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These are the 2020 Dem candidates who are consistently polling below the Top Five but from a state with a Republican senator up for reelection:
Bullock (Montana)
Castro (Texas)
Hickenlooper (Colorado)
O'Rourke (Texas)
To be fair, Castro is on the bubble.
Bullock (Montana)
Castro (Texas)
Hickenlooper (Colorado)
O'Rourke (Texas)
To be fair, Castro is on the bubble.
Dems have one pretty iffy seat: Jones in Alabama.
GOP has two iffy seats: Colorado and Arizona.
If Dems hold all our seats and take both Colorado and Arizona, we're at 51-49.
If we take either Maine or Texas (big "if"), we're at 50-50 with VP tiebreaker if we win White House.
GOP has two iffy seats: Colorado and Arizona.
If Dems hold all our seats and take both Colorado and Arizona, we're at 51-49.
If we take either Maine or Texas (big "if"), we're at 50-50 with VP tiebreaker if we win White House.
Sixteen months is a LONG time in a campaign, and things could break our way significantly that would put Maine or even Texas in play.
But not if we're not doing the work and not if we lack leaders who are looking at the big picture instead of personal ambition.
But not if we're not doing the work and not if we lack leaders who are looking at the big picture instead of personal ambition.
And who the hell knows, maybe something big happens that makes GOP incumbents particularly vulnerable in Texas, Maine, Kentucky, North Carolina *and* we field great candidates in Kansas and Tennessee.
We *can* win the Senate but not without solid candidates.
We *can* win the Senate but not without solid candidates.
