Thread by @evacool_

Although I personally understand the Saudi concerns which led to this policy, I see it as a huge mistake and that Saudi Arabia will not be a winner from it. Surprisingly, the biggest winners from this energy crisis are #Russia and #Iran.
1/7
#KSA #USA #Biden #Ukraine #Israel #UAE

https://twitter.com/evacool_/status/1510714256748122117

Because of the ongoing war on #Ukraine and the economic sanctions on #Russia , the rise in energy prices makes the imports of oil gas very important to cover #Moscow's depletion in other fields.
2/7

Moscow has already started exploiting the card of energy externally as well by blackmailing Europe and raising its exports to eastern countries at much lower prices.
3/7

Here, it is worth noting the sensitive Russian role in supporting the Syrian regime - which represents an important part of #Iran's influence in the region - and keeping it in power. Therefore, supporting #Russia in #Ukraine means supporting #Iran in #Syria.
4/7

The Obama lobby among the Democrats who support the nuclear deal with #Iran are using the energy file (oil and gas) to try to justify a return to it under the pretence that lifting sanctions on Iran will lead to an increase in its oil production and lowers prices.
5/7

Knowing that #Iran currently, despite the sanctions, produces about 2 mbd, but with the lifting of the sanctions, #Iran will need about six months to bring its capacity to the level of 3 mbd, which still will not affect that much global oil prices.
6/7

In sum, if #Riyadh raises its oil exports, this will lead to a decrease in its price, which will be a harsh economic blow for #Moscow on the one hand and will burn the importance of Iranian oil used to justify this dirty nuclear deal.
7/7
#KSA #USA #Biden #Ukraine #Rissia #Israel