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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
, 5 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
EU top official stressing today’s seat at the table for EEA members - popular option for compromise-seeking remainers, but in recent weeks Vote Leave campaigners such as George Eustice are pushing it hard, trying to persuade other Leavers around too...
The fundamental red line bar on the EEA option as far as Number 10 saw it - came because of need to accept Freedom of Movement, though are extra EEA powers to limit it. Not all Leavers share May view, particularly as market forces (£slide) have collapsed net EU migration anyway
other main issue for ERG is jurisdiction EU law - but it is not directly from European Court of Justice, its from intermediate court, also in Lux called the EFTA court - I visited a few weeks after referendum, when EEA still in play, before the red line:
Scenes, if PM had not flown home this morning and appeared with the rest of the EEA leaders under this banner.
Why are they all looking to the right - looking for the missing British PM?!
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
British Social Attitudes Survey author Prof John Curtice: its results, corroborated by polls “is enough to raise doubts about whether, two and half years after the original ballot, leaving the EU necessarily continues to represent the view of a majority of the British public”
hasn’t been a single poll in almost a year now with Leave lead. 70 polls since GE17 show only two (+1) leads, 5 Ties, 63 Remain leads, recent avg plus 7/8 remain.

Hypothesis: General Election 2017 was a structural break in polled support for Remain/Leave

Via @britainelects
Eg compare the year before GE2017 with past year:
Read 6 tweets
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
EU says it has completed No Deal preparations... europa.eu/rapid/press-re…
“EU will be required to immediately apply its rules and tariffs at its borders with the UK.... these controls could cause significant delays at the border.”

Seems to be confirmation of third country tariffs being applied to all UK exports into EU under WTO rules - 45% of exports
“We would apply WTO tariffs” confirms EU via @Stone_SkyNews
Read 3 tweets
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
Too many MPs don’t seem to realise that No Deal on Friday is already off (or rather postponed till April 12)

The repeal on exit date of European Communities Act in the EUWA has not been commenced by the Government.

They could cause a spot of legal anarchy tho by refusing SI
1/2 The Government has the power to introduce different parts of the EUWA at different moments. The central feature of it - repealing the European Communities Act (s1) (and thus EU law) on exit day - has not been done yet (s25.4).
2/2
 So under EU law we don’t leave on Friday (Barrow letter, & unanimous EU Council decision published in official journal) & EU law still applies on Friday because of the above. SI doesn’t change these two facts - not passing it will create a mess tho.
Read 5 tweets

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WaterBluSky
@MsMariaT
“In 12/18, So African intel officials confirmed to me that Banks, who owns diamond mines, had been the subject of two investigations by the Hawks....” (Hawks being, So African version of FBI).
Further, An American lawyer with knowledge of the Mueller investigation, says BOTH, Nigel Farage and Arron Banks are persons of interest in that inquiry. (First I’m reading of Banks being a POI - anyone have info/link on that? 🤔)
@Klickedy So Africa 🤔
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Douglas Unwin #StandFirm
@DouglasUnwin
LIST OF CONSERVATIVE MPS IN LEAVE VOTING CONSTITUENCIES:

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Read 52 tweets
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Ulf Sverdrup
@USverdrup
The UK is still considering the Norway options. Why is Norway reluctant to UK joining the #EEA? Here is a thread (11 points) laying out some issues. Some of these concerns also applies to other #EFTA states @NickBoles @simonjhix @anandMenon1 @HusseinHKassim @nupinytt, @sletnes
1/11 The overall optics. The EEA has been a good platform for integration with the EU. N has benefited from integration. Some fear the UK might use it as platform for disintegration.
2/11 One voice. When new legal acts are added to the EEA Agreement, the EFTA states speaks with one voice. UK will therefore have a veto over Norway and vice versa. N and UK share interests in many areas, but disagree in some important areas. 8000 + legal acts have been added.
Read 12 tweets
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J.N. PAQUET ✒
@jnpaquet
How @DailyMailUK twisted the results of @Survation poll and created a nice little frontpage to support Theresa May with some beautiful YESes in red and some lovely supporting words, even though the front page does not actually reflects the results of the poll...
So, let's have a closer look at some of the questions asked and the ACTUAL answers of voters...
Q1. When UK Govt's negotiations over the terms of Britain's exit from #EU are complete, would you support or oppose holding a People's Vote - a referendum - asking the public their view?

- Support 48% 👈
- Oppose 34%
- Don't know 18%

Large margin 14% to support a #PeoplesVote!
Read 18 tweets
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Steve Analyst
@EmporersNewC
1. OK, John, since you’ve asked this question, let me try to explain this issue.
2. In their application Vote Leave made it clear they weren’t seeking to set out future relationship with the EU, but instead their “sole purpose” was to campaign to leave the European Union and maximise voter participation and turnout.
3. The application also states that the campaign will represent smaller groups. That the full range of options arguing for a ‘Leave’ outcome deserve to be heard, and they have to be heard for a successful outcome.

That all their concerns are ‘legitimate’ and ‘equally valid’.
Read 44 tweets
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RemainerNow #FBPE #finalsay
@RemainerNow
.@stephen501 is another #leave voter who wishes he had the chance to vote again now the facts of what #brexit means are becoming clear. Good on you for coming forward Stephen, you are one of millions, just need others to show the same humility! #remainernow #finalsay #fbpe
Here is more from Stephen following his visit to Germany. Highlights the ideologues lies that EU will give us a good deal as they need us more than we need them.
Here is another tweet from #remainernow @stephen501 after he regretted his leave vote he wrote to his MP. Hopefully he can also help persuade other leave voters he knows to do the same now #brexitreality is hitting!
Read 11 tweets

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