Thread by @Hiranyareta

TDP wants BJP to be second and help centre fund and help TDP electorally like a slave. Not accepting such crap is the reason for breakup threats. @iMac_too

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TDP is a party of Kammas (5% total state populations) and YSRC is a party of Reddy (not xians as popular fiction want you to believe). Reddys are now about 3% after division of state.

@iMac_too

The SCs all vote to Jagan. STs are split between TDP and Jagan in a 20:80 ratio.OBCs are split between TDP and Jagan on a 80:20 ration in favor of TDP.
The election is always very close. A percent here and a percent there is enough to tilt.

@iMac_too

Now comes a caste called Kapu - rich ones that exists from northern shore of Krishna district to all the way to orissa border.This is about a total of 9% or more.
Now after Telugu states are seperated, This particualr caste can make or not-make a government.
@iMac_too

Kapus means caste of Chiranjeevi, Pawan Kalyan etc. This particualar caste voted for BJP even in 1998 and later moved to congress and then recently back to TDP. There is another Kshatriya caste called Rajus. They are also ones who can go to highest bidder.

@iMac_too

So Jagan or TDP while keeping aside their bases they have to make deals and bid for Kapu, Rajus and also some powerful OBCs.

@iMac_too

Now comes the spoiler. BJP want to appoint Somu Veeraju as its chief. He is a Kapu from Amalapuram. The base of rich kapus is Godavari districts.

@iMac_too

TDP wants BJP to not go and become big by bidding for another Kshatriya front with Kapus. Kammas, Kaapus, Velamas, Reddys and Rajus are all variants of Kshatreeyas but for convenience they call themselves as soodras :joy:

@iMac_too

What TDP wants is to appoint a Kamma like Kamineni Srinivas as BJP chief so that BJP can play junior forever under TDP. This is where Amit Shah seems to have conveyed a no.

@iMac_too

That No is the reason for breaking the so called " mitra dharma" being touted by CBN. Venkayya Naidu was sent packing to VP to ensure that he is not a hurdle . Venkayya and TDP wants BJP to be a Kamma-B party.

@iMac_too

The day BJP decides to make Somu Veeraju as BJP chief things will change. Basically they have to divorce TDP which is going to happen. Chiru will most likely join BJP, Godavaris and North Aandhra will be BJP, KG districts and half of seema will be TDP and rest Jagan.
@iMac_too

Nothing will stay same if Somu becomes chief of AP BJP. Pawan right now is playing per CBN lines but will change his songs to "attarintiki daaradhi". BJP has potential to build Kapu+Reddy+Raju+OBC and take on Kamma+OBC. It can force a three way split and play the game.

@iMac_too

Brahmins will go with anti-TDP come what may. That is why BJP wants to build Kapu+Raju+Brahmin in Godavaris and Vizag.

@iMac_too

By the way, votes for BJP in AP may be 5% but it can raise easily 1000 crore for elections. 🤣🤣
Make it as a kapu party and then see the money. if u play second fiddle to TDP you won't have any.

@iMac_too