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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Amid general confusion in Westminster we have the reassuring tradition of the Labour Party leadership issuing different statements over Brexit. Perhaps we can go back to those calm and heady days before *checks notes* last Thursday
This seems most likely to be Labour's position, not least because in the current chaos nobody knows what will happen tomorrow. And still nobody's really talking about what happens in the House of Lords over the anti no-deal Bill...
Now we have more Conservative MPs wanting to rebel against the Government, to be allowed to say they agree with the previous Government's Withdrawal Agreement, and what they voted for a few months ago. Do these ones get sacked as well if they rebel?
It should be blindingly obvious by now that there really is no simple answer to our Brexit woes, and we need to find alternate ways to solve the problem. Unfortunately it isn't.
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Wonder whether anyone in Number 10 is familiar with Healey's 1st law of holes?

When you're in one stop digging.
Has been one bad decision after another - prorogue, mislead (repeatedly), lose, expel, fail (to get an election).

Too much hubris, too little listening.
At the heart of the matter - the Conservative Party cannot be both the party of no-deal (maximise Brexit Party votes) and deal (maximise traditional business Conservative votes).

And efforts to do so stretch credibility beyond breaking point.
Read 7 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
The kind of cunning Johnson plan that has failed every time so far. Whilst it seems unlikely that anti no-dealers could reach agreement on a new PM in time, they appear to be working well enough together that it might just happen.

Didn't work too well for Salvini after all.
If they no-confidence themselves it really is government as game show. Its scarcely surprising that relatively sane Conservative MPs want out if there's a chance they have to go through 5 years of this week's immaturity pretending to be government.
It occurs to me that if the Government were to no-confidence themselves all opposition parties should just stay out of the chamber and say that they refuse to take part in such an absolute charade.

And by the way we're meeting over the road to work out who the next PM will be.
Read 3 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Great analysis - negotiations fell apart not just because Johnson showed he could not command Parliament, but also due to UK request to remove level playing field provisions without which no agreement of any sort.
Major markets like the EU and US do not give preferential access to this for free (even if that would be economically beneficial) - you have to sign up to their conditions whether on labour, competition, or regulations.
Category error to think trade deals are straightforward because they are economically beneficial. Those benefits typically come at the expense of vested interests, a political cost that must see an equal or greater political or economic benefit
Read 4 tweets

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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
So this morning you may have read versions of the "EU fixes Irish border" in event of a #brexit no deal....and yet 🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨 today NI civil service publishes paper on what 'no deal' looks like for Northern Irish businesses. What did they find? (Tldr: it's not good!) 1/Thread
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THIS: from the summary: "Overall the report is a sobering reflection of the limited room for manoeuvre for businesses and government in a no deal context."

Do I need to translate? "Sobering" is mandarin-speak for "full-blown shitshow". /3

HERE:economy-ni.gov.uk/sites/default/…
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Brexit, but in gifs.

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The Leave Campaign prior to the referendum:
The Remain Campaign prior to the referendum:
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So. End of a grim week for #Brexit. Everyone says ‘no deal’ is impossible right? Can’t happen? I’m not so sure. Here’s why

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Labour leader @jeremycorbyn delivering #Brexit speech in Wakefield: Let there be no doubt: Theresa May’s deal is a bad deal for our country and Labour will vote against it next week in parliament.
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South Cambs LibDems
@SCLibDems
A short thread on how we got to where we are:

#Tory Party 2015:

Cameron:
Those extremist Eurosceptics in my party need to be stopped.
I'll call a Referendum on Europe once and for all
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Leaver #Tories: Let's
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People: Ok - let's #Brexit

Cameron: I know I started this but I'm off
May:
I'm here.
Strong and Stable.

May:
There will be no General Election till 2020
We will be out of the Customs Union
We will not be under ECJ rule
I'll remove your rights to live & work in EU but I'll call it a good thing because Immigrants are bad
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