THREAD: A picture is worth a thousand words. Let's look at a few of the globe's largest #ETF's & their graphs & see if we can make some sense of the current market environment.
#SouthAfrica might be down over 1YR, but $EZA performance in USD (-15.9%) is still way ahead of both $URTH (DM -22.2%) & $EEM (EM -28.9%) over the same period.
4/19
#MSCI#World with & without US included. US has definitely been the safe haven over the past 10 years, but it created quite a "premium".
$IXUS vs $ACWI
5/19
From a #Factor#Investing point of view, did #Global#LowVolatility & #Value#stocks (#ETF) do exactly what's expected from them in current market conditions but still got some serious catch-up to do over the longer term. Watch this space.
$ACWV $IWVL
6/19
When I see something in the media about #Global#Tech#stocks & hear so many comments to "buy the dip". Tech is down 30.5% over 12 months relative to the #MSCI AC World Index's -23.1%. The relative graph, however, doesn't show a massive "dip" yet.
$IXN vs $ACWI
7/19
#VideoGaming seriously lagged #Global#Tech. ETF has quite a bit of exposure to #China (11%) & #Taiwan (2%) combined, which might've contributed. Interesting nevertheless. If you liked this market or #ETF a little bit more than a year ago, you'll love them now.
$HERO $IXN
8/19
#Internet companies, in general, lost a bit of "internet-speed" recently, with US Internet Co's $FDN #ETF losing more than half its value over the past 12 mths (-53%)
#Chinese Internet Co's $KWEB lost 51% over the same period.
And with #Inflation still very much the main topic in current markets, one would think that #US#TIPS#ETF would've rocked the 2022 "party". Think again. The relative graph shows it was a better place to be.
$TIP vs $TLT
12/19
And just like #EmergingMarkets equities lagged #DevelopedMarkets equities, #Bonds were no different. Global Government Bond #ETF $IGLO down 23.3% over 12 months versus -27.4% for the EM Bonds ETF $EMB.
13/19
#BlockchainTechnology going from absolute hero to zero! After rocket moves early 2021, $BLOK #ETF gave back all outperformance against #Global#Tech & now lags $IXN over 3 years.
14/19
It's safe to say that #Bitcoin is not the new #Gold.
#Gold lagged #MSCI#Global#Equities (#ETF's) over the longer-term but remained stable relative to this year, with 15% outperformance over the past 12 months.
$GLD versus $ACWI
17/19
If you like #Gold, you might find the #GoldMiners interesting at current levels. Despite Gold lagging #Equities over the past 3 years, the actual miners' #ETF lagged even more.
$GDX $GLD
18/19
#Gold wasn't the only metal that lagged #Equities up to recently. #PreciousMetals#ETF is looking very interesting over the longer term. Especially if you look at current #inflation worries & global political unrest (#fear) & USD question marks.
$GLTR vs $ACWI
19/19 & Final
And then finally, what would market feedback be without #smallcaps? Beginning of last year, there was a lot of FOMO going around, after a massive run in #Russell2000. By Feb this year, all outperformance against S&P500 was returned & more.
$IWM vs $SPY
β’ β’ β’
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UPDATE ON MARKETS: Relative to broader asset classes globally, Local Equities continue to lead strongly over the short and longer term. Local Bonds and Local Property have also delivered competitive performance, while Global Property remain weaker across multiple timeframes.
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2/16
FTSE/JSE All Share delivered a 1.6% gain, SA Bonds up 2.6%, SA Listed Property surged by 7.84% (best local asset class for the month), while SA Cash remained stable at 0.6%. On a 12-month basis, both Property (23.6%) and Bonds (20.1%) continued to outperform Cash (7.4%).
3/16
In US dollar terms, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index gained 1.93% in October, slightly underperforming global equities (MSCI ACWI up 2.13%). Over the past 12 months, however, it remained a standout performer, rising 35.00% compared to the ACWIβs 22.51%.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Local assets continue to shine, with four of the five best-performing asset classes being South African. In short: no local, no lekker this August.
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2/15
In August, the FTSE/JSE All Share (JSE) advanced by 3.53%, lifting the 12-month return to a strong 25.82%. SA Bonds gained 0.70%, SA Listed Property rose 2.80%, while SA Cash returned 0.55%.
3/15
A graph that many local doomsdayers prefer not to look at. In USD terms, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index surged a massive 6.83% in August, far outpacing both the MSCI All Country World Index (2.47%) and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (1.28%).
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Locally, the South African Reserve Bank lowered the repo rate by 0.25% in May β a move that certainly brought renewed optimism to the markets. Local remained lekker for 2025.
2/15
In May, the FTSE/JSE All Share (JSE) rose by 3.14%, bringing the 12-month return to an impressive 27.30%. Local Bonds returned 2.70%, while SA Listed Property gained 2.32%. SA Cash continued to offer a steady 0.59% monthly return.
3/15
In USD terms, the FTSE/JSE All Share Index increased by 6.57% in May, significantly outperforming both the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (4.27%) and the MSCI All Country World Index (5.75%). Those who advised people over the past five years to sell all their South African assets and move everything offshore are now silent.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: FTSE/JSE All Share demonstrated another impressive performance in July, outperforming the MSCI All Country World Index. JSE recorded a 4.01% increase, while South African bonds (ALBI) & the local property market improved by 2.29% and 2.3%, respectively in July.
2/15
The JSE experienced a significant surge in July, gaining 9.7% in USD value. Comparatively, the MSCI All Country Index had a more modest growth of 3.66%, while the MSCI Emerging Markets Index witnessed a 6.22% increase.
3/15
The SA Fear & Greed Index recovered and moved closer to EXTREME GREED territory during July.
UPDATE ON MARKETS: Happy New Year, everyone. The South African market ended 2021 with its best performance in 12 years. FTSE/JSE All Share increased by 4.8% during December, SA Property stocks increased by 7.88% in December, while SA All Bond Index improved 2.69% for the period.
2/10
FTSE/ JSE All Share (+4.03%) in USD, performed in line with MSCI All Country World Index (+4.00%), while MSCI Emerging Markets Index (+1.88%) again lagged both these indices. The 12-month performance for JSE in USD terms was also in line with the MSCI ACWIβs performance.
3/10
South African Small-Caps again dominated during December, improving by 7.33%. Both Large- and Mid-Caps also enjoyed solid returns over the same period with increase of 4.8% and 4.3%, irrespectively.