Kyle Orton Profile picture
Aug 15 42 tweets 27 min read
Thread: 15 August 2022: Day 173 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update on #Russia's plans to completely conquer Donetsk Oblast in eastern #Ukraine and then stage a referendum to annex the zone to Russia. Image
#Ukraine fighter pilot, Anton Lystopad, recognised in 2019 as the country's top pilot and who had been awarded an Order for Courage by President Zelensky, was killed in combat against #Russia | pravda.com.ua/news/2022/08/1… ImageImageImageImage
Aftermath of the HIMARS strike by #Ukraine that demolished the #Russian base, occupied by Russian troops flagged as Wagner, in Popasna, in the Luhansk Oblast.
#pt: The #Russians doxxed their own base in Popasna, which #Ukraine then devastated with HIMARS.
#pt: Rumours spread after #Ukraine eliminated the #Russian base in Popasna that Yevgeny Prigozhin, "Putin's chef" who nominally runs the "Wagner" unit, was killed. Russian channels then began sharing pictures ostensibly proving Prigozhin was alive.
In Melitopol, in the Zaporizhzhia Oblast, #Ukrainian guerrillas have sabotaged a railway in the #Russian-occupied city.
Bizarre framing from the Catholic Pope, saying the war in #Ukraine - which he seems to think descended from the heavens, rather than being imposed by #Russia - is distracting from the looming famine in #Somalia. reuters.com/world/ukraine-…
Chancellor Olaf Scholz confirms #Germany will not support an #EU-wide ban on issuing #Russian citizens with tourist visas. abcnews.go.com/International/…
#Ukraine's President Zelensky has "dismissed the heads of the main departments of the State Security Service of Ukraine (#SBU) in Kyiv, Lviv, and Ternopil regions, and also appointed a new head of the SBU department in Kyiv and its region." interfax.com.ua/news/general/8…
#Saudi Arabia's role in cushioning #Russia from the sanctions
Putin says Russia and North Korea will expand bilateral relations, KCNA reports timetotimes.com/?p=106589
#Russia has set up a GULAG in the foothold it still has around Kharkiv
#Russia's forces have seized 5,100 #Ukrainian orphans, and deported them to Russia, putting them in the homes of Russian parents, presumably hoping to Russify them, which is a flat breach of the Genocide Convention. euromaidanpress.com/2022/08/15/rus…
Not great for Elon Musk to be getting close to #China, especially right as it threatens #Taiwan (again) and supports #Russia's war on #Ukraine.
Thread on #Russia's effort to use announced "annexations" of the occupied zones in #Ukraine as a way to freeze the frontline - and politically reframe the war - as it tries to regenerate manpower before recommencing the effort to conquer Ukraine
#Russia is trying to steal #Ukraine's electrical supplies generated by the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. wsj.com/articles/russi…
#Russian journalists reporting on Russian war crimes during the brief occupation around #Ukraine's capital earlier this year.
Nice piece on one of the most good-natured outgrowths of this terrible war. #NAFO
#Russia tightening its relations with the #Taliban-#Qaeda regime in Afghanistan.
#pt: From 2017: "Iran and Russia Are Using the Taliban Against the West" kyleorton.co.uk/2017/08/05/ira…
Good signs domestically in #Ukraine: President Zelensky has been cleaning up the intelligence side, and this seems like a positive step for the judiciary.
#Russia got what it wanted from Tulsi Gabbard, as usual.
#Putin insisting #Russia's weapons are all working great
Salman Rushdie said in 2010: "It looks very much as if Amnesty [International]'s leadership is suffering from a kind of moral bankruptcy and has lost the ability to distinguish right from wrong." thetimes.co.uk/article/salman…
#Russian soldiers speaking about their actions around #Ukraine's capital from late February to early April this year. Admits openly to looting and murdering civilians. theins.ru/en/news/254127
"Even if Russia does annex Ukrainian territory and tries to force an operational pause, Kyiv and its Western supporters don't have to comply. Russia's overall ambitions for Ukraine [i.e. total conquest], after all, remain intact." foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/russia…
This really has been forgotten and some of the "discourse" has gotten terribly toxic. Goes partly to a fundamental issue about what "public opinion" actually *is*, i.e. how fixed/contingent it is and whether or to what extent it's even a "real" concept.
A majority of Russians, right now, in this phase of the war and with these incentives (extreme domestic repression), support the war. Doesn't seem to be mass-enthusiasm. Without coercion and after a humiliating defeat, would this hold? Maybe. But maybe not
#Ukraine's President Zelensky met today with ambassadors for @united24_gov_ua, @jksheva7 and @LievSchreiber, to discuss ways of keeping the world's attention on the Ukrainian cause after nearly six months of war to hold off #Russia's invasion. Image

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More from @KyleWOrton

Aug 18
Thread: 18 August 2022: Day 176 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia has had "heavy attrition" of its tanks because of a "culture of poor" work with Explosive Reactive Armour (ERA) that "dates back to the First Chechen War in 1994". Failing to "enforce low-level battle discipline" of this kind has marked the war. Image
#pt: The Russian army, despite the so-called "modernisation", has precious little progress to show from nearly 30 years ago in Chechnya.
Read 24 tweets
Aug 17
Thread: 17 August 2022: Day 175 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: notes the explosions on 16 August in Dzhankoi, home to one of two "most important Russian airfields in #Crimea" and "a key road and rail junction" supplying Russian forces in southern #Ukraine. "The cause ... is not yet clear" 😶 Image
#Russia's state media is upset at the "repressions" of Donald Trump. In a strange segment, Vladimir Solovyov even wondered if "Teflon Don" might not be "[declared] a Russian spy" and if so would #Russia do a prisoner exchange "to bring Trump to Russia?". thedailybeast.com/russian-state-…
Read 31 tweets
Aug 16
Thread: 16 August 2022: Day 174 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia's Black Sea Fleet is having to pursue an "extremely defensive posture", keeping vessels close to the Crimean coast after the loss of the flagship MOSKVA, a "significant proportion" of naval combat jets, and Snaks Island. Odesa out of reach. Image
More Nazis involved in Putin's denazification army
Read 37 tweets
Aug 13
Thread: 13 August 2022: Day 171 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: The "two primary road bridges" to #Russian-occupied Kherson, west of the Dnipro, are "probably out of use" for "substantial military resupply" due to #Ukraine strikes. Even if repaired, remain vulnerable. Russians relying on pontoon ferry crossing points
#Sweden considering ramping up domestic weapons production to assist #Ukraine.
Read 23 tweets
Aug 12
Thread: 12 August 2022: Day 170 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: Britain not saying #Ukraine attacked Saki Airbase, but says "almost certainly" five Su-24 FENCER bombers and three Su-30 jets were seriously damaged or destroyed. Airfield probably usable. #Crimea clearly not a "secure rear-area" as #Russia believed.
#Ukraine thanks #Britain for delivering on its promise of sending more M270 MLRS.
Read 19 tweets
Aug 12
Salman Rushdie has been stabbed in New York as he was beginning a lecture at the Chautauqua Institution. Rushdie's condition is unclear. Suspicion will naturally fall on #Iran, whose government called for his murder in 1989 and never repudiated the fatwa. apnews.com/article/salman…
Pictures circulating show the Salman Rushdie being wheeled away on a stretcher after he was stabbed in New York, contrary to some reports he walked off stage, and the perpetrator being arrested. ImageImage
Read 17 tweets

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