On 11/7/18, the morning after the election in which Dems beat the GOP by 8.6 pts, the @FiveThirtyEight Trump job approval tracker for likely/registered voters had him down 8.5, 44/52.5.
It's 44/52.5 -8.5 today. There is a reason Trump seems worried.
It's 44/52.5 -8.5 today. There is a reason Trump seems worried.
@FiveThirtyEight 2/Repeat after me - Trump is losing the election.
Using Real Clear, the only battleground state Trump leads in now is Texas, and there not by much.
That he's down 4 and at 45% in NC is just brutal for him, for GOP Senate chances too.
Using Real Clear, the only battleground state Trump leads in now is Texas, and there not by much.
That he's down 4 and at 45% in NC is just brutal for him, for GOP Senate chances too.
@FiveThirtyEight 3/Every Senate poll taken in last few months w/head to heads has GOP incumbent in AZ/ME/NC trailing their Democratic opponent. As a general rule of thumb, incumbents in the low 40s almost always lose.
#MoscowMitch's hold on power may be slipping away.
#MoscowMitch's hold on power may be slipping away.
