96% of those tested for Corona in South Korea don't have it.
Their #CoronaVirusDeathRate is of the lowest (0.84%) because they tested most.
BUT: They are only at 200K completed tests in a country of 50 million. Test a million within weeks and look at the death rate then.
Their #CoronaVirusDeathRate is of the lowest (0.84%) because they tested most.
BUT: They are only at 200K completed tests in a country of 50 million. Test a million within weeks and look at the death rate then.
We are operating with clown math which goes as follows: "#CoronaVirusDeathRate is HIGH so OMG if the case load rises exponentially, then there will be X deaths." But HELLO! The rate is high because there are so few tests/diagnoses so LOADS of cases are not in the count! Consider:
South Korea has 66 deaths out of 7,869 cases. They tested 200K. If they tested 5 times more, their case load will be 5 times larger: 39,345. Their 66 deaths would remain the same since severe cases are anyway in the count. Thair death rate would be 0.16% of cases; not 0.84%.
For many days, sane people kept saying the death rate is 3-5 percent which was based on China/Italy. But I kept tweeting South Korea numbers and argued that the #CoronaVirusDeathRate is way lower than what panic-spreaders claim. 14 hours ago Dr. Fauci said the rate is 1 percent.
My point is that my math the last 7-10 days lined up better with the CDC than the math from others; I just said it a week before Fauci. Now I am saying that the 1% is possibly an overestimate due to low testing as explained above. Have a blessed night and breathe.
