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4 tweets,
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Today's long twitter discussion on Conservative anti no-deal rebels perhaps best summarised in one tweet.
Right now I'd say chances are roughly no-deal 45%, extension and election 40%, revised deal 15%.
Right now I'd say chances are roughly no-deal 45%, extension and election 40%, revised deal 15%.
I come back to my earlier thought that the anti no-deal plan is probably voting against no-deal in Sept, but waiting until Oct for any confidence vote or similar - that way strengthening the case by saying the Gov failed to follow the will of Parliament
Another of many possibilities - how about if the Gov itself proposes an election in early Sept, for mid-Oct? Needs two thirds majority, but Labour would have to support, and gets rid of the Parliament problem for a few weeks. Gamble on Johnson being very short lived PM though
None of these scenarios are good for business in deciding whether to spend money preparing for no-deal or not
