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Agree with this 100%. Becoming increasingly concerned about the interpretation in the UK of how the EU works even among experts - that always comes back to some notion they should be particularly nice to us, and more fool them if not. We need a lot more realism.
Even the most basic basic fact - as a non member state UK opinion will matter less than the smallest member state to the EU - is rarely acknowledged. The EU doesn't have a long term vision of the future relationship, but that's better than the UKs unachievable vision.
Oh and it really is bizarre that four years ago criticising the EU for being more concerned with unity than trade was a Eurosceptic view, now saying this is somehow unpatriotic and EU loving...
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
On this basis leaving the EU and staying in permanent transition is as much Brexit as never having a deal with the EU again. Which I agree with as it happens. But does rather mean that Brexit is by definition blind to the future, which means it can't end uncertainty and division.
Today we have threads from @GeorgePeretzQC and @hhesterm on future problems with the EU relationship. I've done them as well. If the Conservatives win it sets the UK up for many more years of uncertainty.
@GeorgePeretzQC @hhesterm To be fair to @DanielJHannan he has long favoured and I think still does a close relationship based on EEA or Swiss relations with the EU. It isn't a widely held view in his party, as his original Euroscepticism wasn't in 1990. Getting there still looks a tough ask.
Read 3 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Beware of articles saying that 'all' the UK have to do to get an ambitious free trade deal with the EU is to sign up to labour and environment commitments. Those are normal for any EU agreements - the UK will almost certainly have to sign up for lots more ft.com/content/701f83…
"Free trade" with the EU in a UK-EU Free Trade Agreement will be trade with barriers and tariffs. And to get even that expect the EU to have significant asks of the UK that will take some time to establish, but could well include widespread regulatory alignment.
For the UK government and companies operating in the UK the question will have to be which are the most important barriers to trade to avoid in a trade deal - are they tariffs, or services access, customs, product testing, food and drink etc?
Read 7 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
Interestingly this tweet draws my attention to a Brexit Central article which implicitly calls for the NHS to pay more for drugs as part of a US trade deal - and indicates perhaps why the Conservatives continue to struggle with the issue...
Here's the specific text - there is in fact nothing right now to stop the NHS buying drugs from the US, and no reason a US trade deal should make this quicker. brexitcentral.com/ignore-labours…
Several points to flow - hard to believe Brexit on Jan 31 will stop such misleading articles. Question whether Government will continue to listen to them. And the debate on the NHS and trade deals continues to be infantile on all sides.
Read 4 tweets

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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
« Not in my wildest dreams would I imagine that a possibility » is how an influential European diplomat responded to Boris Johnson’s assertion that a trade deal with the EU can be completed by December next year /1
Surely the diplomat is being unfair, you say. Listen to Michel Barnier and incoming trade commissioner Phil Hogan. They say a deal can be done quickly. The U.K. currently shares EU rules and regulations. How difficult can it be to strip them away to a basic FTA, you say..BUT /2
If Johnson wins a majority in this election and takes U.K. out of EU in Jan, then Brussels is preparing to offer him a quick FTA but with the utmost levels of EU regulation bells and whistles attached (so-called level playing field provisions) /3
Read 21 tweets
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owen cyclops
@owenbroadcast
these people live to hate christianity. when i go back home i see even the most dead dreary people get an electric hate in their eyes when it comes up. i did all manner of weird religion stuff, the only negative reaction i ever got from people there is for not hating christianity
same people who would try to get u fired from ur job because you have negative things to say about other religions stay up late for hours laughing about how stupid the eucharist is and making “zombie jesus” jokes. the immense level of satisfaction this derision brings is palpable
they tie everything back to a hatred of christianity + color any discussion of any religious phenomenon being bad with this lens. i was with my uncle a few weeks ago and something about L ron hubbard came up and he says “really, hes no different than paul and his church”
Read 16 tweets
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James Holland
@James7Holland
THREAD..

..on the biggest and baddest lobbyists in EU town

..the huge influence they have on EU lawmaking

..and how many represent interests from outside the EU.

/1
According to Transparency International @TI_EU, the lobby organisation that has held the most high-level meetings at the European Commission between 2014 and 2018 is @BusinessEurope.

"BusinessEurope?!?" you ask.

/2
@TI_EU @BusinessEurope It is hardly surprising that the vast majority of people have never heard of BusinessEurope.

There is a worrying media blackout about how a complex network of organisations lobby the #EU on behalf of the world largest corporations.

/3
Read 27 tweets
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Camino Mortera
@CaminoMortera
I often agree with @EuroBriefing as I think he & colleagues offer some of the best insights on European politics. But the below is just unthinkable. Were the UK to unilaterally revoke Art.50, I'd bet a case would be put before the ECJ to stop this from happening.
Say UK stays in the #EU under Corbyn with the clear plan of triggering #Article50 a little down the line. What would a good EU lawyer do? She (because, let's face it, it would be a she 😉) would advice the EU institutions to bring the #UK before the #ECJ.
Why? Because, as a member-state, the UK would have breached Article 4 of the Treaty on European Union (TEU) which lays down something very boring called the "principle of sincere co-operation" between the EU member-states and the EU itself.
Read 6 tweets
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French Embassy UK
@FranceintheUK
The French community in the 🇬🇧 is "one of the most important ones in the world, with more than 143 000 French citizens signed up on consular registers" - Europe Minister @NathalieLoiseau addresses the 🇫🇷 community at the @ifru_london
"If there are so many of you which are established here, it is a sign that our talents are sought after and appreciated. You bring a '🇫🇷 touch', so loved in many different fields"
"Beyond exiting the #EU, #France will remain a key partner for the #UK, in every single sector."
Read 9 tweets
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Millennial Macro
@MillennialMacro
#demographics #militaries #economies #currencies
#USA
- Best demographics
- Largest military
- Largest economy
- Most used currency
- Liquid financial markets
- Open capital account
- Rule of law
- Best geography
- Can be self sufficient if required
- Not trade dependent
#USA
Top trade partners as of 30 June 2018:
- China: 15.2% (strategic competitor)
- Canada: 15.1%
- Mexico: 14.6%
- Japan: 5.1%
- Germany: 4.4%

The next 10 years could result in the below:
- Mexico (25%)
- Canada (20%
- Japan (7%)
- South Korea (5%)
- Great Britain (4%)
#USA
Bring the manufacturing (jobs) home while negatively impacting China's economy.
forbes.com/sites/kenrapoz…
cebglobal.com/talentdaily/au…
irishtimes.com/business/econo…
Read 338 tweets

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