Thread by @lewis_goodall

Ok. Let’s do this. #ep2019

Join us live from 2100 on @SkyNews.

Hearing from a source in Wales, voter sampling suggests that Labour, a party which has won every national election in Wales bar one for a century, might well come fourth tonight. #EP2019

Plaid looking likely to take second. Hugely significant for Welsh politics. Will Be first time they’ve beaten Labour in a national election. Brexit Party might fade away but Plaid hope Labour defectors will stick with them. Especially for Assembly elections in 2021.

Turnout solidly up in London.

Wandsworth +10.4%
Southwark +6.8%
Ealing +5.7%
Waltham Forest +5.2%
Lambeth +5.0%

Turnout was lower than expected in 2016 in remain areas of London. They’re not making that mistake again.

Oh baby.

Results from Sheffield. Brexit Party on top but wow look at the Greens. Labour in fourth place.

We haven't seen many British results yet but if the rest are anything like this it is a total bloodbath for the Tories and Labour. #EP2019

In many places the Tories are battling it out with UKIP at the depths of the table in fifth and sixth or even seventh place. UKIP.

If Newcastle result were extrapolated across the North East region we'd expect the Brexit Party to win won seat, Labour one and the Lib Dems one. LD gain from Lab, BXP gain from UKIP.

Sounds about right.

Lib Dem tells me they're expecting to top the poll in South Cambs and Streatham. Seats of Heidi Allen and Chuka Umunna.

FIRST RESULTS

North East
BXP: 2 (+2)
Lab: 1 (-1)

First example of Brexit Party doing better than UKIP. They’ve taken one more seat than UKIP did in this region in 2014.

Meanwhile in eastern region 5 authorities have declared.

Labour 5th in each, Tories 4th in 4. Lib Dem voters not far behind Brexit. Greens 3rd in most.

This is remarkable stuff. More like the realignment we’ve heard so much about. But away from *both* Lab and Tories.

Labour are getting screwed in remain areas. They’re getting screwed in Leave areas.

MPs in leave seats will say the party’s strategy is costing them.

MPs in remain seats will say the party’s strategy is costing them.

They’re both right.

The return of the urban Lib Dems

For all those who have said the Brexit Party is just repeating UKIP’s performance.

North East

UKIP (2014): 29%
Brexit Party (2019): 39%

That’s better than Labour did in 2014 (37%)

Labour has been beaten by the Lib Dems in Jeremy Corbyn’s borough of Islington.

Lib Dem source they’re hopeful of picking up three MEPs in London, two in the East, two in the North West.

EAST RESULT

BXP: 3 (+3)
LD: 2 (+2)
Green: 1 (+1)
Con: 1 (-2)

BXP up 4 points on vote share compared to UKIP. Meanwhile surge for LDs and Greens, Labour loses its only seat.

So in the European elections the two parties with the simplest and clearest European policy are winning by a mile.

Who knew.

Labour are fifth in Bolsover. In Bolsover.

In. Bolsover.

For the first time Labour have been beaten in a national election in Wales by @Plaid_Cymru. Only the second time they’ve ever lost an election in Wales: They were lucky to come third.

A mammoth result.

Brexit Party is exceeding UKIP vote share pretty much everywhere. UKIP only got 27% in Wales in 2014.

Nationally the Tories and Labour COLLECTIVELY are barely on 25%. Wipeout.

In Wales, if you exclude Labour's position as confused, the vote numbers are as follows:

Remain= 354,275
Leave=352,557

A mandate is at stake in these election

Brexit Party smashing UKIP vote share, exceeding 30%, clearly has one.

Likewise stellar night for greens/LDs/plaid/snp etc, collective mandate for remain.

Lab and Tories have none. And they’re the ones who have to sort it. Nightmare.

Brexit Party pick up a seat in the south West to take three. Lib Dems gain two. Another region without a single Labour or Conservative MEP.

Before tonight only the North East didn’t have a Tory MEP. Now most don’t.

Brexit Party besting UKIP SW share 2014 (32%)

Labour has done worse in the South West tonight than they did under Gordon Brown in 2009 (7.7%)

Am hearing from Lib Dem source that they’re likely to win three seats in the south east (plus 2). Dan Hannan prob will just scrape in.

Confirmed: Hannan has kept his seat. Brexit Party takes four seats in south east (like UKIP). Lib Dems take two. Labour scrape in with one.

Lib Dem source telling me they’re expecting 16 seats. By far their best result ever (12 in 2004). They won one seat in 2014. This is a truly huge win for them. They have, without doubt, become the English remain party.

When you add this #EP2019 performance to the Lib Dems' local results, their recovery has been nothing short of stunning.

So far Labour have only won seven council areas. The Conservatives have none.

Meltdown.

Labour's performance in Scotland is the worst since 1910.

And that's off the back of some pretty terrible performances recently.

It's existential.

Whilst we're on existentialism. UKIP essentially no longer exist.

Brexit Party source says their residual 3% did cost them a couple of seats, though.

Nonetheless, ironically enough, the Brexit Party will almost certainly be one of the biggest single parties in the European Parliament.

In sum, Britain remains confused.

Confirmed: The Brexit Party is the biggest party in the European Parliament. Bigger even than the German CDU.

It's just as well May has gone because if one thing is certain there's absolutely no mandate for her deal and no mandate for Labour working with the Tories to create a new one.

In every single region the Brexit Party is out performing UKIP’s 2014 showing.

CORRECTION: Looks like German CDU now on 29, so joint largest with Brexit Party, unless BXP picks up extra seat in Scotland.

SO

The Conservative Party has won three seats. With 9% of the vote.

The Conservative Party has been around for over two centuries. This is its worst performance in history. By a mile.

It's true minor party status.

Before tonight the Conservatives had a seat in every single region in Great Britain save for the North East.

Tonight they're not represented at all in most places. .

If we take the dividing line as being between those parties who want or are willing to accept another referendum/People's Vote and those which are not this is how the votes stack up:

People's Vote/Referendum (LD/LAB/CH/PC/SNP/G)= 9,050,033

Anti PV (BXP/CON/UKIP)= 7,304,926

Great Yarmouth one of the best Brexit Party results. Suspect @BrandonLewis won’t be feeling too comfortable.

For the first time, the Conservatives have no representation in London in a European election. Britain's capital city. 8 million people. Nada. Nil. Nothing.