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Starting day 11 when things are getting scary. #COVID19

Picking up from yesterday's thread
This video apparently showing a #COVID19 patient on the ground in Shooshtar, Khouzestan
Head of Iran's Crisis Committee is now infected with #COVID19
The test came back positive only after 4 tests.

[There are many reports of low sensitivity of the tests in Iran. Reasons could be poor technique or sampling or virus mutation]

After many unconfirmed reports of explosion of #COVID19 cases among workers in Asaluyeh - Bushehr, now the authorities say situation is critical and projects must be closed down.

Asaluyeh is Iran's biggest gas extraction and refinery site.

Last night, we lost three doctors:

- Dr Mousa Fathabadi, Emergency Medicine in Tehran
- Dr Vahid Monsef, Emergency Medicine in Gilan
- Dr Sourena Mirmirani, Psychiatrist in Tehran

Vigilantes, this time in Mahmoud Abad, Mazandaran, preventing non-locals entering the area.

There were rumours earlier that high profile Qom residents have been housed in hotel facilities in Mahmoud Abad by the government.

#IMPORTANT Confirmed reports that some doctors and nurses have finally quit their positions in hospitals due to lack of protective gears and supplies.

"Situation in Gilan is beyond crisis", Gilan MPs writing in a letter to Health Minister and Head of the Parliament.

You can see the situation for yourself when a village runs out of burial ground. This is a sign on a Mosque in a village in Gilan.

Farzad Tazri, ex-Head of IRGC's Office for Politics has died of #COVID19.

Araghizadeh, a senior IRGC official: "We are looking into possibility of biological warfare from US... Long-term quarantine will not work."

A suspected #COVID19 collapsed case in Sari, Mazandaran
Mohammadreza Rahchamani, senior reformist figure and an ex-MP for Tehran (several terms) has died of #COVIDー19.

A journalist in Iran, believes the real number of #COVIDー19 casualties are 2000 - vs. 194 stated by the authorities.

Another MP (this time Yazd MP) blamed authorities for mishandling the situation especially due to [no postponing] the parliamentary election.

Ali Hosseini Imani, a member of Islamic Studies for the state TV has died of #COVIDー19.

Official numbers just released:

Cases: 7161 (+595)
Dead: 237 (+43)

If these numbers mean anything, this is the second day of new numbers dropping.

isna.ir/news/981219146…
An MP and a member of Security and Intelligence Committee in Iran reports of a second strain of the #COVIDー19 in Gilan and says it is possible that this strain could have been spread by US as part of bioterrorism.

[By the way what I personally think of this second strain, is the simplest explanation: mutation. Even in china they had 2. Frankly the best way to hide behind sheet incompetence is to starting blaming - and you don't fear of looking stupid, you have already done that many times]
#IMPORTANT Unlike this thread, here is a descriptive narrative of the situation in Gilan from a journalist on the ground just published in @iranwire

Use google translate for now until the official translation comes.

Report of death of another #COVID19 victim among the medical staff, Dr. Nirooei a General Surgeon in Babol, Mazandaran.

Seyyed Mahmoud Faghih Imani, grandson of Ayatollah Khoei, died of #COVID19 infection.

A compilation of videos showing authorities sounding the alarm in the towns and cities asking the public to stay indoors.

Meanwhile working hours have gone back to normal.

In other crazy news, Tehran council has collected 80 stray dogs that were found coughing - they were suspected of #COVID19.
[Did I say official cases are a joke? Well sorry it is a complete shitshow... a clusterf..k of 8.9 on Richter scale. Not sure how @WHO accepts it]

So total known cases in South Khorasan dropped to 37 (from 44) and in Kerman to 36 (from 41). HOW IS THAT EVEN POSSIBLE??
A thread from a journalist in Gilan - on yesterday's meeting between Health Ministry's representative and Rasht Council members. Unable to translate all - but google translate will go far helping you.

Meanwhile, @TheAtlantic estimating the real number of #COVIDー19 cases in Iran x250 times the official reported numbers. That would make it 1.8M cases. with 0.5% mortality (due to young population), this would be 9000 deaths.

[Makes sense to me.]

The only thing to add is I do not quite agree with the methods used. In statistics, you can project the stats from the sample to the population if the sample is randomly selected, e.g. on Chinese students, all were living together closeby and in Qom. I think x50 makes more sense.
Colonel Abdollah Jafarzadeh, head of IRGC in Fereydoonkenar in Mazandaran, has died of #COVID19.

jadvalyab.ir/blog/%D8%B9%D9…
Authorities in Gilan disinfecting the streets.

[Everything is a show.]

A picture allegedly of a #COVID19 victim collapsing on the ground in Shahin Shar, Isfahan
Vigilantes in Izeh, Khouzestan closing the roads to non-locals

Number of #COVID19 deaths in Iran according to:

Official: 237 (+43)
@iranintl: 1186 (+257)

corona.iranintl.com
Here is one of those pieces of news that will be denied later:

Governor of Kashan just said 88 #COVID19 patients have died in Kashan alone. This blows official numbers out of the water.

ghatreh.com/news/nn5170082…
According to some reports, a senior figure in the office of the Supreme Leader has contracted #COVID19

Qom, Iran’s #COVID19 epicentre was never quarantined. There is some finger pointing going on by various parties. IRGC and head of judiciary say it was Health officials while some MPs blame senior Qom clerics. Still, they don’t quarantine. Governor considering pseudo-quarantine!
Closing today’s thread with another sad news. Dr. Habibollah Peyravi, a vascular surgeon and head of Surgery dept. in Beheshti University has passed away after a several days of fighting with #COVID19 in Tehran.

Stay safe.

P.S.

After an MP today claiming a second strain of #COVID2019 found in Gilan could be as a result of bioterrorism by US, Health Ministry completely denied existence of two strains of the virus in Iran.

Oh, well. So much for that.

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