New preprint with authors from Chinese CDC estimates ~3.06% overall case fatality rate from 4000+ patients.
Estimates an R0 of 3.77, which is fairly high.
Also states that ~23% of patients had severe cases. Many of those are at risk for hospitalization.
medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Estimates an R0 of 3.77, which is fairly high.
Also states that ~23% of patients had severe cases. Many of those are at risk for hospitalization.
medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
I didn’t see the exact diagnostic criteria for a severe case in their writeup. They also noted that there may be many more unreported mild cases.
Would be good to match the precise diagnostic criteria vs other pprs to ensure “severe” refers to same thing.
Would be good to match the precise diagnostic criteria vs other pprs to ensure “severe” refers to same thing.
The death rate doesn’t need to be as high as SARS to be a serious problem. The big issue is the contagiousness.
If it spreads to 30M people then “only” a 3% death rate could mean 1M deaths.
We need to accelerate on the vaccine, every day and week counts.
If it spreads to 30M people then “only” a 3% death rate could mean 1M deaths.
We need to accelerate on the vaccine, every day and week counts.
