Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #tn05

Most recents (16)

NEW from me @TheSpectator:

It's clear that legislation from #SC03's @RepJeffDuncan, #KY02's @RepGuthrie, #AZ09's @RepGosar, and #KY01's @RepJamesComer just forced the Biden admin's hand in a VERY big way.

Let's see what went down this week...

thespectator.com/topic/inside-r…

(1/xx)
The @HouseGOP launched an all-out war on the remaining Covid vaccine mandates being enforced by the Biden administration. So far they have won some important concessions, but are pushing for more.

thespectator.com/topic/inside-r…

(2/xx)
I talked with several key players involved in the legislative battle, which they claim forced the Biden admin to finally declare an end to some of its coronavirus emergency powers later this year. @HouseGOP, however, wants them shut down now.

thespectator.com/topic/inside-r…

(3/xx)
Read 21 tweets
NEW FROM ME: I went district by district, and I agree with @databyler: Redistricting probably didn't cost Democrats the House. fivethirtyeight.com/features/redis…
There were 11 districts that Republicans flipped thanks to redistricting alone (including #FL04, #TN05, etc.), vs. 5 that Democrats did. (Chart by @elena___mejia!) That's a net gain of +6 for the GOP. BUT… fivethirtyeight.com/features/redis… Image
…there were 9 districts Democrats *kept* only because of redistricting, vs. only 3 for Republicans. So it was a wash! fivethirtyeight.com/features/redis… Image
Read 8 tweets
So, here's how redistricting and, in some cases, gerrymandering, helped the Republicans take the House:

Again, Republicans had full control over redistricting in 17 states (AL, AR, FL, GA, IN, KS, KY, MS, MO, NE, NH, NC, OK, SC, TN, TX and WV).
Democrats had full control over redistricting in 7 states (IL, MD, MA, NV, NM, OR and RI).

There were 3 states in which an Independent Commission drew the lines but Republicans could override them (IA, OH and UT).
And there was 1 state in which an Independent Commission drew the lines but Democrats could override them (NY).

Because of the 2020 Census, CA, IL, MI, NY, OH, PA and WV all lost House seats.
Read 23 tweets
2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander

A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)

To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter ImageImageImageImage
Methodology:

I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf

Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-… ImageImageImage
Read 111 tweets
Breaking: per two TN sources, Republicans are proceeding w/ drafting a redistricting plan that would carve up Nashville, likely dooming #TN05 Rep. Jim Cooper (D) and converting current 7R-2D map into 8R-1D.
Although an initial draft isn't yet public, our Tennessee analysis from August highlighted how Republicans could flip #TN05 from a Biden +23 to a Trump +20 district by adding Williamson & other counties- while surrounding GOP seats would remain Trump +25 or more.
To be clear, there is nothing final about this approach - and I've also heard from TN GOP operatives who are leery slicing up Nashville could backfire later in the decade and don't think it'll ultimately happen. We'll see.
Read 3 tweets
Speaker's election underway. Conducted aloud on House floor, alphabetically by member-elect surname.

Winner needs majority of members-elect voting for a candidate by surname. Can win with fewer than 218.

Pelosi, McCarthy formally nominated, but members-elect can vote for anyone
Blue Dog Rep. Jim Cooper (D-TN) voted for Pelosi for speaker for the 1st time since 2009.

Cooper voted "present" in 2019 and for Tim Ryan in 2017, Colin Powell in both 2015 elections and in 2013, and Heath Shuler in 2011. #tn05
Rep. Jason Crow (D-CO), who voted for Tammy Duckworth for speaker as a freshman in 2019, voted for Pelosi after an easy re-election win in #co06
Read 14 tweets
🗳️It’s primary day in Tennessee! We’re proud to have endorsed two progressive champions in the state: @KeedaHaynes (TN-05) and @RVHoyos (TN-02). #GoVoteTN
As a public defender, @KeedaHaynes advocated passionately on behalf of her clients — standing up for them in the face of a racist system.

We’ve endorsed #KeedaforCongress for #TN05 because we know she will take that same level of passion and determination to Washington. Image
We’re proud to have endorsed @RVHoyos because she will stand up to powerful special interests and wealthy insiders to fight for working families and deliver real results for East Tennessee.

Vote for Renee in #TN02! Image
Read 3 tweets
Voting in the Volunteer State today: Tennessee holds primaries for House and Senate seats.
There's an open #TNSen seat race with 3rd term Republican Senator Lamar Alexander not running for reelection. 15 Republicans including former Trump US Amb to Japan Bill Hagerty and Dr. Manny Sethi and 5 Democrats including Nashville atty James Mackler are running to succeed him.
6th term #TN01 Republican Rep. Phil Roe, ranking member & former chair of House VA Cmte, is not running for reelection. 16 Republicans are running to succeed him in northeastern Tennessee House seat which GOP has held since 1881. Winner will likely face Democrat Blair Walsingham.
Read 5 tweets
House members will vote by proxy for the 1st time in chamber's 231-yr history beginning Wed. House clerk posted letters from mbrs who will not be physically present on House floor for votes due to COVID-19 pandemic & have given their proxies to other mbrs.
clerkpreview.house.gov/ProxyLetter#Ac…
1st term #CA39 Democratic @RepGilCisneros has designated his voting proxy to 1st term #PA06 Democratic @RepHoulahan. Image
3rd term #VA08 Democratic @RepDonBeyer, who represents one of the closest House districts to Capitol Hill, will vote by proxy for 7th term Democratic #TN09 @RepCohen, chair of the House Judiciary Subcommittee on the Constitution, Civil Rights, and Civil Liberties. Image
Read 59 tweets
‼️PROGRESSIVES‼️

We must remember down-ballot candidates.

This is a list of progressive/leftist congressional candidates endorsed by at least one of these groups:

@BrandNew535
@BoldProgressive
@justicedems
@pdamerica
@RoseCaucus

#UniteLeft
#Progress2020
Please remember:

⚠️STATE CANDIDATE PRIMARIES MAY BE ON DIFFERENT DATES THAN THE PRESIDENTIAL PRIMARY⚠️

Double check your registration at least 1 MONTH 🗓 before any election you plant to vote in.

Also, endorsements are an ongoing process
Some races have 2 different candidates endorsed by different groups, so they’re both listed.

Legend:
📖➡️ platform/issues link
💵➡️ donation link

If the pinned tweet is related to their campaign, I included it.

Now, onto the (long) list.
Read 83 tweets
Tested it out with this new KY map. Based on 2016-2019 results, intrigued how it would do in 2020. The #KY04 (R+7 PVI) seems more competitive than the real #KY06 (R+9), with the movement in the Cincinnati and Lexington suburbs. 2/27 davesredistricting.org/join/d389d8e2-…
However, I also did a bunch of Democratic gerrymanders after 2012 redistricting to compare with the real Republican ones. Thought I’d review how my designs performed in light of 2016. The contrast shows just how much of a difference partisan control makes (spoiler: a lot). 3/27
Read 27 tweets
Call & tell these AL & AZ Reps to STOP enabling Trump & being AGAINST @HouseJudiciary #IMPEACHMENT inquiry;
#AL07 @RepTerriSewell 202-225-2665
Arizona
#AZ01 @TomOhalleran 202-225-3361
Call & tell these California Reps to STOP enabling Trump by being AGAINST @HouseJudiciary #IMPEACHMENT inquiry:

#CA05 @RepThompson 202-225-3311
#CA07 @RepBera 202-225-5716
#CA09 @RepMcNerney 202-225-1947
#CA10 @RepJoshHarder 202-225-4540
#CA12 @SpeakerPelosi 202-225-4965
Call & tell these California Reps to STOP enabling Trump & being AGAINST @HouseJudiciary #IMPEACHMENT inquiry:

#CA16 @RepJimCosta 202-225-3341
#CA18 @RepAnnaEshoo 202-225-8104
#CA20 @RepJimmyPanetta 202-225-2861
#CA21 @RepTJCox 202-225-4695
Read 29 tweets
CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!

#CA05 @RepThompson 202-225-3311
#CA07 @RepBera 202-225-5716
#CA09 @RepMcNerney 202-225-1947
#CA10 @RepJoshHarder 202-225-4540
CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!

#CA12 @SpeakerPelosi 202-225-4965
#CA16 @RepJimCosta 202-225-3341
#CA17 @RepRoKhanna 202-225-2631
#CA18 @RepAnnaEshoo 202-225-8104
CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them:Do your job!

#CA19 @RepZoeLofgren 202-225-3072
#CA20 @RepJimmyPanetta 202-225-2861
#CA21 @RepTJCox 202-225-4695
#CA24 @RepCarbajal 202-225-3601
Read 46 tweets
Hey #TENNESSEE!
Here’s a THREAD of all the Primary winners...
Democratic Candidates #Midterms2018 w/ photos, websites, twitter.
AND Voter Info w/ Links
Registration, Early Voting, Absentee, Poll Worker
#VoteBlueTN #VoteBlue
#TN01 #TN02 #TN03 #TN04 #TN05 #TN06 #TN07 #TN08 #TN09
VOTER REGISTRATION in Tennessee
Online or printed application must be submitted at least 30 days before an election.
Register online here: ovr.govote.tn.gov/Registration/
Download application here: sos-tn-gov-files.s3.amazonaws.com/forms/ss-3010.…
Send to County Election Officials here: tnsos.org/elections/elec…
Democratic Candidates for Congress #TN01 #TN1 #Tennessee
Marty Olsen
Physician
olsenforcongress.com
@martyo4congress

vs Phil Roe (R)

VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018
#VoteBlueTN #Midterms2018

THREAD
Read 16 tweets
Hey #TENNESSEE
You get to start Early Voting for your #PrimaryElection next week!
Here’s a THREAD of all your Democratic Candidates!
Primaries are August 2nd! But you can start Early Voting next week!
#VoteBlue
#TN01 #TN02 #TN03 #TN04 #TN05 #TN06 #TN07 #TN08 #TN09
VOTER REGISTRATION in Tennessee
Online or printed application must be submitted at least 30 days before an election.
Register online here: ovr.govote.tn.gov/Registration/#
Download application here: sos-tn-gov-files.s3.amazonaws.com/forms/ss-3010.…
Send to County Election Officials here: tnsos.org/elections/elec…
EARLY VOTING in Tennessee
Tennessee permits no-excuse early voting.
Early Voting begins 20 days before an Election and ends on the 7 before a presidential primary and 5 days before any other Election.
Contact your County Election Officials for details here tnsos.org/elections/elec…
Read 16 tweets

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