THREAD: A picture is worth a thousand words. Let's look at a few #ETF graphs & see if we can make some sense of the current market environment.

What a year it's been for #Oil & #Energy! Sharing only positive YTD #MSCI #Sector performance with #Financials.

$IXC $IXG
2/15

#EmergingMarkets #ETF seriously lagging #DevelopedMarkets ETF, mostly due to disinvestment from #China.

#SouthAfrica might need a lot of catch up, but $EZA 1YR performance in USD (+9.9%) is still ahead of $EEM (-11.3%)

$URTH
3/15

#Global #Value #stocks (#ETF) recently enjoyed short-term recovery, but still got some serious catch-up to do over the longer term.

$IWVL
4/15

Was recently pullback the start of something new or nothing at all?

Personally, it remains one of my biggest concerns, but then again, it's been for some time. #Global #Tech #stocks relative to #MSCI AC World Index are still trading at "bubble" levels.

$IXN vs $ACWI
5/15

If I didn't know any better, it seems like #Microsoft's recent purchase (2 weeks ago) of #ActivisionBlizzard was timed to perfection. #VideoGaming seriously lagged #Global #Tech. If you liked this market or #ETF a year ago, you'll love them now.

$ESPO $IXN
6/15

#BlockchainTechnology going from absolute hero to zero! After rocket moves early 2021, $BLOK #ETF gave back all outperformances against #Global #Tech & now lag $IXN over 3 years.
7/15

#Internet companies, in general, lost a bit of "internet-speed" recently, with US Internet Co's $FDN #ETF dropping 23% since beginning Nov21.

#Chinese Internet Co's $KWEB however lost 29% over the same period.

Massive 1-year underperformance by the latter compared to US.
8/15

Speaking of #Chinese co's. China Large-Cap $FXI #ETF massively underperformed #MSCI #EmergingMarkets $EEM ETF, as well as MSCI #SouthAfrica $EZA.

South Africa recently caught up to China in USD over a 3 year period.
9/15

Let's watch this one after #Powell's #FederalReserve speech this week.

#US #Bonds lagged #Equities. Be careful over the short term as $TLT #ETF relative to $SPY still indicates overbought (equities) & could soon see some profit-taking.
10/15

$NASDAQ looks even crazier ☝️. Yes and that's even after the sharp recent pullback in $QQQ. Be very careful.
11/15

#Gold lagged #MSCI #Global #Equities (#ETF's) over the short-term & now look mighty interesting. We are back at mid-2019's relative levels, which saw Gold enjoy some serious outperformance back then. This time might be different...

$GLD versus $ACWI
12/15

#Gold or $GLD might've lagged most #ETF's, but did remain more defensive compared to #Bitcoin recently. I know it's ultra short-term for $BITO (since inception last year Oct), but you get the idea.
13/15

#Gold wasn't the only metal that lagged #Equities recent. #PreciousMetals #ETF is looking very interesting over the longer term. Especially if you look at current #inflation worries & global political unrest (#fear).

$GLTR vs $ACWI
14/15

So if you like #Gold, then you might find the #GoldMiners interesting at current levels relatively. Despite Gold lagging #Equities, the actual miners' #ETF lagged even more.

$GDX $GLD
15/15 & final

And then finally, what would market feedback be without #smallcaps? Beginning of last year, there was a lot of FOMO going around, after a massive run in #Russell2000. Since then all outperformance against S&P500 was returned & more.

$IWM vs $SPY

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More from @SchalkLouw

Jan 1
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Happy New Year, everyone. The South African market ended 2021 with its best performance in 12 years. FTSE/JSE All Share increased by 4.8% during December, SA Property stocks increased by 7.88% in December, while SA All Bond Index improved 2.69% for the period.
2/10

FTSE/ JSE All Share (+4.03%) in USD, performed in line with MSCI All Country World Index (+4.00%), while MSCI Emerging Markets Index (+1.88%) again lagged both these indices. The 12-month performance for JSE in USD terms was also in line with the MSCI ACWI’s performance.
3/10

South African Small-Caps again dominated during December, improving by 7.33%. Both Large- and Mid-Caps also enjoyed solid returns over the same period with increase of 4.8% and 4.3%, irrespectively.
Read 11 tweets
Aug 27, 2021
#Global #ETF (thread): 26 Aug 2021

- 2020 worst perf #sectors making still leading in 2021 $IXG $IXC

- This is helping #oil producing countries with #SaudiArabia & #UAE in top5 #Country ETF YTD performers in USD $KSA $UAE

- #SouthAfrica $EZA still in top30 YTD performers
2/12

#EmergingMarkets #ETF seriously lagging #DevelopedMarkets ETF, mostly due to disinvestment from #China.

#SouthAfrica might need a lot of catch up, but $EZA YTD performance in USD (+8.2%) is still ahead of $EEM (-0.95%)
3/12

#Global #Value #stocks enjoyed short-term recovery to the end of April, but since then, $IWVL #ETF really struggled against #Quality & #Momentum. Over 1yr period it is however still the best-performing #factor, very much in its recovery phase.
Read 13 tweets
Jul 1, 2021
UPDATE ON MARKETS: BIG breather from all things SA. FTSE/JSE All Share retracted by 2.4% during June, bringing year-to-date returns to 13.2%. SA Property stocks had a great recovery, increasing 3.4%. Despite having net foreign selling pressure, SA All Bond Index increased by 1.1%
2/9

Massive underperformance by the FTSE/ JSE All Share (-6.2%) versus the MSCI All Country World Index (+1.32%) in USD-terms. The 12-month performance for the JSE in USD terms still leads the MSCI ACWI’s performance by nearly 13%.
3/9

South African Small-Caps were less affected during June, declining by only 1%. Large Caps and Mid-Caps both declined by 2.6% respectively.
Read 10 tweets
Jun 1, 2021
UPDATE ON MARKETS: FTSE/JSE All Share improved by another 1.6% during May, bringing the year-to-date returns to 16.02%. SA Property stocks took a breather after a MASSIVE recovery during April by declining by 2.9% in May. The SA All Bond Index increased by 3.7% for the period.
2/9

The FTSE/ JSE All Share (+7.30%) had a much stronger month than the MSCI All Country World Index (+1.56%) again in USD-terms. The 12-month performance for the JSE in USD-terms still leads the MSCI ACWI’s performance by nearly 35%.
3/9

South African Mid-Caps dominated during May, growing by 6.16%. Large Caps and Small-Caps grew by 1.14% and 3.33% respectively.
Read 10 tweets
May 2, 2021
UPDATE ON MARKETS: The FTSE/JSE All Share (JSE) improved by 0.97% during April, bringing the 12-month returns to 36.4%. SA Property stocks (SAPY) saw a MASSIVE recovery during April by gaining 11.68%, while the SA All Bond Index decreased by 1.9% for the period.
2/9

The FTSE/ JSE All Share (+2.84%) had a slower month than the MSCI All Country World Index (+4.37%) in USD terms. It did however managed to outperform the MSCI EM (2.49%). The 12-month performance for the JSE in USD terms still leads the MSCI ACWI’s performance by nearly 30%.
3/9

South African Small Caps again dominated during April, growing by 5.58%. Large Caps and Mid-Caps grew by 0.62% and 2.41%, respectively.
Read 10 tweets
Apr 1, 2021
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Man! I'm glad I didn't advice investors to cash in all they're local equity investments a year ago to invest abroad. #JSE improved by 1.6% during March, bringing 12-month returns to 54%. SA Property followed by gaining 1.2%, while the SA Bonds decreased 2.5%.
Page 2/9

The FTSE/ JSE All Share (+3.82%) again enjoyed a much better month than the MSCI All Country World Index (+2.67%) again in USD terms. The 12-month performance for the JSE in USD-terms still leads the MSCI ACWI’s performance by nearly 32%. Wow!
Page 3/9

South African Small Caps again dominated during March, growing by 7.7%. Large Caps and Mid-Caps grew by 1.3% and 3.4%, respectively.
Read 10 tweets

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