Thread by @foritssake

Transition plan is security plan handing over security responsibilities from AMISOM to Somali security forces. Initial plan to transition to UN mission is not an option anymore. #Somalia
ipinst.org/2019/04/transi… via @ipinst

UNSOM, UN mission formed to assist AMISOM, focusing broadly on politics and security. In 2018, #Somalia’s government worked with international actors to develop transition plan. Assessment on five regional states indicated effective local security forces and weaker SNA.

#Somalia’s national security council has endorsed a transition plan which had three phases: phase 1, up to 6/19, phase two, 6/19-12/19, phase 3, 1/20-12/21. The council of ministers of Somalia and UN Security Council have endorsed the plan too. The plan had three areas of focus

First, transfer of facilities, roads and towns to #Somalia’s security forces, such as stadium Mogadishu. Second, on the basis of operational readiness assessment, recommending policies and reforms of payroll, doctrine, legislation etc. Third, build peace, district council etc

- about 20k para-military operate in the states. FGS reported with AMISOM assistance.
- the role and responsibilities of the federal and regional, resourcing and commanding has not been codified, p.10.
- handing over the road of Baidoa-#Mogadishu interrupted by SW elections

Hirshabelle Transfer of areas to SNSF did not materialize.
Recently, US, Pentagon reported inability of SNSF to defend themselves from Shebab alone
-prioritized hand-over of major sites of #Mogadishu before major supply routes impacting commerce and livelihood: amazing priority!

- clearing and holding major roads in #Hirshabelle and #South-west would require -capacity to detect and diffuse IEDs, reduce or destroy Shebab capacities to attack
- Working with local forces and populations
- focus on agreed priorities regardless of prevailing politics

- stabilization efforts, the report notes,
must be coordinated with protection, services and job creation.
- Pentagon reported last week #SNSF cannot control its area for stabilization efforts to start.
- federal government shifted its focus on stabilizing stable #Gedo region

- the President may have shifted the focus from areas close to #Mogadishu to #Gedo region, to benefit Gedo from stabilization efforts, since it is dominated by President’s clan.
- commended the FGS in conducting operational readiness assessment and confronting its findings