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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Apparently the DUP don't monitor twitter on a Friday afternoon to know when they're being offered up as the Brexit compromise and presumably the new PM can find a different 10 MPs to make sure they have a majority...
More seriously I know there's long been London chatter that the Brexit solution will be the Northern Ireland only backstop and stuff the DUP, but I've always been sceptical, that the solution has to be north-south and east-west and not just ignore the latter
Missed this. What better day to be debating whether Northern Ireland should follow different trading rules to Great Britain than the Bank Holiday the rest of the UK doesn't have
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
It is important to see a no-deal Brexit not as some conspiracy, but potentially the logical conclusion of UK politicians refusing to admit that not everything promised in a referendum was deliverable and compromises would be needed. Which in turn is a terrible future platform
We see the same refusal to confront reality repeated in discussion about a future US trade deal - "they'll have to adopt our food standards" - or most pertinently @BorderIrish - of course we can have no infrastructure even when every other border outside the EU has it
My reply to this sparked many replies agreeing or disagreeing, but you have to remember the context of 2017- the EU having to try to introduce the UK to negotiating reality. If we leave with no-deal that task will pass to the US. They won't be gentle
Read 5 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Rather than learning from the failures of the Theresa May's Brexit negotiation it seems that both candidates are intent on repeating them, only this time shouting rather than talking, as the joke about the English abroad goes.

Let's explain again (thread) all of those mistakes
Mistake 1 - setting no clear realistic outcome

We can all set our negotiating strategy as wanting everything we want, and nothing the other side wants. It doesn't work. And when the other side says no, and you don't have the granular detail of what you want, even less well 2/
Even outside the issues of the Irish backstop, the leadership candidates do not seem to know what relationship they want with the EU in the future beyond no-tariffs. Modern trade is complicated, what of services, regulations etc? 3/
Read 18 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Doubling down on the complete failure of telling the EU what to do in negotiations, we're going to do the same with the US...

The extreme Brexiteer logic leads to UK isolation because of the opposition to any compromise.
Another big moment will come when Johnson faces the reality of negotiating with the EU without a Parliamentary majority. The latter in particular does not yet seem to register

Elaborate devices and various glosses are at the very heart of treaty making in the modern world, to provide comfort to those conceding, as you must in some areas to get mutual benefit. When will Brexit reality strike?

Read 3 tweets

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Right let’s talk folks. About home. What’s in it anyway? Home is home right? Just like Brexit is Brexit, it can mean different things to different people. It’s just surprising how *many* people equate home with place. Home is not a house or town or country. 1/
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Brexit is the backstop; the backstop is #Brexit.

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1/Thread
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/3
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#New Traders, Understand #Mathematics Of #Profit In Market Before You Put Hard #Earned Money On Risk.

Expectancy = Success Rate x Reward Risk Ratio

Lets Talk About Expectancy Of Short Term Directional Trading System.

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