Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #levant
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Real reasons for #conflict are buried in history & intermittently ooze out like hot lava from fissures. #Europe's been an active conflict zone for long born out of a stiff #RomanHangover ever since the #Empire collapsed.#Theopolitics is 1 ingredient in its conflict cocktail
Real reasons for #conflict are buried in history & intermittently ooze out like hot lava from fissures. #Europe's been an active conflict zone for long born out of a stiff #RomanHangover ever since the #Empire collapsed.#Theopolitics is 1 ingredient in its conflict cocktail
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Conflict in #Europe has to be understood in that context before jumping in & taking sides. Colonial times afforded no option & the world got involved twice converting #EuropeanConflict's into #WorldWar's. Many unconcerned died. India lost many braves from #Gallipoli to #Siam
Conflict in #Europe has to be understood in that context before jumping in & taking sides. Colonial times afforded no option & the world got involved twice converting #EuropeanConflict's into #WorldWar's. Many unconcerned died. India lost many braves from #Gallipoli to #Siam
Excellent rapport @ICG_Sahel @CrisisGroup, cependant 3remarques: Aanabi fut l’inspirateur de Droukdel donc il poursuivra; il est peu probable que #JNIM coupe avec #AQ; la pression #Barkhane est un facteur important qui pousse JNIM à la négo crisisgroup.org/fr/africa/sahe…
Les questions que j’ai pu soumettre à Abou Oubaïda Youssef al-Aanabi à la tête du conseil des notables d’AQMI à la quelle @CrisisGroup fait référence. L’actuel émir d’#AQMI, successeur de #Droukdel, avait répondu en 57m à 12questions
De votre serviteur au sujet du nouveau commandement #AQMI d’Abou Oubaïda Youssef al-Aanabi pour @NewlinesInst
Enough people who know about #Afghanistan are weighing in on the tragic/frightening scenes in #Kabul that there's no need for me to add my 2 cents. I do know something about the #MiddleEast so here are some thoughts about the ripples of the #Taliban victory across the region.1/13
No regional government is thrilled with both the humbling of US power AND the rise of a violent radical Sunni extremist govt in #Kabul allied with al-Qaeda. Some may welcome the former but none want the latter. 2/13
Tonight Extremely Severe Cyclonic Storm Tauktae is already a Cat 3 Hurricane equivalent Cyclone, 24 hours ahead of schedule and tearing up the West Indian coastline on its way north.
Today's #ME and #HOA rainfall forecasts follow.
Today's #ME and #HOA rainfall forecasts follow.
Three more views from the image.
The first shows the positioning of this morning's @NASA Modis picture of Tauktae in relation to the coast. Nearly half the central convection area is over India.
The 2nd shows a wider perspective. & the 3rd provides borders for orientation.
The first shows the positioning of this morning's @NASA Modis picture of Tauktae in relation to the coast. Nearly half the central convection area is over India.
The 2nd shows a wider perspective. & the 3rd provides borders for orientation.
Further west here are four images from today of the #HornOfAfrica, the #NileDelta, the #Levant and #UAE + #Oman.
A @NASA WorldView Modis satellite image from this morning of the #Sudan #Ethiopia Border with a closeup of the #GERD Dam.
Today's rainfall forecasts for #Ethiopia #HornOfAfrica and the #MiddleEast follow.
Today's rainfall forecasts for #Ethiopia #HornOfAfrica and the #MiddleEast follow.
CMC (Canada) and KMA (Korean) weather model forecasts of 10-day accumulated rainfall in North Africa. These two models have been forecasting a stronger than normal West African Monsoon.
And to complete the set of three negotiating parties looking for an agreement on the filling and operation of the #GERD, here's an image, also from this morning ,of the Nile Delta in Egypt, showing also the Sinai, Gaza, and Southern Israel.
Today's #ArabianStorms were mainly over the Arabian Gulf. #Qatar #Bahrain and the in the middle of the gulf. And the day also saw a storm begin before dawn.
Today's #Ethiopia and #MiddleEast forecasts follow:
Today's #Ethiopia and #MiddleEast forecasts follow:
The latest CMC and GFS North Africa 10-Day Rain forecasts.
Today two streams of monsoon energy appeared to come together over the south end to send a stream of atmospheric moisture to Oman and on to India.
A 2nd theme of today's weather observations is the awesome power of atmospheric water transfer.
Here we can see how a stream of water originating in the Central African Republic is fueling storms in Saudi Arabia & India.
Today's forecasts follow.
Here we can see how a stream of water originating in the Central African Republic is fueling storms in Saudi Arabia & India.
Today's forecasts follow.
The latest GFS North Africa 10-Day Rain forecast.
Here we see atmospheric water leaving north across the Sahara for Europe this afternoon.
There is something glorious about the images that @zoom_earth captures. I especially like the large symmetrical and fairly stationary area of cloud in the North Atlantic in this image.
Today's May 1sy Forecasts for #Ethiopia and #MiddleEast rainfall follow.
Today's May 1sy Forecasts for #Ethiopia and #MiddleEast rainfall follow.
The main action today was in Europe where the strengthening #WestAfricaMonsoon #WMA has today had a spectacular impact on European Weather.
A detailed thread covering those events can be found here.
A detailed thread covering those events can be found here.
Today's North African long range (12 day) rain forecast is taken from the Korean KMA model as it looks to be a lot closer to what we are seeing in the skies today.
Today's #ArabianStorms went in a different direction during the day, but ended up in a familiar place in the end.
Today's #MiddleEast and #Ethiopia #HornOfAfrica rain forecasts follow in the thread below.
Today's #MiddleEast and #Ethiopia #HornOfAfrica rain forecasts follow in the thread below.
In the animation above you can see a flow of clouds from Sudan to Oman. This flow actually originates to the South West in the Central African Republic. Here you see the CAR to Khartoum leg of the journey.
Over the day this stream of moisture intensified powering storms in Oman, which then split into two streams, one heading north over Iran and one to the East to India.
Today is the 10th consecutive day of extensive thunderstorm activity across #MiddleEast.
Meanwhile the #HornOfAfrica little rainy season which began in the 2nd week of April continues to strengthen.
29 April rainfall forecast reports for the region follows. [Images 29/4 @NASA]
Meanwhile the #HornOfAfrica little rainy season which began in the 2nd week of April continues to strengthen.
29 April rainfall forecast reports for the region follows. [Images 29/4 @NASA]
This thread contains images and animations of today's storm activity. /2
Today's 10-Day forecasts for North Africa [GFS, ECMWF, CMC, and KMA ]are now all expecting rain in West Africa as a #WestAfricaWaterPlume transports Atlantic water across the Sahara to the Mediterranean.
However they have divergent views on intensity and impact in EU/ME.
However they have divergent views on intensity and impact in EU/ME.
A high resolution taken today by the NASA Modis satellite of the #NileBasin and the #MiddleEast is below.
The day started with storms in the East of the #HornOfAfrica #Yemen and the #KSA and got very busy over the day.
28 April Rain forecasts follow:
The day started with storms in the East of the #HornOfAfrica #Yemen and the #KSA and got very busy over the day.
28 April Rain forecasts follow:
This first animation shows the beginning of a plume of water coming across the Sahara from the Atlantic. Forecasts indicate water from this plume will arrive in the #MiddleEast and #HoA in 10 days time.
This animation shows the West African Monsoon and the plume of précipitable water making its away across over the Sahara over the coming week.
An image of thunderstorm activity in the Ethiopian #Abbay #BlueNile basin this afternoon, also showing significant rains South #Yemen and over most of #Somalia.
Todays, 27th April, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast & #HornOfAfrica follow in the thread below.
Todays, 27th April, accumulated rain forecasts for the #MiddleEast & #HornOfAfrica follow in the thread below.
#ArabianStorms activity was boosted today by moisture flowing from the #Ethiopian monsoon rains in the Ethiopian Highlands, the watershed of the #Abbay #BlueNile catchment.
Below you see a 10-day GFS forecast of accumulated rain over North Africa.
Below you see a 10-day GFS forecast of accumulated rain over North Africa.
This animation shows the flows of moisture from this morning across the Red Sea. A process which is called the "Southern Gate" by Saudi weather entusiasts. #ArabianStorms #Abbay #BlueNile #GERD
26th April #NileBasin #MiddleEast accumulated rainfall forecast update. Today has seen a significant increase in thunderstorm activity from Uganda all the way north to Iran.
#ArabianStorms #GERD #Ethiopia #Egypt #Sudan #HornOfAfrica #KSA #Yemen
[Image: @NASA Worldview.]
#ArabianStorms #GERD #Ethiopia #Egypt #Sudan #HornOfAfrica #KSA #Yemen
[Image: @NASA Worldview.]
26th April 10 Day GFS model accumulated rain forecast across the ME and Africa. /2
26th April animation thread of clouds over the rainy part of the Nile Basin. The Clouds over Sudan, South Sudan and Western Ethiopia all contribute to the flow in the Nile River. /3
Below you see a @NASA WorldView image of the Nile Basin taken yesterday from Southern Egypt to Lake Victoria.
25th April computer model forecasts for rain across the ME and Africa follow.
#GERD #Ethiopia #KS
[Thanks to @Arab_Storms for live images of today's #ArabianStorms.]
25th April computer model forecasts for rain across the ME and Africa follow.
#GERD #Ethiopia #KS
[Thanks to @Arab_Storms for live images of today's #ArabianStorms.]
25th April 10 Day GFS model accumulated rain forecast across the ME and Africa.
An animation from this afternoon of the rainy part of the Nile Basin. The Clouds over Sudan, South Sudan and Western Ethiopia all contribute to the flow in the Nile River.
The Nile Basin & Arabian Peninsula near sunset 24/4. A line of storms extends from Sana'aa Yemen to the Jordan Border, a distance of 1777 kms.
Clouds cover large portions of Sudan and run along the north red-sea coast from Port Sudan to the Horn.
Region rain forecasts follow.
Clouds cover large portions of Sudan and run along the north red-sea coast from Port Sudan to the Horn.
Region rain forecasts follow.
First an image of accumulated rainfall across the wider North African region showing all the West Africa Monsoon, the engine for life this region earth's cradle for biodiversity, including for humanity.
In the South East Cyclone Jobo is making landfall right now in Tanzania. /2
In the South East Cyclone Jobo is making landfall right now in Tanzania. /2
The are of rain bearing clouds accompanying Jobo will have a significant impact over the coming 10 days.
The latest 10-Day accumulated rain forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS and KMA forecast models are below. They are in agreement. /3
The latest 10-Day accumulated rain forecasts from the ECMWF, GFS and KMA forecast models are below. They are in agreement. /3
The East Africa Monsoon gets a big boost with the arrival of Cyclone Jobo (a 15km high tower of water) in Tanzania on Saturday. The water heads north supercharging rains in the Horn of Africa & Sudan.
Today's 10-Day rain forecasts for #Ethiopia & #MiddleEast follow below:
Today's 10-Day rain forecasts for #Ethiopia & #MiddleEast follow below:
For all those following the #GERD in #Ethiopia #Sudan & #Egypt active and increasing rains across the Nile Basin may provide more than ample water for the planned filling of the dam this rainy season.
Over 10 days rain is forecast for all the Nile Basin south of Egypt.
Over 10 days rain is forecast for all the Nile Basin south of Egypt.
10 day accumulated rain forecasts for Ethiopia from the ECMWF, GFS and KMA models.
#Sudan #SouthSudan #Ethiopia #GERD #Africa #HornOfAfrica #DesertRain
#Sudan #SouthSudan #Ethiopia #GERD #Africa #HornOfAfrica #DesertRain
1. For what it's worth, recognizing that Turkey is the greatest risk in the #Levant because #Turkey is an #ISIS & al-#Qaeda affiliate, a while ago, I proposed a mechanism that was quite similar to what the SDF and Assad regime agreed to. Assad is brutal. So are KSA, UAE, Egypt,
2. Israel and IRAN. But the Syrian people have a way to establish Democracy through the @UN #GenevaProcess. That becomes more likely with unity of #SDF and #SAA. The #jihadists are the enemy of humanity. #Erdogan is their leader. Turkey must pay the price for following the
3. false prophet. The #Ottoman Empire must be finally and forever destroyed. Wall the jihadists up in Anatolia and let them devour each other. Free #Istanbul and #Bakur from the #AKP terrorists. Change the map. @trpresidency @RTErdogan @USEmbassyTurkey
#Qatar fully support the #Erdogan Gov attack on northern #Syria. Signaling an all out #MuslimBrotherhood war on the minorities in the Middle East. Now it is official.
Washington cannot but stand with the beleaguered minority communities in Syria and the #Levant, because the American people support them, and it is an official policy of the #Trump Administration and the US Congress.
@realDonaldTrump @POTUS @VP @SecPompeo
@realDonaldTrump @POTUS @VP @SecPompeo
@realDonaldTrump @POTUS @VP @SecPompeo For couple years from Washington to Warsaw, from Paris to Budapest, conferences, dinners and speeches were delivered with passion, "in defense of minorities in the Middle East." Now these communities are being attacked & their villages destroyed in Syria. Now is time for action.
