1/ FL EV update 23:05 EST 11/4 --- Same day in '16. Dems netted 66k. It seems that they might not get that much this year, but it'll be close. @THEMattDanner spreadsheet estimates 22k R lead. I'll be conservative and make my guess at 30k D lead by Tue morning. 
2/ That was the high end of my estimates from earlier today. The impact of Monday limited poll openings in panhandle would be minimal because those are all small counties and some aren't even that red.
3/ Anyway, even at 30k D lead, Rs will outperform their '16 selves by 66k. In '16, Ds led by 96k on ED morning yet Trump won by 113k. Here is the graph with my estimate for 1 day before ED. I'll change/update it when the real data from official site comes in.
4/ Another way of looking at the same data. It appears that the green and red lines are following the same pattern, only this time, everything is shifted up in R's favor by 50k-70k, So, no surprise if we end up at 66k better R position Tue morning. ........
5/ The similar pattern also suggests, I would say proves, that this year is very much like 2016, at least in the EV aspect, and perhaps in many other ways too. That makes it more and more likely of similar results to '16, complete with pollster shocks and MSM breakdown. Enjoy!
Here is the graph I was referencing:
