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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
New #EP2019 polling UK

The % vote going to the Brexit Party is now bigger than Con+Lab

Conservatives facing meltdown

Brexit Party 34 (+6)
Labour 21 (-7)
Lib Dem 12 (+5)
Conservative 11 (-3)
Green 8 (+2)
UKIP 4 (+1)
Change UK 3 (-4)

Opinium May 7 (change since Apr 23)
This gives us a bit more evidence not only of the lingering strength of populist Euroscepticism in British politics (UKIP+Brexit Party combined now on 38%) but also of the recovery of Lib Dems, Greens vs continued failure of Change UK
This was all so utterly predictable.
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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
'Identity politics is tearing society apart' - looking forward to this debate tonight w/ Lionel Shriver, Trevor Phillips, David Lammy & Dawn Foster @intelligence2 #iq2
What do you think? "Is identity politics tearing society apart?"
Shriver: "Without victimhood, they have no idea who they are".
Read 4 tweets
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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Watching a #Brexit Party rally:

Widdecombe: "I said that Prime Minister Theresa May was the worst Prime Minister since Anthony Eden. Well, I apologise to Mr Eden".

#ep2019
Guest speaker is Václav Klaus
Farage says if Brexit Party wins #ep2019 it puts WTO exit back on the table for October
Read 7 tweets
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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
1/3 In 1964, and in what would become a seriously influential essay, the American historian Richard Hofstadter talked of politics being infected by what he called "the paranoid style"
it includes "heated exaggeration, suspiciousness & conspiratorial fantasy .. the enemy possesses a especially effective source of power: he controls the press; has unlimited funds; has a secret for influencing the mind (brainwashing); he has a special technique for seduction"
Hofstadter argued that the paranoid style was especially prominent among people who shared an intense sense of "powerlessness" - a feeling that "the country has been taken away from them" - all of which fuelled a tendeny to view the world in apocalyptic, conspiratorial terms
Read 4 tweets

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Peter Wilding
@eurorealist
Farmers face the biggest Brexit hit and still they don’t think they need to worry! THREAD
In a grim report published on Friday, the #government Agricultural, Horticultural and Development Board @TheAHDB predicted that post-Brexit #farming incomes would fall by 25%. @FarmingUK /1
This wasn’t just in an apocalyptic #NoDeal scenario. If it was, farmers seeing this figure could mutter Project Fear and carry on their arduous work. The problem is that this collapse occurs IN ANY BREXIT SCENARIO @bbcfarmingtoday. /2
It is no exaggeration that entire enterprises, for example poultry production, could be unviable if the AHDB predictions are correct as @RCorbettMEP notes. This is a problem because, in Shropshire @BBCShropshire poultry accounts for 86% of all cattle and livestock. /3
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⚢⚧🌸Sakura No Seirei🌸
@SakuraNoSeirei
#Brexit news for today:

Nigel Adams, Minister for Wales, and Governement whip has resigned the #Cabinet over #TheresaMay's way forward.

1/n
You can hear #TheresaMay's reaction from here

2/n
So the splitting of the #ToryParty continues. Where will it end? And can we expect resignations from #Labour if #Corbyn is seen as giving up too much to #TheresaMay during the discussions tonight.

3/n
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Isolated Brit
@IsolatedBrit
#Brexit & political disillusionment thread...
Thought #EURef campaign would be based on facts, not lies. I was wrong.
Thought media would call out #Brexit -er lies & challenge obvious bollocks. I was wrong.
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Mark Stone
@Stone_SkyNews
NEW: @theresa_may is to request only 'short delay' to Brexit in letter to EU a government source has told @tamcohen. [thread]
news.sky.com/story/theresa-…
It’s understood her original preference was to ask EU for a short extension which could be lengthened if needed, or a long one with a break clause in it.
But @MichelBarnier told me yesterday that it’s short or long, not both.
.@MichelBarnier also made clear that a specific reason must be given to warrant an extension: “Needs to be linked to something new - a new event, new political process.“
So:
- election?
- 2nd referendum?
- new cross-party political declaration (removing May red lines)?
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Jack D 🌹| #GTTO | ✋🏽
@JackDunc1
#Brexit *Thread*

To clarify, I am remain, but I feel a 2nd ref is monumentally risky & perhaps dangerous:-

1. Polls haven't changed much, result could easily be the same
2. Another campaign of hate will embolden the far right
3. If remain win. Leavers will demand another vote
4. Chaos & unrest are likely whatever the result, possibly violence too

What happens if it's still 'Leave'? Picture the chaos, square one. You're simply allowing the Tories more time to fail to come up with a solution. Every day that continues people in this country will suffer
What if it's 'Remain'? Leavers will, with some justification, query why this vote is more valid than the first. This has the potential to cause a constitutional crisis.

People can say 'we know the facts now' all they like, that will not placate millions of angry voters.
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Lesley Miller
@LesleyMillercyp
#Brexit 1
Cadbury moved factory 2 Poland 2011 with EU grant.
Ford Transit moved 2Turkey 2013 with EU grant.
Jaguar Land Rover recently agreed 2 build a new plant in Slovakia with EU grant, owned by Tata, same company who trashed our steel industry & emptied workers pension funds.
#Brexit 2
Peugeot closed its Ryton (was Rootes Group) plant and moved production to Slovakia with EU grant.
British Army's new Ajax fighting vehicles to be built in SPAIN using SWEDISH steel at the request of the EU to support jobs in Spain with EU grant, rather than Wales.
#Brexit 3
Dyson gone 2 Malaysia, with EU loan. Crown Closures, Bournemouth (Was METAL BOX), gone 2Poland with EU grant,employed 1,200.
M&S manufacturing gone 2far east with EU loan.
Hornby models gone. In fact all toys & models gone from UK along with patents all with EU grants
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