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Jasmin Mujanović @JasminMuj
, 3 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
#BiH’s PM Zvizdić hosted by Chancellor Markel in Berlin w the highest diplomatic protocol; Merkel adds “there will be no border changes in the Balkans”. An important signal to Dodik & Vucic. But GER must prepare for more than symbolism in the region. klix.ba/clanak/1808130…
Specifically, Dodik has given ample grounds to every international backer of the Dayton Accords to sanction him (& his party) since the US Treasury Dept did so in 2017. That no other state had done so is telling & only emboldening him.
Also good to see Berlin finally, explicitly mentioning NATO membership as imperative for BiH. If GER & other EU states had pushed harder on this issue, Dodik & the HDZ wouldn’t have the capacity to endanger BiH’s sovereignty as they do at present. ba.n1info.com/a278967/Englis…
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Most revealing aspect of the Gruevski escape story is how it marks Hungary’s most overt power move in the Balkans to date. Orban has been poking around Slovenia, Croatia, Bosnia & Serbia for a while. But this seems designed to poke Brussels in the eye. theguardian.com/world/2018/nov…
Hungary is also the latest foreign illiberal/authoritarian state to make a play to push out or at least diminish already waning EU and US influence in the region. Between Orban, Putin, Erdogan, Xi, and the Gulf monarchs, the Balkans are a geopolitical fire sale these days.
And despite the self-evident absurdity of the claim that the “EU is the only game in town”, too many in Brussels & Washington still persist in the belief that this new “authoritarian international”, as I call it my book, is only a marginal, “spoiler” phenomenon. Foolish.
Read 5 tweets
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There are no exceptional people nor exceptional states. There are only exceptional circumstances. And in these, all things become possible. Tonight, another far-right candidate has triumphed in another democratic polity. This is no longer exceptional, these are our times.
A generation of American & European reporters never quite bought the stories so many Bosnians & Yugoslavs told them; that even on the eve of war, no one believed it. Not here, not in Sarajevo, not in the Olympic city, not where a third of all marriages were mixed. Believe now.
Combine a few yrs of economic, social, and political crisis and every society will become ripe for sectarianism and, ultimately, fascism. Democracies last longer under pressure, and have more procedural and institutional fail-safes. But they are not immune. No society is.
Read 5 tweets
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Obviously Trump’s sudden call for civility is disingenuous. But it’s worse than that: if Ds & the press are truly “enemies of the ppl”/“deep state” as he so often claims, his rhetoric recasts violence against them as rationale, self-defense. It’s a extremist canard.
“Our violence is an act of self-defense and/or a response to *their* (imagined) violence” is the hallmark of extremist movements throughout history. That’s the whole point of dehumanizing your opponents as traitors/heretics; so you can have license to exterminate them.
This may seem like splitting hairs but it’s important: extreme rhetoric invites, indeed, demands extreme responses from those who buy into it. That’s why hate speech/demagoguery are not mere words: they’re clearly calls to action, to mobilization, and confrontation.
Read 5 tweets

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Here we go: Very initial impressions of the #WithdrawalAgreement's Protocol on NI/IRL #backstop, drawing heavily on UK Explainer of the same. tinyurl.com/ydfrvcdc 1/8
First, some general points I think are worth noting, mainly about how the UK is trying to frame it & what has changed in the Preamble to the #Protocol.
2/8
To the #backstop, which is now about avoiding north/south AND east/west barriers... at least at face value.
UK keen to emphasise its temporary nature & unlikely implementation.
Initial decision on whether it comes into force will have to be made by 1 July 2020 & by the UK.
3/8
Read 8 tweets
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#b0906 #noafd An dem Wagen werden Schland-Fahnen verteilt:
#b0906 #noafd #stopabuse #Berlin
#b0906 #noafd #stopabuse #Berlin
Read 141 tweets
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1. #QAnon responds to an anon's rant at @RealAlexJones by reminding us that, when it comes to divisiveness, it's

"Time to move on.
Big week ahead!
#Q"
2. #QAnon's response to the anon refers to the criticism of Alex Jones "making us all look crazy." But, in the spirit of it being "time to move on", #Q posts a link to the Alex's representation as a "performance artist." insider.foxnews.com/2017/04/17/ale…
3. To #QAnon's point, clearly, Alex Jones is a performance artist. A lot us are. Nothing wrong with that!
#Q

Read 42 tweets
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#Europe "an increasingly complex & competitive security environment," SACEUR/@US_EUCOM Commander Gen. Curtis Scaparrotti tells #SASC in opening statement
"Our adaptation to the environment has made significant progress...particularly under the European Deterrence Initiative" per Gen Scaparrotti, calling it "the largest reinforcement of Euro-Atlantic Defense in a generation"
Gen Scaparrotti also says @NATO alliance "is strong" and that "European allies & #Canada have turned a corner on defense spending with increases in each of the past 3 years" adding $46 billion to defense spending
Read 44 tweets
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Bilge: "Das wird nicht die erste Freundemo in #Berlin sein"
*hust*
Sie kreischte gerade "Merkel muss weg" und DAS Volk lässt sich zu "Merkel muss weg"-Rufen triggern. Irgendwas mit "sofort abgeschoben!" #noafd #b1702
"Die Frauen werden wieder ihre Freiheit zurückgewinnen"
Zwischenstopp sei nicht geplant gewesen, es gibt eine Blockade. "gestörte Menschen" würden "friedlichen Frauenmarsch" stören. *gähn*
Bachmann mit Fantasie-Zahlen.

#noafd #b1702
Die Frauen laufen (oder stehen gerade) weitestgehend in den vorderen Reihen. Banner von "Kandel ist überall" war eben zu sehen #b1702 #PegidAfD #noafd
Read 118 tweets
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The #EU decision to trigger "nuclear option" #article7 against Poland is extremely awkward for UK and bad news for a deeply divided EU leadership that lost its head when Macron got elected. A 1/thread

telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/2…
First. The problem for Mrs May, both immediate and longer term.

1. The UK has invested huge amount of diplomatic capital in expanding UK-Polish relationship after #Brexit

German MEP on recent visit said Polish officials joking about sheer number of UK ministers who visited/2
They sent 150 Lightdragoons for Nato trip-wire, started Belvedere Forum and even deployed heavy weaponry (Wills n Kate) in the Summer.

Tomorrow May, Hammond and Boris all going. A PM, Fgn Sec and Chancellor in one hit. That's serious diplomatic love. /3
Read 16 tweets

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