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via @NYTimes 1/ We acted too late as a nation to mitigate this. We needed #SocialDistanacing a week or two earlier. I don’t know if that would’ve been enough. The true surge is yet to come and it’s only going to exponentially get worse #COVID19…
2/ I think exercise is still important during #SocialDistanacing we all need to do that. And I believe running is a safe and healthy way to do that as it can be done solitary and far enough away from anyone else. But what I saw tonight was disturbing
3/ I’ve been running after sunset to avoid peak crowds. Yet with the good weather, the spring arriving, and a gradual slow down, but not yet a shutdown, the streets and parks are incredibly crowded.
4/ Carl Schulz Park looked like a ripe breeding ground to spread #coronavirus tonight. Absolutely packed after sunset. I can only imagine what it was like during the day time hours @NYCParks What was Central Park like today?
5/ this shut down is far too late @NYGovCuomo @NYCMayor @NYCMayorsOffice As evidenced in the @nytimes reporting the ship has sailed. Our EDs and ICUs are about to be overwhelmed. Vital resources already are running out and it’s only going to get worse.
6/ We need strict social controls and mitigation of #COVID19 now! We cannot wait further. Every delay will lead to further spread and ultimately unnecessary mortalities as our medical and human resources are stretched thin and further rationed…
7/ I beg everyone: #StayHome #MeQuedoEnCasa Wash your hands and practice social distancing. We absolutely must flatten the curve so we do not overwhelm hospitals and the healthcare system.
8/ What does that mean? Without strict social controls more than 75% of the US population will be infected by July 1st. We know from the experience overseas that 10-20% of patients infected with the novel (new) Coronavirus require hospitalization.
9/ The average length of admission is 11 days (twice as long as the seasonal flu). Of those going to the hospital about 1 in 10 will need an ICU bed. Already during a typical winter our ICUs run at capacity and in New York State, especially NYC
10/ since we have so few ICU beds to regular beds compared to the rest of the country we almost always throughout the year run at capacity. We will quickly overwhelm the healthcare system. It won’t just be Coronavirus patients that will suffer,
11/ but everyone else who would’ve otherwise been admitted to an ICU will suffer as we’ll be forced to allocate resources. This is the situation that rapidly developed in northern Italy, a well developed and advanced medical region and why the death rate is alarmingly high there.
12/ If you’ve been following the news you know we don’t have enough supplies and protective gear for the pandemic. This is why #FlatteningtheCurve is so vital. Yes, ultimately most people will get infected by the end of year, but if we slowly space out that process the hospitals
13/ will be able to treat the sick patients they normally would plus those infected from coronavirus. Without social distancing, cancellation of regular and non-essential activity, and hand washing there will be a surge the health care system cannot handle
14/ We can replicate South Korea and by staying home push this down to a 0.5% mortality, or else we might suffer the 8% mortality seen in Italy; and remember that doesn’t include everyone else impacted by the rationing of resources and care.
15/ Please, wash your hands, stay home, and look after your families and yourselves. This is about protecting the vulnerable in our communities, prevent the overloading of hospitals, and make this something we can defeat together.
16/ Think of each other, “be your brother’s keeper”, follow the Golden Rule, and give your love and commitment to this for your fellow human beings. Be safe and stay healthy.
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