And on today's episode of "Breaking The Poll':
A thread on this Hill/HarrisX poll of tomfoolery.
thehill.com/hilltv/what-am…
A thread on this Hill/HarrisX poll of tomfoolery.
thehill.com/hilltv/what-am…
1,001 polled. OK...
"The results reflect a nationally representative sample of registered voters." Yet these proportions seem a little off.
Guess you want people to presume "registered voters" = all Americans.
"The results reflect a nationally representative sample of registered voters." Yet these proportions seem a little off.
Guess you want people to presume "registered voters" = all Americans.
I also like the comically low number of Gen Z polled, and how boomers and older still outnumber Gen Z and millennials polled.
Next, look how they phrased the "undecided" option. "Too early for me to say?" That won't encourage anyone to seem more "thoughtful" or anything...
And it shows in the results. 24% say "too early" in Trump vs. Bernie, compared to 22% in Trump vs. Biden and 34% in Trump vs. Beto.
Now, let's check out some more refined demographics. Trump beats Bernie by 7 among men overall (second column), but Bernie trumps Trump by 9 among women overall (third column).
And remember, this is even though older voters were a majority of those polled.
And remember, this is even though older voters were a majority of those polled.
Can't believe I forgot to point out the racial demographics of who all was polled.
Also, nearly half polled (488) were suburbanites. Go figure.
Also, nearly half polled (488) were suburbanites. Go figure.
Alternative headline: Bernie blows out Trump by 16 points among millennials, demolishes him 60%-9% among Gen Z voters.
Worth noting there Biden only gets 42% among millennials, by contrast. Also funny that this is even with the weird cop-out undecided option phrasing.
Alternative headline: Bernie beats Trump 42-36 among voters in the critical Midwest.
Alternative headlines:
Bernie defeats Trump 61%-6% among black voters.
Bernie defeats Trump 43%-22% among Hispanic voters.
Bernie defeats Trump 55%-26% among Asian voters.
Bernie defeats Trump 61%-6% among black voters.
Bernie defeats Trump 43%-22% among Hispanic voters.
Bernie defeats Trump 55%-26% among Asian voters.
Ooh, here's another fun detail. He also beats Trump by 15 points (39%-24%) among...wait for it...MODERATES.
Of course, 38% think it's "too early," but still.
Of course, 38% think it's "too early," but still.
And this chart format still annoys me. But I digress.
@Noratoriou5 anything strike out at you on this one, since you certainly would have more of a clue than I would on these stats? I mean, that leading undecided response is pretty bad in itself.
@Noratoriou5 anything strike out at you on this one, since you certainly would have more of a clue than I would on these stats? I mean, that leading undecided response is pretty bad in itself.
