Okay, we've got far enough now that we can see No. 10's #Brexit strategy. /Thread
It's basically to bring things to a head as late as humanly possible - December to late January. At that stage they will squeeze Tory rebels with (among Euroenthusiasts) 'it's this or chaos' and (among Eurosceptics) 'it's this or no Brexit at all'.
Early signs - this will help with the pro-Europeans. Will probably work there. With the Eurosceptics? You can squeeze them, but probably not below 20-30, surely.
That means No. 10 desperately needs the DUP (early signs - onside); and about 20 Labour MPs. That's the bullseye we're zeroing in on IMHO.
Can they get them? Not without some more softening. But TMay will have to do that anyway. She might be able to. Dunno.
If she can't, she can push one vote, lose it, then go again with the cliff edge even closer. Will prob shake a few more from the tree.
Would be wise for #Labour Front Bench at that stage to decide and publish exactly what they want (assuming they are able). Politically, easiest way to split Tories and look reasonable in the country.
If they get stuck just saying 'no', and they lose a chunk of MPs who basically panic at No Deal, bloodletting could be pretty awful on their side.
Basically, the winter looks like political hand-to-hand in the trenches. If you don't like post-watershed stuff, look away now. Rampant speculation ends. /END
