de mention de #Nice. Au sujet de la jurisprudence #AQ pour épargner les lieux de cultes, on m’a affirmé qu’elle était «implicitement présente p4/ne demandez d’autorisation pour tuer celui qui insulte le prophète...mais épargnez ceux qu’il est illégitime de viser»
Read 5 tweets
#Mali (1) réception #JNIM #AQMI des jihadistes libérés par #Bamako suite à l’échange #Cissé #Petronin (sur 7:03)
#Mali #Sahel (2) Iyad Ag Ghali #JNIM #AQMI lors de la réception des jihadistes libérés. Des captures ont déjà été diffusées (0:43/3:48) + une 3e vidéo de 8:41
#Mali #Sahel Iyad Ag Ghali #JNIM #AQMI « on est en guerre contre les croisés et cette guerre continue, on ne va pas perdre du temps avec les grands rassemblements, on va s’assurer que nos frères rejoignent et leurs familles, leurs domiciles et leurs positions de combats »
Read 6 tweets
So, who joined #IS but has been ordered to keep it quite (by al-Qurashî's audio)? The keeping it quite part IMO rules out groups with a monopoly on jihâdist violence in their area. #IS has never been shy to announce such acquisitions even when this meant international scrunity. /
Cases in point would be its provinces in Libya and the Phillipines whose territorial control was crushed by bombings of international coalitions. I don't think that this approach has changed when looking at Mozambique right now. 2/
The #ISCA province is very much on the offensive and has been noted as a security risk by international actors. The military intervention of a strong local or global force is only a question of time. 3/
Read 15 tweets
#Conflans : le terroriste était en contact avec un djihadiste à #Idleb #Syrie, @jpham_le @jmdecugis @le_Parisien
signe d’une confusion désormais classique dans sa conscience politique, il glorifie #HTS qui est en guerre ouverte contre #AQ & #EI ...…
Une de mes dernières chroniques au sujet de la situation à #Idleb après l’arrestation d’Omar Omsen par #HTS et les raids conduits contre plusieurs « bastions » de Hurraseddine branche #Syrie-nne d’#AlQaeda
J’ai questionné #HTS au sujet des contacts que l’assassin de #SamuelPaty a entrepris avec un russophone à #Idleb
Read 4 tweets

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