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, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Yesterday's #BrexitDiagram V32 was made before it was reported DUP *will* back the Queen's Speech (I had them as against)

I still think - just - the QS vote will be against now, but this is in V32.1, as is opinion in Labour against a General Election hardening
In comparison to yesterday
-% ↔️ No Deal 31 Oct
2% ↔️ Revoke by 31 Oct
39% ⬆️⬆️ Stalemate
-% ⛔️ Brexit with Deal 31 Oct
43% ⬇️⬇️General Election 2019
13% ↔️ General Election 2020
2% ↔️ #PeoplesVote 2020
I am aware my "Stalemate" outcome needs some more work - it needs to cover how a new Programme Motion could work, and whether a 2nd Referendum might get a majority. But those are tasks for another day!
High res PDF:
techpolitics.eu/downloads/brex…

High res PNG:
techpolitics.eu/downloads/brex…

/ends
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Jon Worth
@jonworth
If Labour *really* wanted to take No Deal off the table this is how they could do it.

They’d have to get the Commons to pass what I’ll call for now the Default Exit Path Bill

Here’s how it would work
The Bill would be split into two parts. The first would concern the period pre-Brexit, the second part would cover the Brexit transition period (if we ever get there)
Each part would set out an if-this-then-that logic for that period.

Pre Brexit it would be:
1️⃣ Seek Deal
2️⃣ In absence of a Deal then ask for Art 50 Extension
3️⃣ In absence of Extension, Revoke Article 50
Read 6 tweets
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Jon Worth
@jonworth
This line from Labour - no election before No Deal is off the table - sounds superficially right. But how can it actually be done?
The first part is easy. The EU needs to offer an Article 50 Extension.

That ought to be clear today. And then No Deal is off the table until 31 January 2020.
But is that enough for Labour?

If it’s not, it gets messy.
Read 8 tweets
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Jon Worth
@jonworth
Running the numbers on the Queen's Speech vote for tomorrow

FOR
287 Tory
20 Independent
10 DUP
1 Labour

ABSTAIN
4 Independent

AGAINST
242 Labour
11 Independent
35 SNP
19 Lib Dem
5 TIG
4 PC
1 Green

Subtract tellers

FOR 316
AGAINST 315
How I calculated

1 Labour FOR is Mann

20 Independents FOR are 20 ex-Tories

4 Indy ABSTAIN are Austin, Field, Hopkins, Woodcock

11 Indy AGAINST are Lloyd, Ellman, Hepburn, Lewis, O'Mara, Shuker, Williamson, Hermon, Bebb, Grieve, Greening
I assume every other Labour MP - even Hoey - is against. Even Barron, Cooper, Fitzpatrick, Flint

Perhaps one of the 4 Indy ex-Labour ones might switch? But likewise might Bebb, Greening or Grieve switch to abstain?
Read 4 tweets

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Synekdokee ⭕️
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After Cole's passing Hank starts taking Sumo to terminal care homes to give comfort to the dying. It helps him cope with the loss, lets him feel like he's doing something good.

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Dr Catherine Haddon
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What to look out for from Supreme Court case at 10.30- a thread

See *plenty* lawyers on here for detailed commentary on the judgment. But first effect will be political: what will govt and opposition(s) be worrying about this morning? What does it mean for what happens next...
Series recap: there are two high level questions: 1. Is proroguing Parliament something courts can make judgement on, (‘is it justiciable?’) - this also leads to qs about court’s role re both royal prerogative and making judgments that tread into area of procedures of Parl
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⚢🌸Sakura No Seirei🌸🏳️‍⚧️
@SakuraNoSeirei
Good morning and welcome to another #Brexit thread

I'll be attempting to cover the events that are happening both in the Commons and in the Lords today so this is going to be a long one

1/n
So first things first, hello to all my new followers and here's a quick breakdown of what's happening today, and a quick precis of how business in each House is carried out and why really arcane things seem to happen that bear little-to-no relationship to reality

2/n
What's expected for today?

In the Lords the Opposition and Crossbench peers have laid a motion that will allow them the time to scrutinise the Bill that's about to be debated in the Commons. They want to debate this Bill on Friday at the latest. More on that later

3/n
Read 130 tweets
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Brad Brad Walker
@IAmBradWalker
THREAD!

So, since I'm on the topic, Maybe now's a good time to look at some Detective Comics logos, throughout the years. Feel free to chime in with your thoughts on them, and share, if you like.
Here's the first one. I don't think it's very good. The deco look to the word "Detective" wasn't so much a style choice, just a popular type of the moment. And "Comics" is in a completely different (uglier) font.
By the time Batman showed up, they at least made the two words match, but it seems like an odd choice to make the word Comics seem more prominent than Detective, by making the word fatter (surely, in a quick move to fit the longer word in the same width) #Batman80 #LongLiveTheBat
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Seth Abramson
@SethAbramson
(THREAD) BREAKING: The Senate has released the transcript of Donald Trump Jr.'s testimony—and it confirms he lied to Congress just has he's lied to the American people about his contact with Kremlin agents. This thread is an analysis of his testimony—I hope you'll read and share.
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2/ Sometimes, a "principal"—the person who authorizes an agent to act in their stead—will authorize his or her "agent" to *themselves* use new agents in the performance of their authorized task. So, Principal A may authorize Agent B to use various sub-agents to accomplish a task.
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Matthew Cogdeill
@Matthewcogdeill
#BreakingNews
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