Profile picture
Bjorn Lomborg
@BjornLomborg
, 3 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
With all the media claims about the Amazon burning at "record" rates, it is perhaps worth realizing that NASA says total fire activity is close to the average of the last 15 years

earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/145464/…
The fire emission estimates (for all of the Amazon, also the one outside Brazil) suggests that 2019 is not in any way a record

globalfiredata.org/forecast.html
Robert Walker has a great walk-through of why the Brazilian INPE is in general a great science outlet and we should likely trust their deforestation estimates, but how the number-of-fires estimates are not reliable

science20.com/robert_walker/…
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Bjorn Lomborg
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @BjornLomborg see all

Profile picture
Bjorn Lomborg
@BjornLomborg
So now we know the result of the incessant scare campaign on climate for the last 30 years

About half of all people across the world believe humanity will go extinct because of climate!

This is totally against what the UN Climate Panel tells us

yougov.co.uk/topics/science…
By the 2070s, the total cost of climate change will be equivalent to losing 0.2-2% of the average income

By then, we'll be 300-500% richer

This is a problem, not the end-of-the-world

archive.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment…
Literally, the UN Climate Panel tells us that almost all other challenges will have much greater impact than climate will

like changes in population, age, income, technology, relative prices, lifestyle, regulation and governance

ipcc.ch/site/assets/up…
Read 6 tweets
Profile picture
Bjorn Lomborg
@BjornLomborg
Germany's government wants to spend €40bn over next 4 years to cut CO₂. This will cut global temps by 0.00018°C

The same money spent on tuberculosis could save more than 10 million lives

What is best?

Time to talk about priorities

dw.com/en/germanys-ru…
Background: not clear how the €40 billion would be spent. I assume that it — generously — could allow Germany to actually reach its 2020 40% below 1990-level emissions. It is right now estimated to reach 32%, so 8% of 1990 1251Mt CO₂e is 100Mt CO₂e
cleanenergywire.org/factsheets/ger…
For 4 years, that is 400Mt CO₂e
IPCC estimates that 3,667 Gt CO₂ can reduce temperatures by 0.8-2.5°C, with the most likely outcome at 0.45°C per 1,000 Gt CO₂.
That translates the 0.4Gt CO₂e roughly into 0.4*0.45/1000=0.00018°C

royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rs…
Read 4 tweets
Profile picture
Bjorn Lomborg
@BjornLomborg
When people tell you the Amazon is the "lungs of the earth" they are just wrong.

The Amazon, like all other ecosystems, produce as much oxygen as they consume, thus their net production is about zero

yadvindermalhi.org/blog/does-the-…
So, yes, Macron is just awfully wrong


(and his picture is over 20 years old, nytimes.com/2019/08/23/wor…)
Broeker pointed out long ago, that even if all plants, on land as well as at sea, were killed off and then decomposed, the process would consume less than 1 percent of the atmosphere’s oxygen

science.sciencemag.org/content/168/39…
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
Cory Morningstar
@elleprovocateur
I've been finishing the second volume of "The Manufacturing of Greta Thunberg for Consent" series. As soon as I ventured near social media I was inundated with the Amazon fires messaging.
The World Economic Forum (billionaires club): "...the house is clearly on fire - We need to scale solutions now if we have any chance of saving it."

Corporations burning forests for palm oil: not frightening.
Forest fires: frightening.

weforum.org/agenda/2019/08…
Only the markets can save us.

Certification schemes. Green Bonds. A "New Deal For Nature". We need momentum. We need that "Paris moment".
Read 27 tweets
Profile picture
Petros Sarantopoulos
@psaranto
#FalseAlarm, #fakenews, ignorance...2019 #AmazonFires are only 35% more (ok, so far) than the average of the last 8 years.Most are burning on agricultural land where the forest had already been cleared, a common agricultural practice #deforestation #Brazil nytimes.com/interactive/20…
#AmazonFires 🔥🔥🔥 As of August 16, 2019, an analysis of #NASA satellite data indicated that total fire activity across the #Amazon basin this year has been close to the AVERAGE in comparison to the past 15 years. earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/145464/…
#AmazonFires 🔥🔥🔥 Dr. Jonathan Foley @GlobalEcoGuy @ProjectDrawdown
#Amazon contributes at most 5% (not 20%) of the world’s oxygen‼️
We actually used to see fires like this, and even worse, back in the 1990s and the early 2000s #climatechange #FakeNews

sciencenews.org/article/brazil…
Read 4 tweets
Profile picture
Armond Ray Erickson
@ArmonRaE
@EmmanuelMacron The image on the left shows a fire from 1989, and the image on the right has been online since at least 2012. A number of other outdated and unrelated photographs have also been circulated as if they depicted the 2019 #AmazonFires.
snopes.com/fact-check/ama…
@EmmanuelMacron Plankton that are plants, known as #phytoplankton, grow and get their own energy through photosynthesis and are responsible for producing an estimated 80% of the world’s oxygen. They need #CO2 to thrive.
eos.org/research-spotl…
@EmmanuelMacron Many use fire to maintain farmland or to clear land.
Typically, activity peaks in early Sept & mostly stops by Nov.
#NASA satellite data indicates total fire activity across the #AmazonBasin this year has been close to the average of the past 15 years.
earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/145464/…
Read 25 tweets
Profile picture
Dr S. Yoshi Maezumi
@yoshi_maezumi
Anthropogenic #CO2 emissions, combined with #deforestation and increased #human-caused ignitions have created the perfect storm for #megafires in the #Amazon #IPCC2014
Warmer temperatures as a result of increased #anthropogenic #CO2, #detorestation and increased #fire activity can cause #positive #feedbacks that push the #Amazon towards a #tippingpoint resulting in a shift from #rainforest to #savanna forests
A shift from #rainforest to #savanna ecosystems will have global consequences. The rainforest creates its own weather by recycling moisture from the jungle. The trees absorb #CO2 and release #oxygen, literally the air we breathe.
Read 7 tweets
Profile picture
Ramaswamy Iyer 🇮🇳
@iyer_rn
@kanimozhi @keralaCastro @anilindian @Kuvalayamala @HKupdate @girishalva @chathootti @prafullaketkar @excomradekerala @Prof_Hariom @ranganaathan @jspandey_ @SaveSabrimala @ensine @sagenaradamuni @MaheshJoshi_MJ @jsaideepak @advmonikaarora @ShefVaidya @sgurumurthy @rvaidya2000 @RajivMessage @HinduAmericans @Swamy39 @vhskerala @mohandastg @TVMohandasPai @Amritanandamayi @SriSri @mariawirth1 @sankrant @Koenraad_Elst @davidfrawleyved @fgautier26 @narendramodi @Janamejayan @rishibagree @DrGPradhan @IndianInterest @anuraag_saxena @AAOLion @anujdhar @Chandrabosebjp @MissionNetaji @PanickarS @majorgauravarya @GeneralBakshi @daljeet1954 @MajorPoonia @TrueIndology Remembering “Thamizh Thatha”. The grandfather of Tamil Literature on his Jayanti Today.
bharathgyanblog.wordpress.com/2018/04/28/dr-…
@kanimozhi @keralaCastro @anilindian @Kuvalayamala @HKupdate @girishalva @chathootti @prafullaketkar @excomradekerala @Prof_Hariom @ranganaathan @jspandey_ @SaveSabrimala @ensine @sagenaradamuni @MaheshJoshi_MJ @jsaideepak @advmonikaarora @ShefVaidya @sgurumurthy @rvaidya2000 @RajivMessage @HinduAmericans @Swamy39 @vhskerala @mohandastg @TVMohandasPai @Amritanandamayi @SriSri @mariawirth1 @sankrant @Koenraad_Elst @davidfrawleyved @fgautier26 @narendramodi @Janamejayan @rishibagree @DrGPradhan @IndianInterest @anuraag_saxena @AAOLion @anujdhar @Chandrabosebjp @MissionNetaji @PanickarS @majorgauravarya @GeneralBakshi @daljeet1954 @MajorPoonia @TrueIndology Remembering Chatrapati #ShivajiMaharaj who brought #Hindu revival in the 17th century which ultimately liberated India from Islamic rule on his Jayanti Today. indiafacts.org/shivaji-and-th…
@kanimozhi @keralaCastro @anilindian @Kuvalayamala @HKupdate @girishalva @chathootti @prafullaketkar @excomradekerala @Prof_Hariom @ranganaathan @jspandey_ @SaveSabrimala @ensine @sagenaradamuni @MaheshJoshi_MJ @jsaideepak @advmonikaarora @ShefVaidya @sgurumurthy @rvaidya2000 @RajivMessage @HinduAmericans @Swamy39 @vhskerala @mohandastg @TVMohandasPai @Amritanandamayi @SriSri @mariawirth1 @sankrant @Koenraad_Elst @davidfrawleyved @fgautier26 @narendramodi @Janamejayan @rishibagree @DrGPradhan @IndianInterest @anuraag_saxena @AAOLion @anujdhar @Chandrabosebjp @MissionNetaji @PanickarS @majorgauravarya @GeneralBakshi @daljeet1954 @MajorPoonia Remembering Guruji(MS Golwalkar) the 2nd Sarsangachalak of @RSSorg on his Jayanti Today. organiser.org//Encyc/2018/5/…
Read 934 tweets
Profile picture
Ian Kluft
@ikluft
“Earthrise: A Video Reconstruction” is #NASA #astronomy picture of the day by @apod/@USRAedu apod.nasa.gov/apod/ap181223.… Apollo 8’s iconic photo “Earthrise” was taken 50 years ago; 4K HD animation shows astronauts’ view using NASA LRO data of lunar surface
“Earthrise in 4K” is a 50th anniversary commemoration of the 1968 #Earthrise image during Apollo 8, and description how the rendering was made with NASA LRO imagery/data taken since 2009, by @NASA/@NASAGoddard/@USRAedu #astronomy #Apollo50 #Apollo8 #Moon
#Apollo8 was historic for 1st time humans left Earth and orbited the Moon. Apollo was intended as Cold War competition with Soviets. Starting with #Earthrise photo and many other observations, we found we had much to learn about Earth there. #astronomy #space #history
Read 7 tweets

Trending hashtags

#IndiaWantsModiAgain #Opposition #Holihai #HinduTerror #Beyonce #Communist #DeshKaGauravModi #ExposePakLovers #JCPOA #ModiSarkar #Marxism #NASA #BehaviouralEconomics #Pakistanis #competitive #babrimasjid #mosque #MainBhiChowkidar #ModiPhirSe #UttarPradesh #MOS #SadhviPragya #AAP #Netflix #WhyModiAgain
Follow Us on Twitter!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!