Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #SiteC

Most recents (24)

If you know anyone who builds things for a living, you know that lumber prices are through the roof.

This is creating a gold rush mentality – hoarding, black market sales, thieving from job sites.

It is also making logging more attractive in places it didn't make sense before.
we're seeing two things collide:

- climate change (which unleashed the mountain pine beetle and megafires that closed lots of mills)

- building/renovation boom during Covid, which has put a strain on lumber supply

combined with B.C.'s broken forestry model, bad news for trees
the province's whole model is based on claiming Indigenous territories ("Crown land"), licencing them to corporations to extract resources, and then collecting royalties.

The fastest, most profitable way to log is mow everything down, highgrade valuable timber, burn the rest.
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THIS IS TODAY. 5 pm. Hear from the Chief of the First Nation fighting #SiteC in BC Supreme Court, Chief Roland Willson of West Moberly FN @dunnezaman, as well as geotechnical expert on #SiteC's unsafety & more. Please join! #bcpoli #Covid19BC #cdnpoli #theDamTruth #UNDRIP
@dunnezaman ..I'll try to live tweet parts of this webinar. If you would like to donate to West Moberly's court challenge to the #SiteC dam, the link is here. #bcpoli
@dunnezaman ..Up first is Chief Roland Willson @dunnezaman of West Moberly First Nations.
Read 33 tweets
Seeking help:
We're failing to explain the "sunk costs" fallacy. The general public still thinks sunk costs should be taken into account when figuring out if a project should proceed. This is terrible economics. Cynical politicians abuse this blind spot. What should we do? #SiteC
Note: as far as #SiteC is concerned, Horgan is also mixing up sunk costs (what's already been spent, about $6bn, some of which went to useful, overdue local upgrades) & "cost to cancel" which he's calling "$10 billion" - a figure he pulled out of a hat & never showed his work on.
The idea of "sunk costs" is known as a fallacy for a reason. But people find it counterintuitive that it doesn't matter what you've already spent, it only matters what is left to be spent & whether that remainder is economic to spend. So I just seek a way to better transmit this.
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IMAGINE that instead of putting all its money on the single, big, controversial, remote #sitec dam, BC decided to diversify its energy portfolio and invest in distributed solar energy.
The following thread shows what $16B can provide in residential, commercial & industrial solar.
A. TECHNOLOGY
PV Modules cost 50¢/W. $16B is equivalent to 32 GW of PV modules or 30 X the power of #siteC. With BC average Solar yield of 1,250 kWh/kW/yr, they could produce 40,000 GWh per year or 7.8 x #sitec energy
B. RESIDENTIAL
Average cost of residential rooftop solar is $3.52/W installed (NREL). $16 B can install 4,542 MW rooftop solar or 4x more power than #siteC.
That’s 2 kW per home and every household saving $360 per year in electricity bill.
Read 6 tweets
It's been 1 week since Horgan's #SiteC announcement. Unsurprisingly it's also been 1 week of hearing from engineers & construction experts about the proposed geotechnical "fix" at Site C (what little the BC govt released). This could be a long thread. Apologies to non-nerds..
NOTE: because #SiteC is shrouded in secrecy & full info is never released, engineers & construction experts can only go by the scant info that's available. If BC Hydro/BCH engineers want to argue that other engineers don't know the details, we invite them to release those now.
Having said that, we already had a little technical information on #SiteC, which is now combined with the Geotechnical Safety Overview Report that the NDP govt released on Friday, so we have a fair amount to go on. See:
news.gov.bc.ca/files/Site_C_G…
and also
news.gov.bc.ca/files/2-26-21_…
Read 33 tweets
When a former CEO of BC Hydro is writing this... "Horgan’s runaway costs on #SiteC: Enough is enough" - op-ed by Marc Eliesen, who also headed Manitoba Hydro and Ontario Hydro. timescolonist.com/comment-horgan… #bcpoli
.."Horgan relied on a false narrative.. He said if #SiteC was terminated, $10.2 bn in costs would be subject to an immediate writedown, and this writedown would cause a 26% increase in electricity rates.

The premier is relying on a fairy tale..." - Marc Eliesen #bcpoli
...Marc Eliesen: "This is not the first time ­Horgan has resorted to fantasy in an effort to sell #SiteC....Horgan’s own press release contradicts his fear-mongering rhetoric." Eliesen is arguably the most progressive, public-serving CEO in BC Hydro history. #bcpoli
Read 4 tweets
Given recent $16 billion #SiteC news I want to explain this project as a business decision to build a rental house. Buckle up and grab a sewing machine as I pull this 🧵

My main point: any project choice is a trade-off compared against alternatives. 1/LOTS
What kind of house should we build? Hydro? Wind? Geothermal? In 2013 @AJWVictoriaBC compared the 2013 site c costs to a different renewable: wind. In 2011 a $7.9 billion site C would cost between 8.7-9.5c/kWh - but wind costs were about the same. bit.ly/3r5c44j
Since 2013, global solar and wind costs dropped dramatically, but the capital costs of Site C have doubled from 7.9 to 16 billion. (If you have current site C kWh costs, @ me) bit.ly/2NQTEG2
Read 18 tweets
!!! Some intel from inside BC Hydro: in a recent online staff meeting on #COVID19BC safety, the feedback mechanism in the Slido app they use was overrun by negative comments on mgmt, & BCH had to shut down the app. Many people questioned the coverup of the covid death at #SiteC..
..I'm just reporting what I'm hearing from a source, given there's no transparency from govt or BC Hydro: "Employees are at the breaking point with conflicting orders, #COVID19 & incompetence, & some are now questioning #SiteC openly. Many don't care if they are fired anymore.."
.."The top issue aired in the call was the COVID-19 death of the #SiteC worker but other issues were general anger with incompetence in BC Hydro management..."
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There is a crisis in leadership among @bcndp @jjhorgan in making tough (but common sense) decision to cancel #SiteC dam which reporters like @sarahcox_bc have drawn attention to.I'll give you a small personal perspective as scientist working in support of several First Nations 1/
2/ I have testified before Joint Review Panel, published several peer-reviewed studies, advised #BCUC and had informal conversations w @bcndp elected officials on how #SiteC threatens critical ecological resources, that First Nations and others rely upon #naturalcapital 2/
3/ I, others who have tried to engage @bcndp have been met w total silence. They will not engage w critics of #SiteC. I am not naive.This is likely a directive from Premier's Office that caucus is not talk to anyone,choosing to let @jjhorgan make vague talking points instead 3/
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The Turbine for Site C is from Brazil and may link to Operation Carwash in Brazil. Expected to arrive in B.C. from São Paulo, Brazil in the spring of 2021 and the final two in the summer of 2022. cbc.ca/news/canada/br…
Documents obtained by The Narwhal show BC Hydro’s former chief engineer and SNC Lavalin are among the recipients of lucrative and previously undisclosed Site C direct-award contracts.
thenarwhal.ca/bc-hydro-site-…
Read 11 tweets
What did I say about Mark Jaccard & Blake Shaffer (son of #SiteC lobbyist Marv Shaffer)? The fact their names are back in the news (& federal Enviro Min. @JonathanWNV keeps dropping Jaccard's name) means BC & Canada are pushing #SiteC... #bcpoli #cdnpoli cbc.ca/news/canada/ca…
@JonathanWNV Mark Jaccard's main argument for #SiteC back in 2017 was that #SiteC would be "dispatchable" power (available anytime) unlike wind/solar. He managed to get himself into every media outlet to repeat this. BC DOESN'T BEGIN TO NEED ANY MORE DISPATCHABLE POWER. He knows this #bcpoli
@JonathanWNV ..Worse, the feds are really showing their hand here by throwing money at UNESCO site Wood Buffalo National Park, which the UN has warned will be impacted (desiccated) by #SiteC. The Park needs water, not money, Minister Wilkinson. Why are you pushing #SiteC on it & BC? #cdnpoli
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Given that the Milburn report could potentially be announced tomorrow, it feels like a good time to refocus on #SiteC. We know all the many arguments against this dam, but the thing is, all but one of them are moot.

The site's geology makes the dam unsafe, period.
#bcpoli 1/x
..Yes, other arguments against #SiteC are good:
* violation of Indigenous & treaty rights
* more than double the cost of greener alternatives
* vast loss of agricultural land in midst of food insecurity
* extreme environmental damage
* high hydro rates will slow decarbonization..
..And
* what we now know of the massive GHG climate impact of dams.

But the problem with making any & all of these arguments against #SiteC - & each of them should have disqualified this dam - is that using them almost implies the dam is even safely completable. It's not.
Read 13 tweets
BREAKING: A former CEO of BC Hydro CEO & a veteran dam engineer say the BC government has failed in its oversight role. "Why #SiteC Construction Should Stop Today" by Marc Eliesen & Ken Farquharson #bcpoli thetyee.ca/Analysis/2020/…
.."Unfortunately, this important government responsibility [dam safety] has rarely been mentioned as #SiteC has careened from one set of problems to another." - former BC Hydro CEO Marc Eliesen #bcpoli
Read 7 tweets
Quick #SiteC update:
1. It is widely reported that @jjhorgan has the Milburn #SiteC report but hasn't told the public. Release the unredacted report now; it's ours.
2. The current #bcpoli Leg session ends Thursday. It would be classic Horgan to make a statement late Friday..
3. There have been a number of signs that the BC govt, various #SiteC boosters like Marc Jaccard, and Fed Minister of Environment @JonathanWNV are gearing up to produce reasons to pass #SiteC (ignoring its geotechnical instability)... #bcpoli
4. A study recently out of Alberta (odd timing) looks at #SiteC economics & concludes it's only worthwhile to go ahead if it feeds electricity to Alberta under certain conditions (which can't be met). It ignores the fact that greener, cheaper alternatives to #SiteC exist..
Read 5 tweets
Sources are passing on a lot of concerning information about #COVID19BC management at #SiteC and in Fort St John. This much smoke usually means fire. I'm just going to pass it along in the hope that we can finally get some official response... 1/x
..1. Word is that workers who put themselves into "self-isolation" at #SiteC are NOT automatically tested. (This is a Q many have asked over the past 9 months - What is self isolation & are all workers tested?) I asked sources why. Same answer every time: "No test = no outbreak."
2. Frontline cleaning and other staff are moving freely between shifts at #SiteC, various Fort St John-area schools, and Peace Villa (which is the LTC attached to the FSJ Hospital, which has had #covid19BC cases). There have been cases & exposures at all 3 places.
Read 13 tweets
New #SiteC photos today. Engineer & informed locals keep pointing out to me that we should not see this much white turbulence visible at the river diversion tunnel exits when we're not at high flow time of year (spring freshet). Why is turbulence bad?.. #bcpoli Turbulence in water exiting river diversion tunnels (right)
As I pointed out in an earlier thread on this issue, turbulence just means the river diversion tunnels are too small for the flow. We know that the tunnels have been lined with thick concrete sections, but let's remember they sit inside a weak shale bank.
I'm chatting with an engineer and a hydro construction expert right now (welcome to pandemic Saturday night!). They are independently pointing out that this turbulence looks wrong; if tunnels were properly designed for this river we would see smooth or "laminar" flow.
Read 6 tweets
"LNG Canada workers complained about unsafe conditions prior to COVID-19 outbreak" @TorontoStar
Sounds like #SiteC too, based on employee reviews... thestar.com/news/canada/20… #covid19bc #bcpoli @BruceRalston @jjhorgan
@TorontoStar @BruceRalston @jjhorgan ."The outbreak at #LNGCanada started on Nov. 19 & there are now 54 cases. In the months leading up to the outbreak, workers raised concerns about #COVID19BC cleaning procedures in common areas, rooms & work spaces, prompting inspections by WorkSafe BC on Aug 28 & Oct 19." #bcpoli
@TorontoStar @BruceRalston @jjhorgan ..Get this: "The documents also reveal that a WorkSafe BC inspection of the #SiteC work camp’s sewage treatment facility in northeast BC on March 19 found the facility did not have a plan to sufficiently protect workers from pathogens, body fluids, human waste, mould & COVID-19."
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It’s on! @thenarwhalca has a👌panel talking RIGHT NOW about the future of the #SiteC dam, the most expensive public infrastructure project in BC's history.

Watch the convo live: facebook.com/thenarwhalca/v…

And follow along right here for highlights!
Need some background?

Look no further than @sarahcox_bc’s blockbuster investigation into #SiteC. Sarah has been following this for YEARS.

… she literally wrote the book on it: Breaching the Peace: the Site C Dam and a Valley’s Stand Against Big Hydro.
thenarwhal.ca/site-c-dam-geo…
.@sarahcox_bc will be joined by @thenarwhalca’s managing editor, @carollinnitt, as well as:

Nuu-chah-nulth Tribal Council president @kekinusuqs, West Moberly First Nations Chief @dunnezaman, and Marc Eliesen, former CEO of BC Hydro.

Stay tuned for the convo!
#bcpoli #SiteC
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T minus 1 minute! There may be room left in this webinar - please join. #SiteC #bcpoli
..I'm going to semi-livetweet this #SiteC webinar. Chief Roland Willson of West Moberly First Nations @dunnezaman is speaking first. Site C will drown the last portion of valley on the Peace River - everything else has been submerged by previous dams... #bcpoli
@dunnezaman ..Treaty 8 promised would be "no forced interference" in hunting and fishing rights - Chief Willson is showing a map animation showing the sheer quantity of imposed dev't in their region. This is "forced interference" - and #SiteC is unnecessary interference...
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Lots of #SiteC intel coming in. As we learned earlier, there's a huge drill on site. Contractor Henry Drilling is boring holes 100' deep & 9' in diameter at the spillways & generating station. We wonder if it's a last ditch attempt to stop structure moving via "shear keys"..
But it raises the Q why work ever continued during the review of #SiteC by Peter Milburn (whose report should come out soon, tho we have no idea what its terms of reference are or if public will ever be able to see it in its entirety). Horgan did this with the BCUC review too.
.If the Milburn review is looking at whether #SiteC can be fixed at all, why is over $100m still being spent a month on the project? Is this a review in good faith? The fact Horgan didn't call for a tools down during the BCUC review either is causing many to feel deja vu. #bcpoli
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How BC feels right now
#currentmood #SiteC #CovidBC #bcpoli #cdnpoli
941 cases today
New cases vs # of new tests in the last day in 4 provinces:
BC: 941 cases, 11,037 tests
Alberta: 1,115 cases, 13,576 tests
Ontario: 1,009 cases, 27,053 tests
Quebec: 1,164 cases, (test # still n/a, but they do between 20-35K tests a day
quebec.ca/en/health/heal…
#COVID19BC #bcpoli
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Remember this NDP platform program from the 2017 election?

None of it was put into action.

What happened, @BowinnMa ?
What caused you to suddenly support building a dam on dangerously unstable soft terrain, @michellemungall ?

#SiteC #bcpoli

thetyee.ca/News/2015/11/1…
Why is #SiteC being built by a company BANNED by the World Bank due to political bribery and fraud?

Why does BC keep "building" the dam when any engineer who spends 2 minutes reviewing it concludes the project is doomed by a soft shale-mud foundation?
cbc.ca/news/business/….
@jjhorgan will your legacy be someone who admits mistakes and adapts, or someone whose legacy was to saddle future generations with sky-high hydro rates and used as a case study in sunk cost fallacy?
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"Suspect timing for latest update on problematic holes at #SiteC" - @VaughnPalmer

"Opinion: Sooner or later the public and ratepayers will discover what BC Hydro and the NDP have been hiding all these months" vancouversun.com/opinion/column… #bcpoli
@VaughnPalmer ..This BCUC Q to BC Hydro is esp. interesting: "Discuss which geotechnical studies were used to inform the initial design of the powerhouse, spillway & dam core foundations.” Interesting that BCUC would go back that far - possibly as far back as 2010-11 design of L-shaped dam
@VaughnPalmer I'm chatting with my engineer pal right now and he's saying "No idea how BC Hydro can answer these q's. Anything they say will create more q's, & they will have to come up with design data & input values for all the parameters used in the calculations.." cont'd
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At what is presumably a massive cost, up at #SiteC they are now bringing in huge machines to drill 3' diameter holes 60' deep; locals believe it's for cofferdams. Other work also continues at frantic pace even tho we still have no solution to instability nor a price tag #bcpoli
..Please answer this, Premier @jjhorgan: if your Milburn review is serious and unconstrained, it must be able to advise you to cancel #SiteC. So why on earth is work continuing at the dam? How much of our money are you spending on work that is possibly fruitless? How much damage?
@jjhorgan ..Simpler question for Premier Horgan: Are you playing a game of chicken with geology? Because you will lose.

Stop spending our billions on an unfixable dam we never needed instead of on housing, health care, senior care, & education. #SiteC #bcpoli
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