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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Been trying to get from Downtown Indianapolis to the speedway and traffic problems undoubtedly made worse by GPS apps routing people onto closed streets (e.g. 10th St.)

(This tweet is both a humblebrag and a parable for the limitations of AI.)
Navigation apps are also really dumb about insisting on getting you to an *exact* destination rather than an *approximate* destination from which you can walk and often save quite a bit of time. This is also an issue with e.g. one-way streets in Manhattan.
Pretty sweet race though.
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Listening to the @ZachLowe_NBA @HowardBeck podcast convo about what Durant's risk of reinjury was and whether the Warriors just got unlucky.

My 2c: While people are often too results-oriented, I think this probably *is* a case where the result suggests the Warriors screwed up.
Why? Because 1) There's not a lot of data on rushing guys back from injuries (especially if you want data on particular types of injuries, e.g. calf injuries) since NBA teams are usually pretty careful, so the Warriors' priors can't have been that strong.
and 2) The injury came early in the game on a routine play and 3) They were "all-in", with KD playing lots of minutes at a high pace vs. a very good opponent after barely having practiced.

So yeah this really should prompt questions about the Warriors' decision-making process.
Read 3 tweets
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
A lot of early-state polls starting to look good for Warren & sometimes also Buttigieg. fivethirtyeight.com/features/silve…
Overall, the gap between Biden and the rest of the top tier has closed somewhat. This is a bit predictable in national polls (i.e. Biden's bounce has faded somewhat just like everyone else's bounce did) but IA/NH could be challenging for him even if SC/NV potentially pretty good.
There's a decent case that Warren has emerged as a clear No. 2.

Also a case (which I mostly don't buy) that Harris has fallen off the lead lap. Her favorables are good but she isnt a lot of people's first choice.

But let's wait and see what things look like after the debate.
Read 3 tweets
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Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
SandersBrothers can't seem to decide if they should tout how good their polling is or claim that polls are unreliable and should be ignored.
To be fair it's tricky because if you assume that primaries are 100% predictable based on polls, then Biden wins, but if you assume that primaries are totally unpredictable, then Bernie has like a 1/23 chance but it's the same as Bill de Blasio or whatever.
SandersBrothers should therefore embrace the sort of probabilistic thinking espoused by 538, which aptly assesses that he's among the stronger candidates but not the favorite, and that everyone but **maybe** Biden is inherently something of a longshot with 23 runners in the race.
Read 3 tweets

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Russell T. Warne
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Olive O'Connor
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Dr Ben Britton
@BMatB
Digging into some of the literature in advance of a talk I am giving next week on LGBTQ+ and STEM. #lgbtSTEM

Will tweet some 'highlights' from the literature: mdpi.com/2076-0760/6/1/…
LGBTQ+ rights in STEM are not better with age, and it is not just about waiting for the older generation to die off. #lgbtSTEM

mdpi.com/2076-0760/6/1/…
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Charity Majors
@mipsytipsy
people often ask me for links where they can learn about observability. i often link to @copyconstruct pieces, the honeycomb ebook, my own stuff. but now i have a new favorite, because these slides from @dotpem's talk at @QConSF .. are.. 💣💥. qconsf.com/system/files/p…
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Tim Walker
@TWalk
So who wants to hear about my week? Spoiler: it involves struggling to breathe, getting my insides fluoroscoped, and completely changing everything I eat and drink, including giving up all alcohol and caffeine, maybe forever.

You game?
Assuming your answer is yes, here goes:

Last Saturday night I started experiencing shortness of breath — never happened to me before — and I had no idea why.

/2
I thought it was a stress reaction, like some low-grade version of a panic attack. Not unreasonable given that (a) members of my family have had them over the years, and (b) I've been under a terrible amount of personal stress for a long while now.

/3
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