Thread by @AlexSteffen

The greatest impact of climate chaos is the end of predictable decision-making landscapes—the loss of the ability to plan optimally and the need to find rugged strategies for non-foreseeable futures.

We're only just starting to grok the enormity of that.

ft.com/content/31a335…

This is true in fields that many of us are used to thinking of as largely or completely separate from climate and sustainability... like human health.

blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/c…

Asserting on-going decision-making predictability is critical to predatory delay strategies.

During a time of disruptive change, incumbents must portray themselves as safe from disruptive pressures, and linear forecasts based on historic data are an essential prop in that pitch.

If predatory delay interests can assert the validity of linear forecasts and successfully demand predictability of outcomes from new efforts, they can force decision-makers to default to the status quo; doubly so if they can convince people to ignore the consequences of inaction.

The longer I do this work, the clearer it seems to me that the thing we're all seriously underestimating about the planetary crisis is how truly weird everything is getting, and how much deeply strange it is all certain to become.

We're all newcomers to the planet we're making.