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Steve Peers @StevePeers
, 20 tweets, 7 min read Read on Twitter
1/x Now published: Commission no deal Brexit paper; also proposals on visa waiver, energy efficiency, and a notice on travel europa.eu/rapid/press-re…
2/ Press release on the visa waiver proposal here, with a link to the text.

A few points:

- this concerns short term tourist visas for UK visitors staying 90/180 days
- visas for longer stays are governed by national law, with some EU harmonisation

europa.eu/rapid/press-re…
3/ - Visa waiver depends on reciprocity from the UK, but it's the UK government position to offer it

- this is separate from the border checks process and the likely application of EU law on travel authorisation to UK citizens (once that system is operating)
4/ - UK citizens resident in the EU27 States which fully apply Schengen can travel between Schengen States anyway on the basis of their residence permit or long-stay visa, *if they have one*

- folks who said there would definitely be visas for UK visitors should admit mistake
5/ Here's the press release on the energy efficiency proposal, with a link to the text. No text of the main communication or the travel notice yet AFAIK. europa.eu/rapid/press-re…
6/ For more details on the visa aspects and broader UK/EU migration issues, my earlier blog post: eulawanalysis.blogspot.com/2017/12/beyond…
7/ Now online: the Commission notice on travel from the UK to the EU after Brexit: ec.europa.eu/info/sites/inf…
On borders, notes that border checks for non-EU citizens will apply to UK travellers, also in Romania, Cyprus, Bulgaria, Croatia (as I said before, UK govt is wrong on this)
8/ Important point in a box: "Please note that UK national passports issued prior to the withdrawal date remain valid travel documents"

(Had a long discussion with someone who thought all UK passports would be invalid. As with visa waivers I'm now going to say I TOLD YOU SO)
9/ Also this notice has details on, for instance: customs controls on travellers; VAT and excise; pets; insurance; driving licences; travellers' consumer rights; roaming charges; and credit card fees.

No suggestion cards will be invalid (another nonsense claim which was made)
10/ The full Commission communication on a Brexit no deal has now been published: ec.europa.eu/transparency/r…
Annexes: ec.europa.eu/transparency/r…
Important details on @BritishInEurope and no deal plans on other issues
Some comments ->
11/ Commission gives the nod to state aid to address impact of no deal Brexit, and promises EU support for Ireland
12/ Commission criteria for no deal "contingency measures". Note:
- unilateral, ie no mini-deals with UK as such
- temporary, so finished by end 2019 in principle
- can't copy EU membership
- follows EU/national competences, but can't breach EU or international law
13/ On the position of @BritishInEurope and @The3Million

- welcomes UK commitment to unilateral guarantees, but where's the beef?
- UK citizens in the EU27 will need residence permits
- Member States should process such applications already
14/ Also time on territory by @BritishInEurope should count toward long-term residence under EU law. About that:
- falls far short of status under the withdrawal agreement
- no mention of parallel national long-term residence
- implication it's necessary for family reunion false
15/ Financial services

- some risks, but Commission will adopt measures if necessary
16/ Aviation: *not* a ban on flights, but:
- limited traffic rights
- temporary extension re aviation safety certificates
- both on condition of reciprocal unilateralism
- baggage screening fast track
- EU airline ownership rules apply
17/ Road transport: no extra permits for UK lorries

Customs/trade: EU tariffs and checks on goods apply, some facilitation is possible

- agricultural goods: simplified, but still some checks
18/ Personal data:
- *no adequacy decision* for UK
- data transfers can take place on other limited bases
- security implications not mentioned
- no mention of nonsense claim that "all EU data in UK must be destroyed"
- another "I TOLD YOU SO" moment there
- also climate policy
19/ Timing of the plans, plus warning against bilateral measures by Member States. Lots of exciting new EU external relations law issues if they ignore these warnings.
20/ What's missing?
Two obvious omissions; there may well be more
1 What to do as regards budget gap left by UK? (Mostly short term, as proposals assume no UK € after 2020, but still)
2 Nothing specific on Irish border issues: border checks apparent assumption but not explicit//
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1/ Some additional points to add to David's fact check of the latest no deal Brexit claims
2/ The "no deal is more legally certain" claim is false. I debunked this nonsense in a previous thread
3/ As for rolling over existing FTAs: even if they are all in place on time with identical terms, the UK trading position will be worse because the rules of origin will change, ie goods partly produced in the UK may no longer count as EU goods
Read 4 tweets
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1 It's not a documentary. But to see how closely #Idanielblake matches reality, let's have a look at some details from the UN report on poverty in the UK: ohchr.org/EN/NewsEvents/…
2 Impact of the delay in receiving universal credit - based on a study on its roll out in the North East.
3 Impact of sanctions in the universal credit system, based also on research
Read 8 tweets
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1/ Let's take a look at Mr Nelson's support for the rights of @The3Million, shall we? Because the record is...chequered.
2/ He was on a @britishfuture inquiry (with me and others) that recommended unilateral guarantees for @The3Million in December 2016. Details here: eulawanalysis.blogspot.com/2016/12/bargai…
3/ The Leave MPs on the inquiry, Stuart and Braverman, then voted *against* such guarantees a few months later. IIRC Nelson tweeted his agreement. The purity of the Article 50 bill could not be sullied etc. My take on Stuart: google.com/url?sa=i&sourc…
Read 7 tweets

Related threads

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#Brexit: Theresa May presenta le alternative dopo che il governo ha dato il suo consenso all'accordo con l'Ue.

1) Il mio accordo
2) Brexit senza accordo
3) Nessuna Brexit

Tutto come previsto.
May: l'intesa del governo è un "passo decisivo che ci permette di andare avanti e finalizzare l'accordo" con l'Ue -> abbiamo rischiato grosso

"E' una decisione che è fermamente nell'interesse nazionale" -> caos no-deal

Ci sono "di fronte giorni difficili" -> Camera dei Comuni
NIgel Farage: il peggior accordo della storia. Tutti i ministri Brexiteers si dimettano subito
Read 12 tweets
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So will there-won't there be a #brexit breakthrough summit in November?

Lot's of conflicting noise around. Firm predictions a mug's game.

So here's what I know, after chats with both sides 1/Thread
There are two opposing forces at work here:

On the positive side....a gathering political momentum for quick progress. This is shared jointly in London (which wants vote by Xmas) but also, EU sources say, by Tusk/Junker who are frankly bored with Brexit

But opposing this... /2
Is the equally audible notes of caution in last 24 hours from Barnier, Taoiseach Varadkar, Commission Hogan and others saying that the "betting" must be December.

At October EUCO there was also a sense from Macron/Merkel, I understand, that they could run to DEC.

So.../3
Read 20 tweets
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#Brexit thoughts this AM. The draft Withdrawal Agreement has a Northern Ireland sub-committee to the Joint Committee and sounds like there's been progress on an arbitration panel for the governance of the treaty = forum to discuss exit from a temporary customs arrangement? (1)
ANOTHER reminder of what @MichelBarnier said about the UK-wide customs idea way back in July. Note the problems he said had to be solved to make it work. europa.eu/rapid/press-re… (2)
And finally, I've now seen FIVE different dates for an extra-special Brexit summit in November. But I've been told that my trip to the German Christmas markets on 1/2 December should be safe! (3
Read 3 tweets
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I find this @Telegraph story today the most bewildering story of #Brexit vs #NHS yet. Will Brexit solve staff shortages? @SteveBarclay says yes. The facts say otherwise. /thread.
Firstly, what was said and where was it said? The @Telegraph and @lauradonnlee seem to suggest Health Minister @SteveBarclay gave these comments in @christopherhope Brexit Podcast. Here: itunes.apple.com/gb/podcast/cho… /1
Now I've listened to this Podcast. My favourite bit is where @christopherhope suggests NHS staff have been "holding back" more British nurses and doctors to protect their wages and their interests. I kid you not. Here is the transcript: /2
Read 15 tweets
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Inside the EU, a country shapes laws and rules; it participates in common institutions that make agreements stick and build trust. It is one thing to be inside the EU, and another to be outside, said @michelbarnier last Saturday (speech now in English) 1/
europa.eu/rapid/press-re…
The EU as a "rules-based system" guarantees frictionless trade between its members, and protects a legal order that can apply the same rules across national borders on consumer protection, the quality of the environment, food labelling and safety, third country products … 2/
The EU acting based on rules is not the same as being "rigid". Members, together w/ EP, can jointly adapt rules faced w/ new challenges: to regulate more, or less, or differently. But the prerogative of deciding on how the EU changes or reforms itself is for "members only". 3/
Read 4 tweets
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Interesting speech by @MichelBarnier in Hannover last night, with a large focus on #Brexit.
A few quick points that are worth noting with an eye to current 'impasse'.
europa.eu/rapid/press-re…
1/4
Even *with* the UK's current red lines, he expects a wide-ranging FTA that covers:
- Customs cooperation
- Voluntary regulatory cooperation to encourage *convergence*
- Open market for services
- Rules limiting technical barriers to trade
- Zero tariffs

2/4
In addition, EU aims for:
- Ambitious agmt re mvnt of people (e.g. MRQs, social security)
- UK participation in EU progs
- Socio-ec coop
- & given UK's 'geographic proximity’, level playing field on environmental & social standards.
Intention= minimise NI-specific solutions?
3/4
Read 4 tweets

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