(QUESTIONS) If there *are* more attacks, via proxies or otherwise, how does Trump react? Will he establish a backchannel to Iran so direct contact can occur in a moment of sudden escalation? Is Trump listening to his advisers, and does he have *enough* who are experienced enough?
(QUESTIONS2) Does Trump foolishly draw red lines today that will invariably be crossed by Iranian proxies at a minimum? Does Trump clearly open an avenue for long-term negotiations, using Iran pulling out of the nuclear deal as a starting point? Does he repeat any war crime talk?
(QUESTIONS3) Does he start informing Congress of his thinking and planning on a regularized basis, or does he continue speaking *first* to Saudi Arabia, UAE, and most importantly Netanyahu in Israel before talking to Congress or even (in some instances) his own domestic advisers?
(QUESTIONS4) What role does Putin play? Does Trump learn to become immune to bombastic rhetoric from Iran, as the rhetoric (from both sides) is likely to be hot at various points now? What position does Trump take on the chief Iranian demand, that the U.S. withdraw now from Iraq?
(QUESTIONS5) Do we see more attacks *directly* by Iran (i.e. not through proxies) but in other theaters, including cyber, disinformation, naval, or domestic-terroristic? How affected will Trump be by popular opinion, and how swayed is he by radical outside advisers like Hannity?
(QUESTIONS6) Can anyone convince Trump *not* to use Twitter to communicate *anything* about/during this particular situation, both because it's only dubiously official and because he appears to be able to tweet from the residence without any editing or oversight by actual adults?
(QUESTIONS7) What degree of control does Trump have over *our* allies in the region? If Hezbollah strikes Haifa can Trump persuade Netanyahu not to respond *disproportionately*? What about MBZ and the United Arab Emirates, if Tehran fires missiles at Dubai that don't kill anyone?
(QUESTIONS8) As the heat gets turned up on Trump with respect to domestic politics, i.e. the matter of the impeachment trial, can he keep his equilibrium enough not to *transfer* his anger and instability onto what *should* be a wholly separate issue, his foreign policy in Iran?
