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There may be a pent-up desire to end 40 years of war in favor of peace and prosperity. Soleimani's vision of greatness has passed.

nytimes.com/2020/01/13/wor…
Iran has real human capital potential that goes beyond the oil resource and the sense they are missing the 21st century must be immense.
The regime may not fall this time or the next but the trend is against it. Iranian demography is failing. Oil will be gradually replaced by high tech energy. Wealth will come from a technologically mobilized population. People suspect if they don't already know.
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wretchardthecat
@wretchardthecat
Only 5.1% of actual patients in China are manifest says epidemiology model. There are actually 11k patients to rise to 190k by Feb 4. 75% of transmission must occur for it to slow. Current quarantine probably doomed.

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Correction 75% must be prevented to slow.
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wretchardthecat
@wretchardthecat
The Chinese are low-balling it by a factor of 5. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
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@wretchardthecat
It probably stopped being about policy a long time ago. It's about unyielding hostility now.
And it will continue long after any hope of a restoration has passed. Vengeance for paradise lost "in this life or the next".
If Hillary had been suited to the role she could have been the Democratic Arthur, the last of the Romans before the dark ages. The quondam et futurus president. But she keeps flubbing her lines.
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