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My thesis on this has been:

1) Number of deaths and cases likely underreported, maybe by a large factor, due to combination of undertesting/healthcare system crash/coverup

2) But decline in cases and gradually getting back to work are real, as per many individual reports
China is a huge country with a cultural paradox that is hard to get your head around

1) They produce real results, including the phone in your hand & innovation to fight the virus

2) They also do brazen fakes, like sending Halloween masks instead of N95s
chinalawblog.com/2020/03/buying…
The resolution to this paradox is that often these aren’t the same people.

It’s a country of 1.4 billion.

Some of them are incredibly smart, hard-working, intelligent, and kind.

Others are running some of the craziest scams you’ve ever seen.

Just worth keeping in mind.
Here’s an example.

The Chinese felt they had produced a real decline in the virus and were sending aid to Italy, Spain, etc. Soft power confirmed!

But quality wasn’t there. Soft power fail.

So they just banned MANY companies from exporting. Will have enormous consequences.
By the way, why put this intel report out now?

Well, obvious point is that if China is thought by Americans to have 10X or even more deaths, then the US is no longer #1 in the rankings.

Bizarre incentives for both states to undertest and/or underreport. 🤷‍♂️
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