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Texas Tribune @TexasTribune
, 9 tweets, 8 min read Read on Twitter
1/ @BetoORourke and @TedCruz are fighting over America’s most conservative large county.

Will Tarrant County flip in 2018? Is it really a battleground for Democrats and Republicans?

#tx2018 #txsen

bit.ly/2Pog5kZ
@BetoORourke @tedcruz 2/ Tarrant County is a complicated place — the county is urban, suburban and rural all at once.

The outlying ranches and suburbs are mostly a backwater in Texas politics.

Gerrymandered to the hilt, the national parties have mostly ignored this county.

bit.ly/2Pog5kZ
@BetoORourke @tedcruz 3/ But since Trump's election, things have changed.

There’s organic Democratic activism and Beto O’Rourke's high-risk bet to stake his statewide strategy on flipping this county to his party.

bit.ly/2Pog5kZ
@BetoORourke @tedcruz 4/ Other Texas urban counties have fallen to Democrats. But Tarrant County remains the largest Republican county in the state and a pivotal part of GOP domination of the rest of the state. bit.ly/2Pog5kZ
@BetoORourke @tedcruz 5/ Between 2000 and 2014, each Republican presidential, U.S. senate and gubernatorial nominee carried the county by an average of 19 points.

As recently as 2014, U.S. Sen. John Cornyn won Tarrant County by 24 points. bit.ly/2Pog5kZ
@BetoORourke @tedcruz 6/ But under Donald Trump, the GOP's 2016 margin in Tarrant County shrank to nine points — the same spread with which Trump carried the entire state. bit.ly/2Pog5kZ
@BetoORourke @tedcruz 7/ If Beto O'Rourke is successful at turning Tarrant County blue next month, he will push Texas deeper into a political territory where cities are pitted against suburban and rural areas. bit.ly/2Pog5kZ
@BetoORourke @tedcruz 8/ But Republicans still hold most of the offices here, despite the narrowed Trump margin of 2016.

And Trump will not be on the ballot this year.

bit.ly/2Pog5kZ
@BetoORourke @tedcruz 9/9 Which brings us to this: some Republicans aren’t worried.

Read more here: bit.ly/2Pog5kZ
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More from @TexasTribune see all

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1/ Texas police made more than $50 million in 2017 from seizing people’s property. Not everyone was guilty of a crime. #txlege bit.ly/2BY6ObF
2/ It’s called civil asset forfeiture.

Police can take cash and property they believe to be related to criminal activity, even if the person involved is never charged with a crime. #txlege bit.ly/2BY6ObF
3/ Prosecutors then sue the property — yes the property — and if they win, police can keep much of it for their own purposes. bit.ly/2BY6ObF
Read 10 tweets
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1/ School segregation is far from a distant memory in Texas.

48 years ago, a judge ordered the Longview school district to desegregate its schools.

But an educational gap remains. And some fear the progress that’s been made could be lost. bit.ly/2BEzw0U
2/ More than 1 million black and Hispanic students study in Texas classrooms that include few to no white students.

And in Longview, students of color still don’t have the same educational opportunities as white students. bit.ly/2BEzw0U
3/ About 56.2 percent of white students graduated ready for college English and math in 2016.

Compare that with a dismal 23 percent of Hispanic students and 16 percent of black students. bit.ly/2BEzw0U
Read 21 tweets
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1/ Gerrymandering has backfired for Republicans in Dallas County.

Republicans had hoped to keep a majority of Texas House seats there when they redrew district boundaries.

Now, they hold onto only two of 14.

#Midterms2018 #Election2018 #txlege

bit.ly/2RFwqiz
2/ In 2010 amid a red wave, Republicans picked up several Dallas County seats just before the next round of redistricting. bit.ly/2RFwqiz

#Midterms2018 #Election2018 #tx2018 #txlege
3/ Democrats allege Republicans packed and cracked Latino voters across the county to diminish their voting strength overall and ensure a GOP majority.

#Midterms2018 #Election2018 #tx2018 #txlege

bit.ly/2RFwqiz
Read 11 tweets

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Read 99 tweets
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If you're watching election results tonight, here's a breakdown of what I'm going to be watching for in the race for Congress as the numbers come in -->
Here are the magic numbers to keep in mind tonight:

Democrats need to flip 23 SEATS in order to win back the House.

Democrats need to flip 2 SEATS in order to win back the Senate.
The first exit polls will land at 5:00pm so we'll have some ideas about makeup of the electorate compared to previous years, etc. The first actual races close at 6:00pm: KY-6 will be the one to watch, with an eye on IN-9, but we won't read *too* much into these.
Read 8 tweets
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Dear @TXCivilRights -

I was one of these people.

I have not previously discussed it with anyone because I didn’t want to sound an alarm until I knew whether or not this was a pattern.

I will detail what I experienced, along with a photo, in this short thread.

1/x
 #TXSen
I chose the “straight ticket” option for the Democratic Party on the first screen.

Once I toggled through the 16+ page ballot and reached the final screen to review my choices, I saw that my vote for @BetoORourke had been changed to a vote for Ted Cruz.

Photo below.

2/x
 #TXSen
I toggled all the way back through the 16+ pages to undo the Ted Cruz selection manually and change it to a vote for @BetoORourke.

I then toggled through the 16+ pages again and reached the final review page.

This time it correctly read @BetoORourke.

I cast my ballot.

3/x
Read 22 tweets
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The most hilarious part of this attack is that #BetoORourke and #TedCruz are the same age. Beto just seems so much younger, fresher, more fun and more electable.
#FlipItBlue

Texas Republicans are trying to use Beto’s punk rock days against him vox.com/2018/8/29/1779…
So @BetoORourke was in a cool punk band AT THE SAME TIME that @tedcruz was...wait for it: A MIME.

Cruz is 47, Beto is 46.
I rest my case, folks.
#FlipItBlue
Just remember that before @LindseyGrahamSC went over to the dark side, he famously said of @tedcruz's likeability: "If #TedCruz were killed on the Senate floor and the trial was held in the Senate, no one would convict."
Read 4 tweets
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If you, like me, cannot point to a single thing @RepFrenchHill has done for the benefit of his constituents in #AR2 then you owe it to yourself and everyone else in the seven county area to vote for @clarketucker this November. #arpx #Vote #Midterms2018
.@RepFrenchHill has voted to end coverage for pre-existing conditions. He doesn't care whether or not you can afford to see a doctor, or even if your health insurance will cover a visit. He does not care about #Arkansans #AR2 #ByeFrench #VoteThemOut #arpx
.@RepFrenchHill supports @realDonaldTrump #ConcentrationCamps for migrant children, infants, and toddlers. He refuses to speak up about these egregious #HumanRights violations. #Arkansas deserves a better, more humane representative in #AR2 - @clarketucker is that person! #Vote
Read 89 tweets

Trending hashtags

#TedCruz #LyingLiberalsAlwaysLose #Atheists #IllegalAliens #STOPGOPCORRUPTION #CNN #Midterms2018 #GOPCORRUPT #VotingRights #Power #TeamBeto #FlipitBlue2018 #Vermont #Democrat #MOSEN #IllegalImmigrants #FakeNews #Bernie #TX #voterID #hypocrite #AbolishIce #MSM #GOPTaxScam #DemFuture

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