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, 5 tweets, 4 min read
I suspect there will be plenty of Brexit takes over the coming days, @rolandmcs always finds interesting angles...
@rolandmcs From @PatLeahyIT - my own view is that while the outlines of a deal can be seen, there is a lot of detail to put in place, which could affect the Westminister vote - my example would be how to administer agriculture quotas in Northern Ireland irishtimes.com/news/politics/…
@rolandmcs @PatLeahyIT Then there's the wider packaging of any Brexit deal to provide a narrative to both sides... NB you'd think Johnson must have the advantage over May on this one but issue is different domestic audiences
@rolandmcs @PatLeahyIT A few of you are asking detailed questions about how the dual Northern Ireland customs system may work. I'm not sure I have or have seen answers - and don't think there are detailed reports anywhere to go on
@rolandmcs @PatLeahyIT A week to agree all details between negotiators, publish them, provide guidance, scrutinise, then vote in Parliament, is heroic / probably undeliverable. So how does any of this talking get structured around the timescales available? We wait to hear...
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
That would be simultaneous negotiation with EU, US and Japan, to reach agreements with all three in three years. Start with three of the four biggest global markets. Without knowing what you want from any of the agreements beyond 'free trade' however defined.
Will look forward to seeing whether the Trade Bill says anything about the arrangements by which these new agreements will be scrutinised. And perhaps a clause about realistic expectations from a Secretary of State
The UK should not look to quickly negotiate trade agreements with huge markets after Brexit. We first need to know what our actual interests are and will be in ten years time. This takes time. A political decision, likely to cost us.
Read 4 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
And then what...?
A reminder of why new Brexit legal text by Thursday seems unlikely...
Apparently this... (it would by any standards be complete lunacy to leave the EU with no-deal if you had agreed to a deal but run out of time to implement in Parliament. Bouncing Parliament into passing with no scrutiny not much better)
Read 4 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Agree. Not helpful for EU to keep raising Northern Ireland only backstop, as suggests they aren't respecting UK red lines (you may not like them, but they should be respected)
Unusually lively response. Mostly one suspects from those who don't like UK Government red lines. It is true that these should be set with a lot more care than the UK took - if you don't you get the mess we have. But still important to not keep trying to breach red lines of other
Sorry it is incompatible to see EU red lines as real and UK ones as invented, or vice versa. They both reflect what the governments of the day believe. They may change, but until they do... and yes I see this from both sides of the UK Brexit debate
Read 3 tweets

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Georgina Wright
@GeorginaEWright
What is France's latest thinking on #Brexit? Quick thread after my visit to Paris last week:
1. Frustration: What does UK *really* want? UK want a deal but have yet to fwd proposals the EU can work with; meanwhile, no guarantee PM cd get a deal through Parliament. ‘Nothing has changed’
2. Brexit deal: France wd prefer a deal to no deal & EU prepared to work ‘until last possible moment’ to reach one; but cannot wait until the 17/18 EU Council for negotiations (too late). "We hope UK realises this"
Read 12 tweets
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Daniel Mumby
@DanielMumby
Welcome to Shire Hall in #Taunton for @SomersetCouncil full council - here's your agenda for today: democracy.somerset.gov.uk/ieListDocument… #LDReporter
@SomersetCouncil Here for a couple of items today - update on reserves, and some details about school building. A lot of today will be annual reports (i.e. a lot of stuff we already know), so my tweets may not be as comprehensive as usual. #LDReporter
@SomersetCouncil Cllr Nigel Taylor has been returned as chairman of @SomersetCouncil. @CllrMarkKeating has been elected as vice-chairman. #LDReporter
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU has almost given up trying to understand what’s going on in UK.
Dutch PM Rutte compares Theresa May to Monty Python knight whose limbs get cut off in a duel but insists the fight was a draw. Elsewhere in EU, mood is darker esp with the prospect of a lengthy #Brexit delay 1
With UK politics mired in confusion, only thing EU can control this week is choreography at EU leaders’ summit, starting Thurs. Donald Tusk, EU Council president is visiting capitals to try to co-ordinate single EU response if/when Theresa May asks for article 50 extension 2
Today Tusk is in Berlin and Paris – the EU superpowers. But when it comes to delaying Brexit, any one of the EU’s 27 leaders has a veto. The decision must be unanimous 3
Read 16 tweets
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Michel Barnier
@MichelBarnier
👇 I briefed EU27 Ambassadors and EP today on the ongoing talks with #UK. Following the EU-UK statement of 20 Feb, the EU has proposed to the UK a legally binding interpretation of the #Brexit Withdrawal Agreement. Most importantly:
2/5 The arbitration panel can already, under Article 178 WA, give UK the right to a proportionate suspension of its obligations under the backstop, as a last resort, if EU breaches its best endeavours/good faith obligations to negotiate alternative solutions.
3/5 EU ready to give legal force to all commitments from January letter of @eucopresident and @JunckerEU through joint interpretative statement. europa.eu/!Kj44wR This will render best endeavour/good faith obligations even more actionable by an arbitration panel.
Read 5 tweets
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Nicolai von Ondarza
@NvOndarza
Interesting proposal by a group of German economics to overcome the #Brexit deadlock over the backstop by creating a "European Customs Association" between EU and UK:

econpol.eu/sites/default/…

A constructive approach, but I am sceptical
First, by essentially taking the customs union out of the EU and creating an EU/UK structure above it, politically it strongly blurs the line between EU and non EU country, opening the way to further disintegration.
Second, it does not solve the sovereignty issues for Brexiteers. The UK could not strike its own trade deals, and - even with a vote, which is politically also difficult for the EU to accept - could always be outvoted by the EU as a block.
Read 6 tweets
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Mujtaba Rahman
@Mij_Europe
#Brexit continues to dominate UK debate and indeed our own coverage. But what about #EU risks in 2019? Thread for us EU watchers: @CER_Grant @JeremyCliffe @MMQWalker @MehreenKhn @pmdfoster @aqbyrne @PedderSophie @tom_nuttall @clichfield1 @FSanti_ @BBCkatyaadler
1/ % of May’s deal passing are rising. DUP/Eurosceptics sounding more conciliatory; big mood change yesterday. But still v long way to go. ERG suspect May will hide behind Commons on A50 extension. Peace moves could be overtaken by events (backbench amendments)
2/ EU’s concern with Brexit is growing; no longer simple occupation of TF50, WPA50, COREPER and Sherpas; many more voices now involved as clock runs down to no-deal. But #Brexit still not biggest concern for EU—yet. So what is?
Read 17 tweets

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